My season long MLB picks thread

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djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
1,039
Time to grind back the other way with these two medium sized favorites. 🫡

that’s usually my preferred play - playing faves up to -150 or so - occasionally a home dog.

Just like always though - try and get greedy at bases and pad your bankroll with a few bigger faves - it is just as likely to bite you in the ass and take twice as long to make back up.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
39,463
that’s usually my preferred play - playing faves up to -150 or so - occasionally a home dog.

Just like always though - try and get greedy at bases and pad your bankroll with a few bigger faves - it is just as likely to bite you in the ass and take twice as long to make back up.
Yes I agree, last week I lost with a -200 favorite Houston at home over the Angels. Dumbest bet of the season and they were actually winning 6-1 midway through. They ened up losing like 9-7. In my mind I made that bet thinking long term the implied probability was 70% to offset the juice. If it doesn’t win, it doesn’t matter because I usually don’t bet those type of games.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
1,039
And another losing day 0-2 -287

YTD 32-25-3 -631

The juice will get you every time - at least I’m still within striking distance of break even with a few good days again. Seems to go one way or the other.

Smaller card today - may not be any plays.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
35,566
And another losing day 0-2 -287

YTD 32-25-3 -631

The juice will get you every time - at least I’m still within striking distance of break even with a few good days again. Seems to go one way or the other.

Smaller card today - may not be any plays.
:yes:

Shake it off DJ. You know, just like the posts above say, MLB is a grind.
 
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