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JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364
The Lab does not think that Phoenix will come back and did like Dallas, but that ship has sailed...

...Can Portland beat Vegas outright?

The scenario is on the whiteboard and probabilites being hammered out.

Dallas opening a can of whoop ass on Phoenix.

Protland price is still in a range that could be seen as attractive.

Could be.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364
I have picked up Portland ML @.22 cents

This is 1/2 position
Closed this position for .35 cents @ a 59.09% profit.

This will be cut in half as it is 1/2 position.

So this is how tracking works here.

Portland ML @ .22 cents: +.13 cents = +59.09%....half of that = +.065 cents.

Tracking will show a sell for .285 cents @ a 29.55% profit.

:Peace_5:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364
That got up to .39 cents before coming back down.

I almost went in again at .25 cents.

The Lab does think that Portland can knock of Vegas tonight, abut the bias really is more for covering the spread.

But, if they can cover, they can win.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364
I almost went in again at .25 cents.

The Lab does think that Portland can knock of Vegas tonight, abut the bias really is more for covering the spread.

But, if they can cover, they can win.

Yeah maybe not here.

The game went out of its way to get Vegas 6 point halftime lead.

The 1st half line was 5.5.

That's not the best sign for Portland.

I will try to determine the probablity of a Portland push early in the 3rd.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364
He’s been holding positions too long, getting into trouble, turning winners into losers

The key thing there is that the Lab is sending over winners.

Better to have the problem of turning winners into losers than to have the problem of not getting any winners.

So we move ahead, not taking the Lab for granted and not experiencing FOMO, both emotionally and mathematcally, as we proceed to get green and get the fukk out.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364
Two WNBA games tonight.

There are a couple of trading ideas but we need the game to start and to accumulate more data.

Huge movement pregame in game 1 towards Toronto as the line was pushed up from 2.5 to 3 and then sinking towards a pickem.

The Lab agrees with this move and liked Toronto pre game.

Should Toronto come out swinging and looking like a solid play, we may have a trade the other way.

But note that the Lab bias is towards Toronto and that's where I would prefer to trade. I will pass pregam as the 50-50 price doesn't allow much movement for us intially.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364
Should Toronto come out swinging and looking like a solid play, we may have a trade the other way.

Washington ML made it's way to .44 cents, but I held off.

There was a potential trade there to eventually sell but I think we need a better price to scalp.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
24,364
Wash small

Going to make a tuna salad and let this game develop.

Coming back from being down 0-4 and 2-6 to being up 10-8 gave Wasington a bump from .44 to .51

That's still almost a 16% scalp.

Not sure how liquid a full unit would have been
 
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