JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[canuckg]

Michigan -7.5 as the early line.

Went down already? Seeing 6.5 at my book.

 

[KVB]

Went down already? Seeing 6.5 at my book.

Saw DK put up an early on at 6.5 but moved quickly to 7.5. About 30 minutes later Vegas basically hung a 7.

Onshore juicing up a +7.5 while un-regulated is slightly juicing up the -7.

 

[KVB]

Here are yesterday's trades on NCAAB.

There were 5 trades, 3 winners and 2 losers with one loser a quick sell to get out near even. Both losing trades were on a play, a Total, that eventually expired to 0.

The Lab hasn't produced too many of those and continues to do good work while the Trader scrapped for profit yesterday before the OVER at the end of the night.

Ended with +122.55 units or +$122.55 per $100 bet.

Issue Bought Sold % Profit Per $100 Ill/Uconn OVER 139.5 0.58 0.38 -0.34 -34.48 Uconn +2.5 0.61 0.77 0.26 26.23 Uconn ml 0.5 0.69 0.38 38.00 Ill/Uconn OVER 139.5 0.61 0.59 -0.03 -3.28 Mich/Ariz OVER 157.5 0.51 1 0.96 96.08 Total [td] 122.55​

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We re almost done with this batch of tracking and I haven't had a losing day since March 1st, and only two losing days, in that first week, since I began this tracking...

Mar 30 - Apr 5 Mon - Tue - Wed - Thur 92.16 Fri - Sat 122.55 Sun Total 214.71 Feb23 - Mar 1 964.26 Mar 2- Mar 8 1228.17 Mar 9 - Mar 15 894.74 Mar 16-22 675.96 Mar 23-29 552.65 Total [td] 4530.49​

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[KVB]

So what do you think?

Am I gambling there?

 

[KVB]

Here's' the current MLB Summer Fund.

It's smaller, for a reason, but there will be a time it gets bigger.

Putting the NCAAW plays in this fund and will likely add UCLA ml soon...

Date Issue Bought Sold % Profit Per $100 1-Apr Tex ml 0.09 0 -1.00 -100.00 . Philly ml 0.15 0.21 0.40 40.00 . Phlly ml 0.11 0.72 5.55 554.55 . LAD ml 0.48 0 -1.00 -100.00 2-Apr KC ml 0.46 0 -1.00 -100.00 3-Apr UCLAW ml 0.39 0.63 0.62 61.54 . UCLAW +4.5 0.52 0.79 0.52 51.92 4-Apr ATH ml 0.12 0 -1.00 -100.00 . ATH ml 0.03 0 -1.00 -100.00 . Total [td] 208.01​

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[KVB]

As we wind down the lucrative NCAAB season I must wind up any other trading I can dig up for that Summer Fund.

I have picked up

UCLA ml @ .38 cents

I am working the spread now, it's thinner market and there are games being played here.

 

[KVB]

Already picking up EV in the spread market. Not done filling the position but getting good price already on an alt line.

I live for this shit.

 

[KVB]

UCLA ml @ .38 cents

Picked up UCLA +6.5 @ .55 cents.

Zero commission here, they were all limit orders to fill it and, if you ask me, there is bit of EV in this price and position and it will only grow of the next half hour.

Need to eat a little then get ready for the game.

 

[KVB]

Shit, money coming in on South Carolina.

I actually don't want to see that.

Shit, Trader doesn't like the setup.

I might bail earlier than planned.

Shit.

 

[theriver55]

I really think SCAR takes this. Unless Betts goes off and they can't stop her. Which is possible of course.

 

[KVB]

I really think SCAR takes this. Unless Betts goes off and they can't stop her. Which is possible of course.

Yeah, not liking the UCLA position now. Don't like signals coming in from the markets. I might have fukked up here.

Hopefully we get a jump early, I may sell sooner than expected.

That +6.5 might be good for a while.

Might.

 

[theriver55]

you are getting the + 6.5. could be low scoring like Gold proposed. Keep us updated. On SCAR ML.

 

[KVB]

I'm actually looking at EV on the South Carolina ml right now, I think.

Not going to panic, I think it's at least a fight for the spread, and if they can cover, they can win.

 

[KVB]

6-2 lead.

Hopefully that's not the best of it.

I want a little more.

 

[KVB]

UCLA ml @ .38 cents

Closed this position for .57 cents @ a 50% profit.

I still own the +6.5

I reserve the right to rebuy.

 

[KVB]

That early UCLA lead is once again another sold play from the Lab, no matter what happens from here.

Fukkin Lab is on fire the last few days, it needs to translate to MLB now.

 

[jjgold]

Pound ucla

 

[KVB]

Pound ucla

Yeah, I almost bought back at .50 cents, and just decided to try to get in the 40s. It did not happen.

Still have that spread.

Not taking UCLA as a momentum play, that ship has sailed, but I do still own about 130 contracts in the small account.

 

[KVB]

Lab thinks Oklahoma and WV has a good chance to go to overtime.

That's what it thinks.

 

[KVB]

I have picked up OK ml @ .42 cents