Saturday-Friday May 17 bases

[piratealew]

12-11 Fri/430-364 YTD (233-164 Top plays)
Hit the #1 Play, and 6 of the top 7, 7-4 top plays for a really good bounceback Friday.

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Dodgers-135
⭐️Phillies-128
⭐️Orioles-1-110
⭐️Twins+140
⭐️Braves-144
⭐️Rangers-1-130
⭐️Yankees-115
⭐️Royals-136
⭐️Guardians/White Sux Over 7.5-125
⭐️Brewers/Cards Over 7.5-112
⭐️Seattle/Oakland Over 7-120
Guardians-1-125
Cubs-103
Brewers-1-125
Mariners-0.5-135 (First 5 innings)
Reds-118
Tigers-125
Red Sux-1-105
Yankees/Tampons Over 7.5-105
Red Legs/Gigantes Over 7.5-105

GL to all.

 

[piratealew]

LA Doyers/San Diego Chaplins Over 9-120

 

[piratealew]

Weird this post didn't take from my phone. Posted across the street and reddit.
⭐️Houston/Detroit Over 7.5-108
Texas Lone Rangers/The Lead State Rockies Over 9.5-113

 

[piratealew]

11-11 St/6-5 Top plays
Hit the top 2 Yanks/Phils for a decent + day. Hope everyone has a great Mother's Day especially the Mother's.

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Twins-119
⭐️Orioles-118
⭐️Dodgers-119
⭐️Braves-115
⭐️Guardians-1-127
⭐️Pirates+102
⭐️Houston-109
⭐️Rangers-135
⭐️Royals-120 (First 5 ML)
⭐️Phillies/Fish over 7-110
⭐️Brewers/Cards Over 7.5-130
Brewers-130
Red Sox-140
Reds+113
Mariners-1.5-105
Cubbies/Pirates Over 8-115
Detroit/Houston Over 7.5-115
Dodgers/Padres Over 7.5-125
Arizona/Baltimore Over 7.5-115
Twinks/Blow Jays Over 8-120

 

[piratealew]

Forgot 2 from my card

Phillies-1.5-121
Rangers/Rocks Over 10.5-115

 

[piratealew]

Not sure how I left yankees off, guess i wasn't paying attention.

adding more to my Yankees pre game bet, but betting RL

Yankees-1.5-110 (Live Bottom 1st)

 

[piratealew]

Monday

⭐️Washington Nasty Nats-122
⭐️Phillies-115
⭐️Brewers-133
⭐️Boston-113
⭐️Orioles-1-110
⭐️Tigers-1-105
⭐️Arizona-135
⭐️Royals+135
⭐️Guardians/Rangers Over 8-130
⭐️Oakland/Houston Over 8.5-115
Cubs+0.5-125 (F5/First 5 innings + RL)
Guardians+105
Angels-105
Padres-1-145
Gigantes+1.5-105
Cincy/Arizona Over 8-130
Phillies/Mutts Over 7.5-104
Marlin/Tigers Over 8-115
Rocks/Padres Over 7.5-130

 

[piratealew]

***Angels above is a top play

 

[piratealew]

Nats was rained out so my top play last night Philly came through in the end in dramatic fashion, while Angels blow a 4 run lead late. Gott love later innings baseball with bad bullpens and extra innings. Split most of the rest 9-8...griding on to Tuesday...Off to PT again for my knee, will be around later today...

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Washington Nasty Nats-114 (Game 1)
⭐️Arizona-108
⭐️Dodgers-1-126
⭐️Mariners-143
⭐️Tigers-1-115
⭐️Tampa+110
⭐️Phillies-128
⭐️Baltimore-146
⭐️Twinks/Yanks Over 7.5-125
⭐️Brewers/Pirates Over 8-120
Twins+125
Guardians+103
Padres-1.5-125
Brewers-144
Braves-1-135
Phillies/Mutts over 7.5-120
Cards/Angels Over 7.5-115
Rocks/Chaplains Over 7-112 (Rockies/Padres for those who dont know)
KC/Seattle Over 7-115

 

[doyleellis11]

Good Luck Pirate ! Thanks for Posting !

 

[piratealew]

Forgetting things in my older age, left off Cards and total bet.

⭐️Cardinals-134
Cards/Angels Over 7-120

 

[piratealew]

⭐️White Sox+106 (Game 2)

Fedde revenge game against his old Nationals team, it takes a lot for me to back the White sox against anyone but this matchup calls for it. Fedde is clearly White Sox suprise and best pitcher this year. The white sox also seem to play harder when he is pitching as they have won four of his last 5 starts. With a team that only has 12 wins to its name this year, that is significant. In Fedde's last start, he shut out Cleveland Guardians holding them to no runs. In 2 starts prior he silenced Tampa's offense across 8.1 solid innings he only allowed 2 runs, but more importantly, he recorded 9 Strikeouts. Adding to the list, he's also shut down the high-scoring Royals, once for 0 runs, and another allowing only 1 run. If he can shut down teams of this caliber with better offensive firepower than the Nats, he should be able to dominate his old team with the added motivation.

 

[piratealew]

Astros-1-120

 

[piratealew]

Nasty Nats finished it off, good to cash that one now lets get some more tonight, now have to pull for white sox in G2. I also like the Oakland over, just prob going to play this one for now.

Dodgers/Gigantes Over 8-115

 

[piratealew]

11-10 Tues/472-405 YTD/ (252-187 Top plays)

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Dodgers-135
⭐️Yankees+115
⭐️Phillies-1-125
⭐️Baltimore Oreos-123
⭐️Texas Lone Rangers-144
⭐️Tampa+127
⭐️Braves-1-110
⭐️Tigers-1-114
⭐️Cincinnati Red Legs+130
⭐️A's/Astros Over 7.5-125
⭐️KC/Seattle Over 7.5-112
Astros-1.5-110
Nationals+128
Brewers-137
Angels+108
Mariners-138
Padres-1.5-120
Nationals/White Sux Over 7.5-115
Cincy/Arizona Over 8-130
Cubs/Braves UNDER 9-130

 

[piratealew]

Some of you may remember the last time I played totals of games with 2 very hitter friendly umps. One was Mark "walk to First" Ripperberger. He is the home palte ump in San Diego's game with the Rocks today. His games he officiates average this year 10.3 runs (10, 7, 17, 17, 9, 9, 3, 10) All but one came in at over the total of this game. He tends to award more base on balls and call less strikes. Not the only determing factor but taken in conjuction with the recent hitting success of the rocks and ability of the Pads to hit rockies pitching today, especially the bullpen. Both starting pitchers recently pitched well against these same teams, but usually 2nd time around hitters have more of advantage having now seen the pitcher a few times through the previous game.

⭐️Rocks/Padres Over 7-115

 

[piratealew]

Some of you may remember the last time I played totals of games with 2 very hitter friendly umps. One was Mark "walk to First" Ripperberger. He is the home palte ump in San Diego's game with the Rocks today. His games he officiates average this year 10.3 runs (10, 7, 17, 17, 9, 9, 3, 10) All but one came in at over the total of this game. He tends to award more base on balls and call less strikes. Not the only determing factor but taken in conjuction with the recent hitting success of the rocks and ability of the Pads to hit rockies pitching today, especially the bullpen. Both starting pitchers recently pitched well against these same teams, but usually 2nd time around hitters have more of advantage having now seen the pitcher a few times through the previous game.

⭐️Rocks/Padres Over 7-115

The over hit again, this all thanks to the Rockies, think i'm 4-0 on Umpire overs so far. LOL

The next over I'm playing tonight isn't much of an umpire play but it does help that it's Larry Vanover, in 7 games he's umped this year behind home, his avg is 9.8 runs per game, as he more hitter friendly than average. His lowest total was 6 runs in SFO where it is a pitcher's parlk to as high as 13 in Washington and 16 in Minnesota. His only other game that stayed under this game of total of 8 tonight is 7 runs in a Yankees/Dbacks game with 2 good pitchers (Gil Vs Nelson). More importantly, these teams are hitting each other's pitching as we saw the last 2 nights. Cards won 10-5 in game 1 and even with Cards ace Sonny Gray pitching last night they won in a 7-6 game. I believe the bats stay hot, given the pitching. Lance Lynn can be a gas can at times, and Griff Canning is posting a 5+ ERA. I have this game at 9 runs, and hopefully with some umpire ease on the batters, we may hit the total without having to sweat at the end (hopefully). This is a regular play as i have enough on Overs and Angels ML is a top play now as well.

Cardinals/Angels Over 8-115


***Edit above: Angels ML is a top play

 

[piratealew]

Hope everyone hit the over writeups about the umps. 2-0 again on those now. Maybe I should be doing more of these.

12-10 Thurs/6-5 top plays

Crappy Slate again for Thursday but here's what I played:

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Yankees+109
⭐️Phillies-141
⭐️Cubs-128
⭐️Red Sox-102
⭐️Mutts/Phillies Over 8-115
Dodgers-1.5-130
Astros-1-145
Pirates/Cubs Over 7.5-113
A's/Astros Over 8.5-113

 

[piratealew]

FYI to everyone who like the "Umpire Overs." We have another in a play I already am big on. Phils/Mutts Over. Chris Guccione, who's games he officiates are averaging 9.6 runs per game this year, with a strike call ratio of 62.5% (low for MLB, usually around 64-65). His last game was Miami/oak in which 15 runs were scored and 10 walks issued (High). His other games? 10, 8, 8, 9, 7, 9, and 11. His lowest being 7 (Once). The total today is 8. all but one have come in over this number. None of these games were in Mile High colorado.
Already loved the over as Phils stadium is a hitters haven, and Phils bats have been hot, cashing over tickets frequently of late. I have this game pegged at 10 runs, and with a little umpire help hopefully, we could see the total cash middle innings, esp if he remains true to form---that he is a more hitter-friendly ump (More balls/walks, less strikes).

 

[doyleellis11]

Thanks Pirate , Gonna ride it too ! Good Luck