JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

At the timeout, should have done it sooner.

I fumbled the trade.

This will come up in the self imposed review but hey, sometimes shit happens

 

[flyingillini]

Closed this for .56 cents and a 43.6% profit. At the timeout, should have done it sooner.

I fumbled the trade.

It's at 54 now.

Get some!!!!!!!!

 

[KVB]

Picked up Auburn -7.5 @ .39 cents.

Closed this for .56 cents and a 43.6% profit. At the timeout, should have done it sooner.

I fumbled the trade.

Should have gotten out of the 10.5 too. It was like .29 cents.

I fukked up there for sure.

 

[KVB]

I have picked up St. John's -5.5 @ .68 cents.

That's a set it and forget it play, lol.

This will expire at 1.00 for a 47% profit.

 

[KVB]

Auburn ml @.72 cents.

Fuuuuukkkk I got knocked out of this for .31 cents @ a -57% loss.

I tried to stop it.

Might buy again.

 

[KVB]

A lot of trading today, a good dose of scalps set up, even if I didn't take them. I got a bump on almost every LIVE trade when I first took it.

Today I had 6 winning trades, 6 losing trades and 1 breakeven trade. That's thirteen trades in the choppy market before the post season.

That's a lot.

Average winning trade was +74%, average losing trade -50% or Per $100 bet $74.23 vs -$50.74.

Ended up ahead +1.41 units today when it was all said and done. That Auburn -10.5 taking a total loss was bad form. I should have sold when I sold the 7.5. Fukk.

Pretty good day in the lab and a pretty good day trading, I mean, hey, there was profit, but I think I could have done better with a little more patience, especially early in the day: Got into a hole and may have felt the need to get out with such a long day ahead.

There will be a self imposed review about all of this. Need to clean that up.

Issue Bought Sold % Profit Per $100 Iowa-9.5 0.44 0.24 -0.45 -45.45 Iowa ml 0.64 0.525 -0.18 -17.97 nwest-4.5 0.44 0.4 -0.09 -9.09 nwest-4.5 0.19 0.19 0.00 0.00 nwestml 0.63 0.65 0.03 3.17 nwestml 0.34 0.64 0.88 88.24 iowa st ml 0.28 0.07 -0.75 -75.00 iowa st ml 0.06 0.175 1.92 191.67 Bama +10.5 0.5 0.86 0.72 72.00 Aub-10.5 0.505 0 -1.00 -100.00 StJohn-5.5 0.68 1 0.47 47.06 Aubml 0.72 0.31 -0.57 -56.94 Aub -7.5 0.39 0.56 0.44 43.59 Total [td] 141.27​

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[jjgold]

This guy got every piece of data imaginable. Now you have to become an auto trader.

Basically, you’d be banging your wife, and just hearing beeps of opening and closing trades

 

[KVB]

This guy got every piece of data imaginable. Now you have to become an auto trader.

Basically, you’d be banging your wife, and just hearing beeps of opening and closing trades

Yeah, like I said before, this trading is little new, a little old. It's the commissions that matter the most at this point. The LIVE markets were always exploitable, that's why they kicked us out, limited, and charge a ton of vig to everyone.

The manual manipulation is tiring and takes time away from other tasks, like trading more than two games at once. Need to automate something, but not sure what yet. I do a lot of manual calculating, can't really automate that. I could, but that would be complex for sure.

Turtledoves, check in pal.

 

[KVB]

I'm fukkin exhausted.

Up a couple of bets in PGA, with 8 bets in, so I may liquidate some. Then again there are a lot of potential good results to come there. Not sure what will happen.

For now, it's a break.

 

[jjgold]

Take Sunday off it’s not that busy of the day

 

[KVB]

Take Sunday off it’s not that busy of the day

I was just talking about this at breakfast. I do this 7 days a week. Was saying I don't even want to look today, lol.

Up like 10 units in this thread this week, with some BigTen and Big East hoops today.

Not to mention, there are golf considerations. I'm thinking of at least covering that short of Smotherman, that would hurt if he wins. Otherwise, I have a guys that could really make this a good weekend if they hit.

A Smotherman win would bury me.

Here are the positions, the current prices are what I can SELL them for in the market right now.

Berger was .26 last night, I lost valu there so far. Fukk.

Could get out of everything for profit, right now, but if Lawry can win, and those guys hit Top20,that could work out really well.

PGA Bought BID % Profit Per $100 BergerTop20 0.41 0.16 -61.0% -60.98 NicolaiHøjgaardTop20 0.43 0.41 -4.7% -4.65 RasmusHøjgaardTop20 0.48 0.54 12.5% 12.50 McGreevy Top10 0.36 0 -100.0% -100.00 Echavarria win 0.165 0.15 -9.1% -9.09 Lowry win 0.105 0.38 261.9% 261.90 Smotherman NO 0.775 0.81 4.5% 4.52 Lowry Top10 0.5 0.96 92.0% 92.00 Total [td] 196.20​

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[jjgold]

Sometimes taking a day off, it’s very good not even looking

 

[KVB]

Sometimes taking a day off, it’s very good not even looking

Yeah, considering selling all the golf and just getting out.

Kind of pissed as I thought rutgers would lead early, but I'm really trying to stay at arms length here.

Yet, I have all 4 monitors up.

Fukk.

 

[KVB]

Seeking Marquette in the markets.

Pissed I wasn't on Rutgers pre game on the exchanges, I just debated whether or not even work today when I should've been buying.

lol

 

[KVB]

Seeking Marquette in the markets.

I have picked up

Marquette ml @ .62 cents

Marquette -4.5 @ .48 cents.

Line could still drop, I think I bought into some downward pressure with my Limit orders.

Game doesn't start for over 2 1/2 hours, but I'm in on the exchanges.

 

[jjgold]

I don’t even look right now

 

[KVB]

I don’t even look right now

Fukk, this Rutgers/MD game was right up my alley.

Missed it all becaue I didn't want to look.

Now is the psychological battle to not force something because I feel like I shoud be up today.

My Top20 golfers are looking good.

Very worried about my winner bets, Lowry And Echa are ok, but that short on Smotherman is expensive. If he wins, I might go negative on golf.

But for now, I'm up a bunch.

 

[KVB]

Last week I had a golfer in the Top20 and was up three times the money.

Told my wife I wasn't selling, told her I was basically gambling at that point.

She didn't like it.

He went on to fail.

Now I'm up, my winners are on top, my short is right there.

If I don't somehow profit from the current leaderboard, then I will need to re-eavluate the golf bets on the exchange.

If Smotherman were to win, and I don't make a move with the short or the others, I will get truned upside down on these.

 

[KVB]

I am very experienced, and in past if these postions were in the book, I could maybe LIVE trade around it, for a high cost. But I would be stuck in them.

Now, I have choices.

Fukk, this is hard.

 

[KVB]

Smotherman NOT TO WIN @ .775 cents

I have sold 1/2 of this position for .81 cents @ a 4.5% profit.

The tracking won't really reflect it, but this was an expensive buy.

Too much to lose and not enough to gain.

So I am stepping out of this postion.

I hate this, because I think he loses, but I have to do the right thing at the trading desk.