Just unusual to see the line changes for both 3 matches today compared to the previous day's matches where almost all lines did not even move a little.
JR's 2023-2024 NBA plays
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1-0 tonight as the Magic cruised to an easy victory at home. Didn't play the other two games but my leans were correct as Philly and Denver both win and cover. We got an early 5:30 pm est tip in the Milwaukee/Indiana series so we'll see if I have a play on that one or if I just try to find something in the two night games tomorrow.
Playoff record: 7-8 -2.65 Units
Playoff record: 7-8 -2.65 Units
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Great call on Orlando that was an easy one
Great win, JR!
4/26/24
Indiana Pacers -6.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Dallas Mavericks -4.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
I have two plays on today's three game card. First up I took the Indiana Pacers to cover the spread at home against the Bucks. Giannis is once again out and that's huge because Pascal Siakem has been feasting on Milwaukee in this series and its partly due to the fact that Giannis isn't playing. Indiana is back at home where they should be energized by the crowd and I think it'll be enough for them to cover the spread against a Bucks team that they may be better than because the Bucks without Giannis aren't as good as they normally are.
Next up I like Dallas to cover the spread at home against the Clippers. I don't think Kawhi coming back has helped the Clippers all that much as weird as that sounds but that's because I don't think he's 100% and its screwed up their rotations. They were much better with him off the floor in game 1 and its partly because guys like James Harden stepped up and played a great game. I don't think those guys can sustain that and I think Dallas will play even better at home with Luka leading the way with one of his better games in this series.
Indiana Pacers -6.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Dallas Mavericks -4.5 -110 1.1u to win 1u
I have two plays on today's three game card. First up I took the Indiana Pacers to cover the spread at home against the Bucks. Giannis is once again out and that's huge because Pascal Siakem has been feasting on Milwaukee in this series and its partly due to the fact that Giannis isn't playing. Indiana is back at home where they should be energized by the crowd and I think it'll be enough for them to cover the spread against a Bucks team that they may be better than because the Bucks without Giannis aren't as good as they normally are.
Next up I like Dallas to cover the spread at home against the Clippers. I don't think Kawhi coming back has helped the Clippers all that much as weird as that sounds but that's because I don't think he's 100% and its screwed up their rotations. They were much better with him off the floor in game 1 and its partly because guys like James Harden stepped up and played a great game. I don't think those guys can sustain that and I think Dallas will play even better at home with Luka leading the way with one of his better games in this series.
1-1 tonight as the Pacers hang on to win in Overtime despite blowing a 17 point lead which cost them the cover ultimately so that was frustrating. At least Dallas took care of the Clippers in convincing fashion at home to earn me a split on the day. We'll see what tomorrow brings with a bigger 4 game slate to find some winners on.
Playoff record: 8-9 -2.75 Units
Playoff record: 8-9 -2.75 Units
4/27/24
Miami Heat +10 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Lebron James o44.5 P+R+A -108 1.08u to win 1u
My first play on tonights slate is on the Heat to cover the spread against the Celtics. This seems like too many points for the Celtics to be laying on the road in a playoff game in Miami. If this were the regular season I would find a way to bet the Celtics whether that be first quarter or first half but in the playoffs I expect the Heat to hang around here and possibly even steal this game. I didn't take the +340 on the ML but I don't think it's crazy to think the Heat get one of these two games in Miami because for whatever reason Miami always gives Boston problems. I took the 10 points to be safe but I can see sprinkling on the ML if you're a little ambitious and want a big score.
My next play is on Lebron to go over his P+R+A prop. I think Denver wins this game to close out the Lakers because they just own the Lakers. That said I think Lebron will play his best game trying to extend this series one more game. I see him really carrying this Laker team tonight so I took his over 44.5 P+R+A but I don't think it'll be enough to beat the Nuggets who are clearly better than the Lakers. I just didn't play the side or total here because I think this is the best look on the game to make some money.
Miami Heat +10 -110 1.1u to win 1u
Lebron James o44.5 P+R+A -108 1.08u to win 1u
My first play on tonights slate is on the Heat to cover the spread against the Celtics. This seems like too many points for the Celtics to be laying on the road in a playoff game in Miami. If this were the regular season I would find a way to bet the Celtics whether that be first quarter or first half but in the playoffs I expect the Heat to hang around here and possibly even steal this game. I didn't take the +340 on the ML but I don't think it's crazy to think the Heat get one of these two games in Miami because for whatever reason Miami always gives Boston problems. I took the 10 points to be safe but I can see sprinkling on the ML if you're a little ambitious and want a big score.
My next play is on Lebron to go over his P+R+A prop. I think Denver wins this game to close out the Lakers because they just own the Lakers. That said I think Lebron will play his best game trying to extend this series one more game. I see him really carrying this Laker team tonight so I took his over 44.5 P+R+A but I don't think it'll be enough to beat the Nuggets who are clearly better than the Lakers. I just didn't play the side or total here because I think this is the best look on the game to make some money.
Tough 0-2 night as Miami never stood a chance against the Celtics and Lebron didn't quite go over his P+R+A prop despite a big fourth Quarter in a Lakers victory. We'll see what tomorrow brings I may not force any plays since I have to work in the morning but I might see if there is anything I like in the night games and post my plays here.
Playoff record: 8-11 -4.93 Units
Playoff record: 8-11 -4.93 Units
Wagerallsports
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Get em' today JR
4/28/24
Minnesota Timberwolves ML -103 1.03u to win 1u
Devin Booker o6.5 Assists -125 1.25u to win 1u
I have a couple of plays on the nightcap in the NBA between the Wolves and Suns. First of all, I like Minnesota to wrap this series up tonight. They have been the better team in all three games and it hasn't been close so I don't expect that to change tonight even though I expect the Suns to play their best game in this series with their backs against the wall. I just don't think it'll matter too much as the Suns have had trouble scoring on Minnesota's stingy defense. All that said I do expect Devin Booker to go over his assist prop today because Phoenix at least showed some signs of life on offense last game at home and I expect Booker to be the primary playmaker tonight which means he should rack up assists.
Minnesota Timberwolves ML -103 1.03u to win 1u
Devin Booker o6.5 Assists -125 1.25u to win 1u
I have a couple of plays on the nightcap in the NBA between the Wolves and Suns. First of all, I like Minnesota to wrap this series up tonight. They have been the better team in all three games and it hasn't been close so I don't expect that to change tonight even though I expect the Suns to play their best game in this series with their backs against the wall. I just don't think it'll matter too much as the Suns have had trouble scoring on Minnesota's stingy defense. All that said I do expect Devin Booker to go over his assist prop today because Phoenix at least showed some signs of life on offense last game at home and I expect Booker to be the primary playmaker tonight which means he should rack up assists.
Wagerallsports
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GL jr hope you’re right
I feel stronger about this play than I did about the Nuggets last night which was just a lean for me because I figured Lebron would go down fighting and so would his teammates which is what happened basically. In this one though Minnesota has really imposed their will on Phoenix. They're better than Phoenix and it shows in the way they've been able to lock up the Phoenix stars in this series. I could be wrong because it's the NBA and anything can happen but I feel strongly about both of my plays tonight.
1-1 tonight as the Wolves take care of the Suns on the road but Devin Booker misses going over his assist prop by one assist unfortunately. On to tomorrow's three game slate where hopefully I can find some more winners.
Playoff record: 9-12 -5.18 Units
Playoff record: 9-12 -5.18 Units
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