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Season-long Auto Racing thread - Kansas April 18-19

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
27,697
Trying to get back to my strategy of low risk to make a nice profit.

Took a few home run swings that missed last weekend that made the thread total slip after a monster weekend in Phoenix.

Got a little greedy/too big for my britches. :)
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
64,901
Darlington Odds to win BOOKMAKER

DriverOddsDriverOdds
Denny Hamlin+401Ryan Preece+6010
Kyle Larson+501Josh Berry+6611
Tyler Reddick+451Austin Cindric+5974
William Byron+651John Hunter Nemechek+10017
Chase Briscoe+551AJ Allmendinger+10017
Ryan Blaney+826Zane Smith+12021
Christopher Bell+901Shane Van Gisbergen+12021
Chase Elliott+1402Noah Gragson+11019
Joey Logano+1803Daniel Suarez+11019
Ross Chastain+2003Michael McDowell+11409
Chris Buescher+2203Austin Dillon+12021
Bubba Wallace+2504Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+18032
TY Gibbs+2147Cody Ware+20037
Kyle Busch+3305Todd Gilliland+25046
Brad Keselowski+3305TY Dillon+35067
Carson Hocevar+4608Riley Herbst+40077
Erik Jones+5008Cole Custer+35067
Alex Bowman+5609Timmy Hill+70140
Connor Zilisch+6611+
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
64,901
Similar to @white$phil$ivey I usually look back a a few races (3) for historical performance.
I think Phil looks back farther.

Last Race DriverManufacturerCar #'s Last RaceTot Pts 3 racesAvg Pts 3 racesLast Race Laps LedAvg Fin 3 races
Tyler ReddickToyota4513143.735
Denny HamlinToyota1112943.0125
Ross ChastainChevrolet110033.338
Bubba WallaceToyota239832.71014
Chris BuescherFord179732.307
Christopher BellToyota209732.3212
Kyle BuschChevrolet89130.307
William ByronChevrolet249030.0018
Kyle LarsonChevrolet58428.0220
Austin CindricFord28127.0012
Joey LoganoFord227926.3014
Erik JonesToyota437525.0015
Chase ElliottChevrolet97525.0812
Ty GibbsToyota547324.3017
Zane SmithFord387123.7014
Chase BriscoeToyota197023.330922
Ryan BlaneyFord126421.3020
AJ AllmendingerChevrolet165819.3016
John H NemechekToyota425719.01520
Brad KeselowskiFord65518.3021
Noah GragsonFord45317.7021
Cole CusterFord415317.7019
Daniel SuarezChevrolet995317.7019
Justin HaleyChevrolet75117.0020
Austin DillonChevrolet35016.7020
Todd GillilandFord344314.3023
Carson HocevarChevrolet773712.3025
Ricky Stenhouse JrChevrolet473411.3026
Ty DillonChevrolet103210.7027
Alex BowmanChevrolet48279.0028
Michael McDowellChevrolet71268.7028
Josh BerryFord21258.3032
Cody WareFord51217.0030
 
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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
64,901
With that in mind I think there is some value on Chastain or Buescher Top 5 or Top 3.
Those odds are not out for me yet but they should be decent considering the win odds are so high.
 

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
27,697
Added two small parlays risking $32 total. Both have Texas Longhorns ML and Riggs to win trucks as I think he has best value. One closes with Larson to win O’Reilly’s the other closes with Bell to win O’Reilly’s.

Low risk. High reward.

Total risked this weekend $282.

1773962756045.jpeg
 

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
27,697
Added two small parlays risking $32 total. Both have Texas Longhorns ML and Riggs to win trucks as I think he has best value. One closes with Larson to win O’Reilly’s the other closes with Bell to win O’Reilly’s.

Low risk. High reward.

Total risked this weekend $282.

View attachment 88586
Got both of these through with Texas +130 over BYU last night.

All 12 of my racing parlays got through to the weekend with first legs that included hoops.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
50,008

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
27,697
Me and @samsncharge99 got on a heater live betting in the tennis. Hit four live match winners in a row on my end.

Was able to freeroll Dougy math these two trucks bets as a result.

Honeycutt $110 to win $601
Hocevar $90 to win $602
Ruggerio $10 to win $240

Also have these parlays alive to Riggs winning tonight and either Larson or Bell winning O’Reilly’s.

1774048622398.png
 
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white$phil$ivey

white$phil$ivey

Joined
Apr 27, 2022
Messages
644
We'll give this "Bigjay" verion of a 3-team parlay a shot this weekend.

Tulsa -4.5/Louisville +4.5/Gibbs (Top 10) +165
+874
I'm gonna work on something similar, so far I've only got a 2T parlay with St. Johns -5.5(Looks like I moved it way too much) & Bubba Wallace (Top10). I like Bubba this week, I even sprinkled him to win w/Arkansas for a nice hit...

23XI Racing (Bubba Wallace, Tyler Reddick) + owner Denny Hamlin have their cars dialed in this season. They have a Xfinity War Room, at their Air-Speed Complex. Which gives them in-race information that helps keep their cars up front. Results so far, show it to be a huge advantage!!! Denny will also share his tire management wisdom & knowledge with them.
 

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
27,697
Me and @samsncharge99 got on a heater live betting in the tennis. Hit four live match winners in a row on my end.

Was able to freeroll Dougy math these two trucks bets as a result.

Honeycutt $110 to win $601
Hocevar $90 to win $602
Ruggerio $10 to win $240

Also have these parlays alive to Riggs winning tonight and either Larson or Bell winning O’Reilly’s.

View attachment 88639
Hocevar was 4 laps away from the win but had a right-front tire go down and hit the wall.

Pretty exciting finish nonetheless. Honecutt screwed the pooch on the late restarts not choosing the bottom lane.
 
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