MAC-anations Starts Tuesday & Continue Wedenesday

[keithrichard]

You know I really don't get any pleasure in pointing out other people's mistakes. Some people would just make a mountain out of a molehill.

 

[Tanko]

You know I really don't get any pleasure in pointing out other people's mistakes. Some people would just make a mountain out of a molehill.

Not an issue for me KR. Bring it up whenever you see them on my posts. I appreciate it.
Thanks.

 

[keithrichard]

Not an issue for me KR. Bring it up whenever you see them on my posts. I appreciate it.
Thanks.

You mean ALL of them?

 

[keithrichard]

You know lm just kidding?

 

[Tanko]

Got a win on Ball St.

 

[Tanko]

Couple more MAC-anations games tonight. Both start at 7:00 ET.

Cent. Mich + 6 @ N. Illinois
West. Mich +4.5 @ Bowling Green

 

[Tanko]

I love this conference. These are some of the worst teams in the country. Trying to find something of an edge in these teams is like digging through trash to only find a dirty diaper.

But, we're on Bowling Green as a play tonight. We're riding their 2 game win streak (& 3 wins out of last 4).

Bowling Green -4.5

 

[biggins]

Buffalo vs Ohio Betting Pick​

Bangura’s health must be monitored for Ohio, as the running back and Rourke look to keep the chains moving with a mixture of inside and outside zone read.

With the health of the running back in question, combined with Albin’s request that Wiglusz receives additional targets, there’s an expectation that Ohio puts the ball in the air plenty.

This effort will lead the Rourke-Wiglusz connection to Bulls slot cornerback Keyshawn Cobb when Buffalo elects to run man coverage. Ohio ranks top-10 nationally in first downs through the air, which may increase given the Bulls’ struggles to implement man coverage.

For Buffalo, Snyder has escaped pressured pockets all season with 137 scramble yards. Another 90 yards from designed runs have helped him score four rushing touchdowns, but Snyder has struggled to hold onto the ball.

The Bobcats have played behind the line of scrimmage on defense with a rank of 20th in Stuff Rate. Ohio has mid-FBS ranks in generating Havoc, but a higher mark in tackles for loss suggests that Buffalo may have issues in early downs.

The Action Network projection makes the home team the favorite by a single point, but it’s the methodology of the Bobcats offense that suggests the total is in play.

If Bangura is unable to go, Ohio will have no other option in the backfield to run quality zone-read attempts with Rourke. If Wiglusz targets take place on standard downs, Buffalo will struggle to keep points off the board, ranking 130th in FBS in defending standard downs explosiveness.

Conversely, Buffalo may have success in long down and distances when Snyder scrambles. Ohio has been one of the worst teams in the nation at pass defense, signaling that Gassett will generate big plays from the slot.

Furthermore, Ohio ranks near dead last in all analytics when defending passing downs, suggesting that scrambles from Snyder will turn into easy first downs.
The biggest key number in totals is 59, and this total is expected to steam. Both offenses have options in the pass game, where the defenses have no proven track record.

Considering the inability of both teams to tackle or defend the explosive play, we’ll start the first evening of MACtion with an over.

Buffalo vs Ohio Betting Odds, Prediction: Expect Offenses to Shine

Read on for college football odds, picks and predictions for the game between Buffalo and Ohio on Tuesday, November 1.

www.actionnetwork.com

This guy went 1-1 yesterday damn Kent St. didn’t score shit. Here is what he’s on tonight.

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction & Betting Pick​

There are similar ranks for both teams in terms of putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks, making the handicap in this game completely about the execution of the offensive line.

While both offensive lines field similar grades in pass blocking, it’s Western Michigan’s run blocking that ranks third in the MAC, per PFF. In comparison, Bowling Green sits eighth in the conference in run blocking.

Both teams are expected to be in passing downs frequently, an area that heavily favors Western Michigan from an explosiveness perspective.

Steam has hit the market on a Bowling Green team playing at home against the Broncos with a reshuffled offensive line and inexperienced freshman quarterback.

Action Network projects this game as a pick’em, while SP+ calls for a four-point victory by Bowling Green. Any number -3.5 or less should be played on Bowling Green, while plenty of buy-back will hit the market just short of kickoff if Western Michigan +6 pops at a book.

The play for the game lands on the under. The total projection of 41 comes from two teams that rank bottom-20 in Offensive Finishing Drives.

Western Michigan has the better defense in terms of limiting scores in the red zone, placing top-30 in opponent conversion rate. While McDonald will attempt more than a half-dozen explosive passing attempts, the Broncos defense has limited opponents in coverage.

As of writing, the total is steaming from an opener of 44.5 through 47. A bevy of key numbers are in range and should be taken into consideration from a bet sizing perspective, with both 48 and 51 ranking in the top five when it comes to college football totals.

Look to take an under at 48, and increase that bet size through 51 or in the live betting market at 55 and 59.

Pick: Under 48 or Better ⋅ Western Michigan +6 or Better​

 

[biggins]

Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan Betting Pick​

The way to expose Central Michigan’s defense is through the air and not on the ground.

The Chippewas are allowing just 3.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks among the top 25 in the nation. But the group ranks outside the top 100 nationally through the air, allowing an average of 7.4 yards per pass attempt.

Both Lombardi and Hampton missed last week’s game against Ohio. Justin Lynch, who had one career pass attempt, started in that matchup and completed 9-of-18 passes for 110 yards. He failed to lead his team to a game-tying touchdown drive in two attempts in the fourth quarter.

Northern Illinois’ defense has failed to improve this season and is allowing 34 points per game to FBS opponents. The Huskies have been solid against the run but horrid defending the pass, allowing 8.7 yards per pass attempt against FBS teams (119th).

They’ve also given up points on 94% of opponents’ drives inside the 20.

I also question the motivation for Northern Illinois in this matchup. The Huskies are the reigning MAC champions but now need to win out just to become bowl eligible.

This number has jumped up to Central Michigan +6, which has given value to the Chips. CMU covers this number on the road.

Pick: Central Michigan +6 ⋅ Play to +4.5​

Add​

 

[biggins]

Make this guy 4-1 in Mac weekday games.
Made me money last night of which l needed been in a freaking slump losing sucks

 

[Tanko]

Bowling Green should have easily covered that game. The tightend getting stripped of the ball from behind on the 1/2 yard line on a walk-in TD in the 3Q was BS.

Crazy stuff happens in MAC-anations.

 

[biggins]

Neither team deserved to win was hard to watch but the under was golden.

 

[Tanko]

Neither team deserved to win was hard to watch but the under was golden.

I agree. It was bad football. But, we had to know that going in. I think the highest rated MAC team is #93 out of #131 teams.