Nicholls St. +150

[KVB]

Also of market note is the the pressure seems to be mitigating on that Tex A&M CC spread with Nicholls money but, oddly, we have a situation where Tex A&M CC moneyline is not being mitigated.

This condition, I believe, is contributing to the overall rise in spread to -3 and above. Because the moneyline is being hit on the favorite, the spread is being pressured to rise in accordance, overwhleming the pressure of the Nicholls spread money.

This condition still exists whereby money and tickets are hitting the Nicholls St spread in the face of the same hitting the Tex A&M CC moneyline across the broader markets. In some cases though, the spread pressure may have and is helping to lower that moneyline.

It's a little unusual to have it this way, but with a spread as high as 3 or 3.5, it's a little more likely than a 2 or less spread, where you see money hit the -2, instead of laying them moneyline, and dog bettors take the plus moneyline instead of the small spread regardless of the relative value.

 

[KVB]

Circa showing -145/+125, that's a lower 3.5% hold with an implied no vig line of -133/+133.

Markets at -150/+130 is a 3.36% hold with a no vig line of -138/+138.

-155/+135 is a 3.23% hold with a no vig line of, get this...-142.84/+142.84.

Jerky has +150, I am sitting on +142 and +140.

These higher prices in the -160s/+130's are a much higher hold % but a no vig line closer to -145/+145.

Jerky's +150 is looking pretty good here.

 

[JDS]

Circa showing -145/+125, that's a lower 3.5% hold with an implied no vig line of -133/+133.

Markets at -150/+130 is a 3.36% hold with a no vig line of -138/+138.

-155/+135 is a 3.23% hold with a no vig line of, get this...-142.84/+142.84.

Jerky has +150, I am sitting on +142 and +140.

These higher prices in the -160s/+130's are a much higher hold % but a no vig line closer to -145/+145.

Jerky's +150 is looking pretty good here.

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">via GIPHY</a></p>

 

[KVB]

Game on.

Win or lose, I love this thread.

I apologize for sort of taking over and filling it with posts, but it was a great game to highlight. I hope some appreciate my take and approach, so market based. Not the write up most are used to.

Thanks Jerky.

 

[JDS]

Game on.

Win or lose, I love this thread.

I apologize for sort of taking over and filling it with posts, but it was a great game to highlight. I hope some appreciate my take and approach, so market based. Not the write up most are used to.

Thanks Jerky.

You can take over my threads as much as you want and need in order to deliver a learning lesson for all us, always appreciate your input buddy let's get a win on top of it brother

 

[KVB]

This condition still exists whereby money and tickets are hitting the Nicholls St spread in the face of the same hitting the Tex A&M CC moneyline across the broader markets.

If Texas A&M CC wins this game without covering the spread, the book gets hit on both ends as those bettors all get paid.

 

[charliebrown]

Same to you with WF +7.5

Got me thinking about a strategy I used in 2004. It worked like gem

 

[KVB]

Nasty ticky tack foul on one of our leaders after we took the lead and went up 14-11. He was forced to sit.

Nicholls is not a very deep team.

 

[JDS]

JFC a lot of offensive rebounds by Texas A&M CC

 

[KingKolzig]

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">via GIPHY</a></p>

She really hot? Looks greasy

 

[KVB]

Under 4 minute timeout.

Nicholls responding to their scoring drought and even taking the lead before the timeout.

A good sign here for the sharp side.

 

[KVB]

Nicholls hit as much as +200 LIVE during the drought. I almost struck but didn't.

I'm gonna regret that.

 

[JDS]

Texas A&M CC 32 Nicholls St. 31 halftime.

 

[KVB]

I like our spot.

Nobody is interested in the 2nd half and some of the best LIVE lines on Nicholls are +140 and +150, but most are down to the 120's.

Imagine that, lol.

We scored the very first bucket, but we trail by one at the half.

I still like our position here, Jerky.

 

[KVB]

Nicholls hit as much as +200 LIVE during the drought. I almost struck but didn't.

I'm gonna regret that.

Yup, I regret not trading this game.

 

[KVB]

I have opened a position with Nicholls St +160 LIVE.

I believe an overreaction to the foul situation here.

 

[KVB]

Typo there it was +160, not +170.

 

[KVB]

Tried to close the +160 with a +142, couldn't get in.



I might not close this at all, lol.

 

[quantumleap]

Game on.

Win or lose, I love this thread.

I apologize for sort of taking over and filling it with posts, but it was a great game to highlight. I hope some appreciate my take and approach, so market based. Not the write up most are used to.

Thanks Jerky.

I, for one, enjoy reading your reasoning.

 

[JDS]

I have opened a position with Nicholls St +160 LIVE.

I believe an overreaction to the foul situation here.

You double dipping motherf*******