My Daily Picks Entry

[Player Prop Savant]

 

[Player Prop Savant]

 

[Player Prop Savant]

German Marquez on the bump at home. Is 2 runs per game better at coors. Rockies as a team are 60 points better at home and are 43-22-13 to the first five at Coors field.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Y’all know I love this team. Home Ajax is insane. Average 4.8 goals per game at home in last 6. Two conceded.
Hit this 6 of 8 at home. Win the first half at an 80 percent rate. 58 percent of goals come in first half.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Bayern at home today. Averaging 5 goals per game at home 9-0-1 in last 10 at their home pitch. Kyiv xG allowed sits around .9 on road, in a much worse Ukraine domestic league than bundesliga. Bayern at home wins 80 percent of their first halves, and score first in 90 percent of matches. In three home fixtures this season, 25 shots on goal.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Basel at home - averages 2.3 goals per home match. Of the last 5 home fixtures this has full cashed in 4 of them.
Kairat Scores 2.2 goals on road with 16 percent conversion rate on shots to goals.
This has hit in 4/5 for kairat on road.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

This has hit in last 2 head to heads
3/4 of volendam home matches have cleared this number, with them scoring themselves in all 4.
Hit in 4/6 Almere city road matches.
Volendam, 4 home matches this season, 28 shots on target, 10 goals.
Very high paced match, let’s see some early goals.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Both fighters have extreme advantages over the other. Schevchenko in the striking department, o neill on the ground. See this ending by one of their strengths, either schevchenko early or o Neill late.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Game script leaning the way of buccaneers winning. Cleared in 2/3 both of which were losses. Tampa’s front is by far the strongest part of their defense, see the pats having to throw 40-45 times to move the ball at all in foxboro.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Great total, top option on offense for Vegas team who will need to keep up on offense to stick with chargers.
Waller has 33 targets through 3 weeks and faces chargers team who is fifth worse in NFL in yards allowed to tight ends.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Morocco overall at home only conceding .14 goals per match. Guinea sitting at only 20 percent clean sheets on road. Morocco sits at 90 percent first half clean sheets at home. Also they have never lost a 1H at home in over 2.5 years. 10-0-5 in last 15 home matches.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Rwanda only scores in 25 percent of first halves, Uganda in only 22%. On defense, both sides keeping over 60 percent clean sheets. Both teams have struggled finishing shots as well. Taking Rwanda 13 and Uganda 12 shots per goal scored and only averaging 8 per game in matches, numbers point to a slow methodical start. With possible goals sprinkled late.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ 9 of last 10, home matches we’ve seen a goal conceded by Lichtenstein
⁃ Lichtenstein with a 0 xG at home and 2.92 against. Never kept a clean sheet
⁃ Average 13 shots per game, see those turning into at least 3 goals

Good luck everyone!

 

[Player Prop Savant]

- Serbia won last 3 meaningful (non friendly) first halves. Won last 2 on road.
- 3-0 head to head 1H in past 3 years vs Luxemborg.
- At home Luxemborg 1.54 xG allowed.
- 1H Serbia keeps 70 percent clean sheets and scores in 50 percent of them, while Luxemborg concedes in over 60 percent of their first 1H.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

• Give me this line again! 84 + in every game this season
• Cleveland 73 percent run block advantage
• Chiefs yes (6.2 YPC) cowboys yes (6.4) washing yes (4.7) back clearing this total
• To relate, New England has 79% over Houston this week. And everyone and mom on Harris.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

⁃ Germany averaging 20 total shots per match with 70 percent of games reaching 7 shots on. Target . Very nice 14 percent conversion rate as well
⁃ And last 3 vs Romania (0-0)Armenia (0-0) and Netherlands
⁃ Germany beat Armenia 6-0 Romania 2-1
⁃ Germany has held clean sheets in last 2 away fixtures.
⁃ North Macedonia at home only average one score per match, failing to score in 60 percent, play much better on road. Germany on road also only allows .51 expected goals per game with 40 percent clean sheets

 

[Player Prop Savant]

At home 2.05 xG per game, Austria xG allowed 1.1. Hit in 7/10 home matches: 62 percent of goals in first half. See one early, then a counter late with Austria needing to push. Love goals here 70 percent of matches Denmark has at least 7 shots on target.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

USA at home tonight vs Costa Rica: last 5 home matches for USA one goal scored in first half
Costa Rica has scored 1 goal in first half in last 7 international matches
Last 5 H2H 3-1-1 to this number

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Cooper, lamb, Ridley, Kupp, Meyers
13/ 7/ 6/9/8 Miami number one? Gaskin with 10
Hurts last week Vegas line vs Carolina 20.5 completions. Had 22 completions 7 to smith 31 percent of completion percentageNow take out Goedert 10 percent target share
Could add on to 22 percent target share we see already for smith.
11 catches thru first 3 weeks
19 in last 2
13 players have hit 50 yards against this defense. Only way to move the ball on this defense is through the air.

 

[Player Prop Savant]

Hit in last 2 head to head
4/6 in last 6 home matches for Breda
Breda has scored in 8 of their last 9 home first halves
Last 4 head to heads
53 total shots on target, 20 goals.
Should be open from the start, VAMOS!