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Notre Dame -21 +105

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
63,354
Last year Navy almost upset ND with a second half collapse by the Irish as they were up 35-13. Navy has a new head coach & quarterback this year that is throwing out a new version of the triple option “whatever that means”. So I don’t like that scenario for them to be successful in their 1st game of the season.

Notre Dame has a new 6 year senior transfer quarterback to take the helm which I am high on as a legitimate productive quarterback at the collegiate level Sam Hartman. Notre Dame is returning 15 seniors to the squad and are hoping to not have a slow start as they did last year.

The game is in Dublin Ireland, so naturally they will have some sort of home-field advantage. I see a 30 point plus blowout taking place in this one. I even sold back a half point to the Bookmaker to get this play at even plus odds on a key number don’t care.

Take Notre Dame at whatever number you are comfortable with, but lay the points men :yes: & good luck if you tail. 🍀
 

Pimike

Pimike

Joined
Oct 30, 2021
Messages
12,233
Interesting

you sure these kids won’t be partying over there?
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
50,191
Yes, this game is not until August 26th lol. Can you tell I’m excited Genie ? 😁
You are just right in time, JDS! Looks like you already consider and studied all the angles that leads you to pick this game. Right now, all you need to do is to sit back and relax and enjoy the game day.
 
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theboss4018

theboss4018

Joined
Mar 28, 2022
Messages
836
Last year Navy almost upset ND with a second half collapse by the Irish as they were up 35-13. Navy has a new head coach & quarterback this year that is throwing out a new version of the triple option “whatever that means”. So I don’t like that scenario for them to be successful in their 1st game of the season.

Notre Dame has a new 6 year senior transfer quarterback to take the helm which I am high on as a legitimate productive quarterback at the collegiate level Sam Hartman. Notre Dame is returning 15 seniors to the squad and are hoping to not have a slow start as they did last year.

The game is in Dublin Ireland, so naturally they will have some sort of home-field advantage. I see a 30 point plus blowout taking place in this one. I even sold back a half point to the Bookmaker to get this play at even plus odds on a key number don’t care.

Take Notre Dame at whatever number you are comfortable with, but lay the points men :yes: & good luck if you tail. 🍀
On it. Thanks Jerky!
 
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,082
Jerky I have capped this game and I'm close to the number.

My current stacking percentages forecast shows Notre Dame winning the game with 35 or 38 points to Navy's 14 or 17 points. Remember, I essentially assess the same probablilites to the 35 or 38 and 14 or 17 as they are market and key number adjustments. We've seen this before in my stacking percentages forecast, especially with football.

That basically means ND is predicted to win by 24 (38-14), 21 (38-17 or 35-14), or 18 (35-17). Feels like a pretty well place line here.

The non predicitve public gauge shows ND winning 35-17.

Feels good to post a stacking percentages forecast, it's been awhile.

Good Luck pal.

:drinks:
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
63,354
Jerky I have capped this game and I'm close to the number.

My current stacking percentages forecast shows Notre Dame winning the game with 35 or 38 points to Navy's 14 or 17 points. Remember, I essentially assess the same probablilites to the 35 or 38 and 14 or 17 as they are market and key number adjustments. We've seen this before in my stacking percentages forecast, especially with football.

That basically means ND is predicted to win by 24 (38-14), 21 (38-17 or 35-14), or 18 (35-17). Feels like a pretty well place line here.

The non predicitve public gauge shows ND winning 35-17.

Feels good to post a stacking percentages forecast, it's been awhile.

Good Luck pal.

:drinks:
Appreciate your input as I know you love to share your SPF so never hesitate to do so.
 
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