Service Plays - Friday 8/6/21

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
May 12, 2021
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1,218
Matt Snyder

MIAMI @ COLORADO | 08/06 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -157
ANALYSIS: I'm 2-0 on the Rockies this week and it's time to stick with what works. I'll continue to stress that the Rockies are excellent at home. They are 35-21 in Coors Field this year, meaning they play like a 101-win team there. They didn't trade any of the best players at the deadline, either. All-Star starting pitcher German Marquez is 6-2 with a 3.29 ERA at home this year, too. In the other dugout, the Marlins had to travel Thursday night and are a woeful 20-35 on the road.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

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Justin Perri

CHI. WHITE SOX @ CHI. CUBS | 08/06 | 2:20 PM EDT
OVER 9
ANALYSIS: I'm going with the hitting conditions and wind blowing out at Wrigley today to carry these teams past nine runs. Prior to the trade deadline this number would have probably been closer to 10.5, but with the Cubs selling off their bats we only need to get to nine. The White Sox offense is looking for a spot to make a statement after a poor display against the Royals this week, and that could easily come at the expense of the Cubs. The White Sox still have one of the best offenses in the American League. I've done well taking advantage of good hitting conditions, and this is a play on that. Go Over.
 

Jackofhearts

Jackofhearts

Joined
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Matt Severance

CHI. WHITE SOX @ CHI. CUBS | 08/06 | 2:20 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -160
ANALYSIS: I've been fading the Cubs all week, and many times I probably will not when Kyle Hendricks is on the mound, especially at home, but man that lineup looks laughable today behind Hendricks with Willson Contreras getting the game off and Jason Heyward (not that he's any good) landing on the injured list. I don't see how the Cubs score much against the Sox's Lance Lynn (10-3, 2.07). The Sox do lose the DH but are keeping Eloy Jimenez's bat in the lineup by playing him (dangerously) in left field. The wind is blowing out pretty hard at Wrigley, and Hendricks does give up a lot of homers. Lynn does not.

MIAMI @ COLORADO | 08/06 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -157
ANALYSIS: We've bet the Rockies all week, and they should have swept the Cubs but took two out of three. The Marlins aren't much better than the Cubs and are 15 games under .500 on the road. Miami's Sandy Alcantara is a good pitcher but worse away (5-6, 3.71 ERA) and at night (3-5, 4.06). Colorado is 17-5 in its past 22 at home vs. a righty. It starts German Marquez. He is 5-2 with a 1.99 ERA over his last eight starts and 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA over his last seven at home. VERY rare to see a total Under 10 in Denver but this one is set at 9.5. I'd probably still lean Under but will not play it.
 

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