Saturday-Friday May 24 Taters, Dingers&Punchouts

[krg]

Best of luck tonight pirate. Tough loss for us last night with the Yanks. Hopefully the ball bounces our way tonight.

 

[doyleellis11]

Umpire Overs are strait CASH very Nice Thank You Pirate !

 

[piratealew]

Decent Tuesday thanks to Brewers and 7-5 on top plays with Baltimore pending. Hit 3-1 on the Umpire overs again, now 15-2. Let's see what Wednesday Brings!

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Guardians-121
⭐️Twins-125
⭐️Braves-128
⭐️Tampa-118
⭐️Royals+108
⭐️Pirates-112
⭐️Brewers-125
⭐️San Diego Chaplains-117
⭐️Rockies+110 (First 5 innings)
⭐️Yanks/Mariners Over 7.5-120
⭐️Rangers/Phils Over 9-135
Phillies-130
Dodgers-1.5-130
Orioles-130 (Game 2)
Toronto-1.5-114
Yankees-144
Astros-1-128
Tigers/Royals Over 7-115 (See writeup)
Brewers/Marlins over 7-125
Mets/Guardians Over 8.5-130
Angels/Astros Over 8.5-120
Twins/Nats UNDER 9.5-115
⭐️Orioles-134 (Continuation from Tuesday/Game 1)
Orioles/Cards Over 8.5-120 (Continuation from Tuesday/Game 1)
Note: Most Umpire assignments are just being made this morning.

**One Umpire Over that stands out and played above is Detroit/Kansas City with Mark Wegner who is 5-3 to the over this year, with an avg ERA of 4.5 and whip of 1.4. Mark has been a hitter friendly ump for his whole time in the MLB, His last 2 years consisting of 56 games behind home, he has had 55.6% go over, or an aerage of nearly 10 runs over last years on 63% called strikes. He is hitting the same averages in 9 games this year, with 9.9 runs scored like this with most recent first 9, 7, 4, 21, 5, 13, 8, 10, 12. Only 2 have come in lower than today's posted total of 7, with one pushing this total. Interestingly, in one "pitchers dual" game he umped btw Braves and Phils with 2 aces going (Strider Vs Wheeler), it resulted in 12 runs, 8 walks, on 64% called strikes. I do expect some good pitching today buy Skubal has struggled against the Royals Here's to a 8-4 Royals win.

Worth noting: Hamari in Boston/Tampa games looks intriguing but he's been slightly more pitcher friendly over his years. He is also calling 66% strikes, a bit more than avg, while his games are averaging 9.4 runs this year, over his last 2-3 years it's 8.8 runs on close to 65% called strikes. No play as yet on that total as he's more a 50/50 guy.

 

[doyleellis11]

Decent Tuesday thanks to Brewers and 7-5 on top plays with Baltimore pending. Hit 3-1 on the Umpire overs again, now 15-2. Let's see what Wednesday Brings!

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Guardians-121
⭐️Twins-125
⭐️Braves-128
⭐️Tampa-118
⭐️Royals+108
⭐️Pirates-112
⭐️Brewers-125
⭐️San Diego Chaplains-117
⭐️Rockies+110 (First 5 innings)
⭐️Yanks/Mariners Over 7.5-120
⭐️Rangers/Phils Over 9-135
Phillies-130
Dodgers-1.5-130
Orioles-130 (Game 2)
Toronto-1.5-114
Yankees-144
Astros-1-128
Tigers/Royals Over 7-115 (See writeup)
Brewers/Marlins over 7-125
Mets/Guardians Over 8.5-130
Angels/Astros Over 8.5-120
Twins/Nats UNDER 9.5-115
⭐️Orioles-134 (Continuation from Tuesday/Game 1)
Orioles/Cards Over 8.5-120 (Continuation from Tuesday/Game 1)
Note: Most Umpire assignments are just being made this morning.

**One Umpire Over that stands out and played above is Detroit/Kansas City with Mark Wegner who is 5-3 to the over this year, with an avg ERA of 4.5 and whip of 1.4. Mark has been a hitter friendly ump for his whole time in the MLB, His last 2 years consisting of 56 games behind home, he has had 55.6% go over, or an aerage of nearly 10 runs over last years on 63% called strikes. He is hitting the same averages in 9 games this year, with 9.9 runs scored like this with most recent first 9, 7, 4, 21, 5, 13, 8, 10, 12. Only 2 have come in lower than today's posted total of 7, with one pushing this total. Interestingly, in one "pitchers dual" game he umped btw Braves and Phils with 2 aces going (Strider Vs Wheeler), it resulted in 12 runs, 8 walks, on 64% called strikes. I do expect some good pitching today buy Skubal has struggled against the Royals Here's to a 8-4 Royals win.

Worth noting: Hamari in Boston/Tampa games looks intriguing but he's been slightly more pitcher friendly over his years. He is also calling 66% strikes, a bit more than avg, while his games are averaging 9.4 runs this year, over his last 2-3 years it's 8.8 runs on close to 65% called strikes. No play as yet on that total as he's more a 50/50 guy.

 

[doyleellis11]

Great stuff Mr Pirate ! Thanks for your write-up San a for posting your plays …

 

[phantom888]

@piratealew
Luv the write ups!
Wondering why KC over isn’t starred versus the starred totals? Yanks ands Phil’s that are? What made them starred and KC not?
Thanks

 

[piratealew]

I had enough wagered on the Royals already so i rarely double up or go big on the same game, not often at least. also the pitching matchup was a bit better in the royals game but luckily the over cashed with ease.

Another Umpire over cashes. 16-2 on those now. Top 2 plays cashed and one of my rare unders. Now Royals can finish off a near perfect afternoon

 

[phantom888]

I had enough wagered on the Royals already so i rarely double up or go big on the same game, not often at least. also the pitching matchup was a bit better in the royals game but luckily the over cashed with ease.

Another Umpire over cashes. 16-2 on those now. Top 2 plays cashed and one of my rare unders. Now Royals can finish off a near perfect afternoon

Understood.

kc easy over!
Perfecto!!

congrats!!

 

[piratealew]

Really good afternoon. Hope the evening brings us more winners.

Adding:

⭐️Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-130
Colorado/Oakland Over 7.5-115

 

[krg]

Good job pirate, keep it rolling.

 

[phantom888]

Really good afternoon. Hope the evening brings us more winners.

Adding:

⭐️Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-130
Colorado/Oakland Over 7.5-115

What’s wrong with Dodgers? They sucking.
I didn’t play it, but sheesh it’s feast or famine with them

 

[piratealew]

^Dodgers dont even show up half the time anymore. They just act like they're sleep-walking..

14-10 Wed/8-4 Top plays/556-473YTD/ (298-225 Top plays)
Hit the top 3 plays for a real good day and another Umpire over for 16-2 on those plays. Lets see what Thurs brings us.

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Pirates-1-109
⭐️Orioles-1.5-130
⭐️Padres-103
⭐️Phillies-1-140
⭐️Cubs+109
⭐️Colorado/Oakland Over 7.5-125
Yankees-137
Oakland-117
Pittsburgh/San Fran Over 8-115
San Dog/Cincy Over 9-130
Baltimore/Chicago Over 8-120
New York/Seattle UNDER 8.5-130

 

[piratealew]

Looking at the ump assigments that have been made (Only 4 so far), and none are that appealing. 3 of the 4 have had most of their games go under, Hudson in Cincy/SD game has hit 5-3 to the over this year with an avg pitching ERA of 4.0 on 63.9% called strikes, and 8.7 runs per game in his 10 so far, he is more neutral to slightly hitter friendly. I played the over earlier, but after looking at it a bit more and his past games, I'll add a few more bones to this and this will be a umpire over as well but not a strong one like the last few. Cincy/SD Over

 

[piratealew]

⭐️Tigers-105

 

[piratealew]

Huge afternoon despite the epic Pirates collapse. 7-2 with Oakland pending. Also cashed another umpire over. now 17-2 on those.

 

[piratealew]

Epic 10-3 today

 

[doyleellis11]

Way to go Pirate ! Nice Work ! I want to play LA Dodge today hope they are not Sleep walking !!! Thank You Sir …

 

[piratealew]

10-3 Friday/566-476 YTD/ (302-228 Top plays)

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Cubs-132
⭐️Giants+125
⭐️Royals-110
⭐️Cleveland+100
⭐️Astros-1-132
⭐️Mariners-134
⭐️Bodymore Oreos-1.5-138
⭐️Killadelphia Phillies-1.5.-125
⭐️Arizona-1-139
⭐️Yankees-105 (Yanks are hot, Padres are 7-8 against Lefties, YU is great but yanks can hit him)
⭐️Toronto/Detroit Over 7.5-130
Toronto-112
Twins-144
Dodgers-150
Red Sox-125
Royals/Tampons Over 7.5-120
Pirates/Braves Over 9.5-115
Giants/Mutts Over 7.5-115
Miami/Arizona Over 7.5-112
Yanks/Fathers Over 7-135

***1 umpire over so far---Toronto/Detroit with a guy I've played on a few times this year (last tiime went under tnx to marlins not hitting). Mark Ripperger who is 7-2-1 to the over this year, with an average of 9.5 runs this year despite last 3 being low scoring. (5, 8, 3, 9, 10, 7, 17, 17, 9, and 10). Given this guy's track record, I think the low numbers lately are an anomoly. Looking at his last 2 years and 71 games, ghis games hit 55.2% to the over on 64% called strikes and a strikeout to Base on ball ratio of around 2.5 which favors the hitters (3 or more is better for pitchers/4+ is ideal for a pitcher), averaging 9.2 runs per game last 2 years as well. The avg ERA for his games this year is 4.1. Further helping this over are the offenses with Toronto Scoring 5.57 runs their last 7 games and tigers around 5 runs last 7. Jays pitcher Manoah holds a 13.5 ERA on the road, and Matt Manning for the tigers is pitching at a 5.82 ERA at home. The over might have some extra help from the ump to get across the # tonight with favorable pitching.

Let's keep crushin' the books.

 

[doyleellis11]

Thank You !

 

[phantom888]

Total up to 8.5

be lucky!