JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[jjgold]

The layoff hurt you you’re obviously rusty

 

[KVB]

you are off your game KVB. Need to get back into a ZONE. Good Luck.

I have to admit, the Lab is still kicking ass.

But the Trader is being a punk.

Gonna get this line when it moves back down and if we get that slow start, the price should be good too.

I think I lack some confidence as this isn't college basketball.

Time to sack up, I'm wasting Lab work.

 

[KVB]

The layoff hurt you you’re obviously rusty

This is exactly right.

I have not done this with NBA at all in this thread, just hit Houston and that was a buy and hold, more sportsbook like.

When I started tracking in this thead I was 6 or more weeks deep trading and winning daily. I just added to that.

 

[KVB]

At least I got Houston, yesterday should have been Tampa Bay, forget the later shit.

So I have every reason to be confident. But even more reason to be patient.

 

[KVB]

I have picked up POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .59 cents.

This is 1/2 of a position.

 

[KVB]

I have picked up POR/SAS OVER 217.5 @ .51 cents

This is 1/2 position

Didn't reall like this level at 217.5, but I will strike.

 

[KVB]

POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .59 cents.

This is 1/2 of a position.

POR/SAS OVER 217.5 @ .51 cents

This is 1/2 position

The Lab still sees that slower start, so these are 1/2 strikes with the intent to fill, if conditions are right.

 

[KVB]

POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .59 cents.

This is 1/2 of a position.

POR/SAS OVER 217.5 @ .51 cents

This is 1/2 position

Despite letting those lines run before getting in, there is still some EV here with the money that's come in since.

 

[KVB]

POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .59 cents.

This is 1/2 of a position.

POR/SAS OVER 217.5 @ .51 cents

This is 1/2 position

So these are up 40% and 49%, respectively, but since they are 1/2 positions it would count as 20% and 24.5% as far as the units go.

A fast start and while I wish I had full positions, at least I have two 1/2 positions.

For now, I will hold. But I may get out

 

[KVB]

I tried to get out of both in the 80s and couldn't trigger.

I should of gone to market as instead of a slow start to pick up, we saw a fast start, which could die out.

That's what the Lab says.

 

[KVB]

Lost some serious value there by not getting out when green inthe 80s, still green, but not as green.

NBA can fluctuate a bit, so we'll give this a chance.

 

[KVB]

So the error here is my thinking in the amounts I have.

Really trying to maximize the gain since they are 1/2 positions and would already have been out had I had full positions.

See what happened there, it's back to that idea of playing looser with less money on the line.

That is a mistake. If I would get out with a full position, then I should get out with any position.

Playing this one a little loose and if given another chance I may tighten that up.

 

[theriver55]

Get em KVB. see your point.

 

[KVB]

I tried to get out of both in the 80s and couldn't trigger.

I have lost half the value since being in the 80s, but they are still maintaining what I see as a 225 or so pace.

That was closer to 230 when I tried to get out.

Not going to panic, going to be patient. I think we get back up there again.

But the Lab thinks I should have gotten out, it got the move it wanted, even if it thinks the game goes OVER.

 

[KVB]

POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .59 cents.

This is 1/2 of a position.

POR/SAS OVER 217.5 @ .51 cents

This is 1/2 position

I have closed these positions

POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .59 cents for .71 cents @ a 20.34% profit.

POR/SAS OVER 217.5 @ .51 cents for .62 cents @ a 21.57% profit.

These profits are cut in half because they were 1/2 positions.

 

[subaru80]

Probably smart to close

 

[KVB]

Probably smart to close

Yeah, we're right back to the beginning numbers.

I sitll think we see an OVER here, but not sure I'm going back in.

Could easily end up between that 214.5 and 219.

Gave up half the profits though, by missing the early exit tries in the 80s.

 

[KVB]

POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .59 cents for .71 cents @ a 20.34% profit.

POR/SAS OVER 217.5 @ .51 cents for .62 cents @ a 21.57% profit.

These profits are cut in half because they were 1/2 positions.

So this is how tracking works here.

OVER 214.5 = +.12 cents, +20.34%....half of that = +.06 cents.
Tracking will show a sell for .65 cents @ a +10.17% profit.

OVER 217.5 = +11 cents, +21.568%....half of that = +.055 cents.
Tracking will show a sell for .565 cents @ a 10.784% profit.

 

[KVB]

Picked up POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .41 cents.

This is 1/2 position.

 

[KVB]

Picked up POR/SAS OVER 214.5 @ .41 cents.

This is 1/2 position.

Closed this position for .34 cents @ a -17.07% loss.

This loss is cut in half because of the 1/2 position.

No positions open, though I can see another push for the OVER, but no enough to stay in.