Season-long Auto Racing thread - Kansas April 18-19

[BigJay]

Phoenix Raceway Layout

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View attachment 87244

I really enjoy this track.

Sometimes 6, 7 wide racing after a restart. Don’t see that on many one-mile tracks. (If ever)

You can see here where the track widens out just past the start-finish line that was tweaked a few years back when track had modernization renovations.

Everyone fans out to try to gain track position before having to fall back into more orderly racing when the track narrows again. Pretty fun to watch.

 

[BigJay]

 

[BigJay]

 

[Tanko]

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I'll get you Bookmakers shortly.

 

[roofer]

I am looking forward to some head to head bets!

 

[Tanko]

Bookmaker Odds

Driver	Odds	Driver	Odds
Ryan Blaney	504	TY Gibbs	5260
Denny Hamlin	580	Alex Bowman	6652
Kyle Larson	681	Ryan Preece	6854
Christopher Bell	681	Michael McDowell	8610
William Byron	781	Shane Van Gisbergen	10079
Tyler Reddick	983	Austin Hill	10079
Joey Logano	1311	Noah Gragson	14111
Chase Briscoe	1100	Daniel Suarez	14111
Chase Elliott	1201	Erik Jones	15120
Ross Chastain	2060	Zane Smith	20160
Josh Berry	2883	Todd Gilliland	20160
Chris Buescher	2883	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	24157
Brad Keselowski	2883	AJ Allmendinger	25201
Kyle Busch	3124	John Hunter Nemechek	30242
Connor Zilisch	3603	TY Dillon	40324
Carson Hocevar	3603	Riley Herbst	40324
Bubba Wallace	4636	Cole Custer	40324
Austin Dillon	5140	Cody Ware	50408
Austin Cindric	5588

​

 

[roofer]

I am looking at Gibbs -114 over Preece -114

 

[roofer]

Here's what I have access to for early h2h

 

[roofer]

Also like Chevrolet at +165...not sure how that compares to other books. But if it's better odds, I like that bet too

 

[BigJay]

I’m probably going to throw $$ on Bell and Blaney.

One strategy I’ll probably go with week to week for a little bit until it bites me is fading Larson and Hamlin, who I’d almost always have in a parlay at minimum weekly.

Larson is always among the top 3-4 faves because people love to bet him but surprisingly he hasn’t won since last May. He’s burned a lot of folks $$ along the way. One theory is he spent so much time training and traveling f for the Indy 500 that it hurt his NASCAR performance.

Hamlin just seems like a fade with all he went through in the offseason. But obviously he can win any given week. Should have won the championship last season.

I’ll likely adjust or reassess if this strategy starts to cost me $$.

 

[Tanko]

Bookmaker TOP 3 ODDS - Phoenix

Driver	Odds	Driver	Odds
Ryan Blaney	165	TY Gibbs	1800
Denny Hamlin	165	Alex Bowman	1800
Kyle Larson	190	Ryan Preece	2000
Christopher Bell	190	Michael McDowell	2500
William Byron	220	Shane Van Gisbergen	2800
Tyler Reddick	320	Austin Hill	2800
Joey Logano	350	Noah Gragson	3500
Chase Briscoe	350	Daniel Suarez	3500
Chase Elliott	400	Erik Jones	4000
Ross Chastain	550	Zane Smith	5500
Josh Berry	800	Todd Gilliland	5500
Chris Buescher	800	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	7000
Brad Keselowski	800	AJ Allmendinger	7000
Kyle Busch	850	John Hunter Nemechek	8000
Connor Zilisch	1000	TY Dillon	11000
Carson Hocevar	1000	Riley Herbst	11000
Bubba Wallace	1200	Cole Custer	11000
Austin Dillon	1400	Cody Ware	13000
Austin Cindric	1500

​

 

[Tanko]

Bookmaker TOP 5 ODDS - Phoenix

Driver	Odds		Driver	Odds
Ryan Blaney	-135		TY Gibbs	800
Denny Hamlin	-135		Alex Bowman	800
Kyle Larson	-115		Ryan Preece	850
Christopher Bell	-115		Michael McDowell	1000
William Byron	-110		Shane Van Gisbergen	1200
Tyler Reddick	130		Austin Hill	1200
Joey Logano	160		Noah Gragson	1600
Chase Briscoe	160		Daniel Suarez	1600
Chase Elliott	185		Erik Jones	1800
Ross Chastain	260		Zane Smith	2500
Josh Berry	360		Todd Gilliland	2500
Chris Buescher	360		Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	3000
Brad Keselowski	360		AJ Allmendinger	3000
Kyle Busch	380		John Hunter Nemechek	3500
Connor Zilisch	400		TY Dillon	5000
Carson Hocevar	400		Riley Herbst	5000
Bubba Wallace	550		Cole Custer	5000
Austin Dillon	600		Cody Ware	6000
Austin Cindric	600

​

 

[BigJay]

 

[BigJay]

Won about $160 this week live betting and tailing a few folks in college hoops. So going to take those profits and throw:

$107 total risk:

Byron wins O’Reilly’s I get $100

Bell wins Cup I get $250

Hocevar wins Cup I get $270

Blaney wins Cup I get $250

Hoping Byron wins Saturday night so Cup Sunday is like a double freeroll (Dougy math )

Current plus-minus on the races this season:

+ $1,300

And:
Open Parlay $12 to win $2k
-Austin Hill Daytona (WIN)
-Scottie Masters
-Spurs win West

 

[jjgold]

What’s Joey Logano up to these days?

 

[BigJay]

What’s Joey Logano up to these days?

He’s still bald coach

 

[Tanko]

What’s Joey Logano up to these days?

He's like 6'5" or something and his wife is 4' 10"



One of the few NASCAR stars with, what i would call, a wife that isn't drop dead gorgeous. Beautiful, but not gorgeous.

 

[BigJay]

 

[jjgold]

Do you think he’s lived up to his name? He’s a solid racecar driver, but he didn’t even dominate.

 

[BigJay]

Do you think he’s lived up to his name? He’s a solid racecar driver, but he didn’t even dominate.

I remember late 2000s he was supposed to be the next big thing.

He has 37 career Cup wins and is a 3-time Cup Season Champion (2018, 2022, 2024).

Sure-fire Hall of Famer.

His titles are one of the reasons nascar switched the scoring format for the championship beginning this season. Logano’s team mastered the old format and he was great at the track they had the season-ending championship race in Phoenix. So if Logano somehow got to the “Final Four” Championship Sunday, even though he didn’t have as good a regular season as several others.