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JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Colo/Utah OVER 144.5 @ .59 cents
Colo/Utah OVER 147.5 @ .53 cents
Sold 1/2 of the 147.4 @ .70 cents for a 32% profit.

Could possible pick this 1/2 up again. Got lucky to get .70 here.

Could possibly say I sold out too soon here should have let this run as I am bullish on this OVER.

Maybe.

But truthfully, I probably made the right call.

This is Trading!!!

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
The decision, for now, is to declare two positions.

Auburn -8.5 @.54 cents
Auburn -8.5 @.54 cents

I feel this line will be pretty stable, and once more LIVE markets open later it should remain stable until those markets start to mature, then we could see movement.

For now, I believe there is +EV in this position, and there will remain some even after any potential negative movement. This is why I did nothing after finding the original mistake. EV could increase, but if it does decrease, I think we are still ok.

This line has moved to -10.5.

Looks like the buyer of my -8.5 is the victim of adverse selection here. He took +8.5 and is facing a +10.5 with 30 minutes to game time.

"I Love the smell of adverse selection in the morning."

--KVB


%D0%B0%D0%BF%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BF%D1%81%D0%B8%D1%81-%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%BD%D1%8F-%D1%84%D0%B8%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BC.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
@jjgold you ever see any content like this?

Ever?

Smaching the closer these days.

Just smashing it. And that leads to...

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Colo/Utah OVER 144.5 @ .59 cents
Colo/Utah OVER 147.5 @ .53 cents
Sold 1/2 of the 147.4 @ .70 cents for a 32% profit.

Could possible pick this 1/2 up again. Got lucky to get .70 here.

LIVE line up to 161.5 4 minutes into the second half, pulling slightly back to 158.5.

This is the moment of truth.

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Gawd Auburn is such a bitch.

Might get out, these fukkers are a shit show.

I may have gotten the only bump I will get in that game with that spread.

Fukk

pls-can-i-win.gif
 

flyingillini

flyingillini

Joined
Jun 13, 2021
Messages
29,371
Gawd Auburn is such a bitch.

Might get out, these fukkers are a shit show.

I may have gotten the only bump I will get in that game with that spread.

Fukk

pls-can-i-win.gif
I am seeing a 12% profit on Pinnacle that is in correlation with your limit order, I just grabbed it and closed out my night with this. Thanks again, kvb!
 
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