Skip to content

JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
PIcked up Michigan ml @ .56 cents
MIchigan -1.5 @ .50 cents.

Bought too soon here. Issue was that I wanted in but was fukkin busy as hell with that first game.

Tough trading multiple games when scalping, too much attention is needed on each issue.

Not sure how computers can help me there, but I did fumble a lot at the terminal and then trying to post.

Trying to post this is another issue, but I'll keep doing it as long as folks don't mirror trade the LIVE trades.

Again, pregame bets and ideas you can tail, but trying to do it LIVE not wise, things move fast and posting is a small delay though I try to post as fast as I can.

Which was a pain on a buys trading day like today.

Back to it.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
All the sharks are out tonight

You're darn tootin' we are.

giphy.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Get to bed early tonight lotta games tomorrow. You need to be focused.

Maybe going to tier out, maybe sell 40% now.

Maybe.

Maybe not. I'm not quite seeing it yet, but in a couple of game minutes I might start moving. Might not, lol.
 

EasyTiger

EasyTiger

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
107
I saw today where FanDuel posted a fairly sizable loss for the 4th quarter 2025 due to NFL favs covering the spread on a regular basis. What I don't understand is why they aren't hedging their action on the exchanges and taking margin. It honestly makes no sense. It was only a matter of time until exchanges emerged in the US market as a clearing house for the books similar to Betfair in Europe, but the US books have yet to capitalize on this...strange. Both DK and FD exchanges have a long way to go to compete with the bigger players at this point.
 
  • Like
Reactions: KVB

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Sold 35% of each of these positions:

Mich ml for .86 @ 53.6% profit.
Mich -1.5 for .81 @ 62% profit.

We'll go over the math later.

Game has traded lower than these prices since just after I got them.

giphy.gif
 

flyingillini

flyingillini

Joined
Jun 13, 2021
Messages
29,371
Get to bed early tonight lotta games tomorrow. You need to be focused.
He is not drinking his water and he is not stretching. I worry about his proper form tomorrow. @KVB please drink and stretch for tomorrow.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Get to bed early tonight lotta games tomorrow. You need to be focused.

Big 10 goes off early tomorrow.

Big East too, Until that night game. I am targeting Nova/St John's tomorrow. More on that later.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
Starting this concert to summarize the day and get ready for tomorrow. Hopefully I'm done when it is, though I could push a little harde.

I am looking to go through Saturday in detail, generate ideas, possibly put in orders, then sleep on the thoughts, then wake up early enough process the ideas again, then finally get to work when the LIVE markets open.

Never heard this one, but Elton John is badass...

 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,053
PIcked up Michigan ml @ .56 cents
MIchigan -1.5 @ .50 cents.
Sold 35% of each of these positions:

Mich ml for .86 @ 53.6% profit.
Mich -1.5 for .81 @ 62% profit.

We'll go over the math later.

Again, keep it simple:

Mich ml
100 contracts @ .56 cents = -$56.00
35 sold for .86 cents = +$30.10
65 sold for 1.00 = +65.00

That's $95.10 back with a 39.10 profit = 69.8% total profit (profit in post above is for that trade).

Mich -1.5
100 contracts @ .50 cents = -$50.00
35 sold for .81 cents = +$28.35
65 sold for 1.00 = +65.00

That's $93.35 back with a $43.35 profit = 86.8% total profit

I think this was a good display of trading overall. I actually could have bought the dip after my sale, raised the cost basis, but made more.

You will see me do that, but I was burnt after those MIA(OH) trades. I mean burnt. I just couldn't do it.

That was crazy and I said as much...

Fukk that was crazy.

Good practice for bigmoney scalps when the environment is right...

Anyway, these Michigan trades were solid.

source.gif
 
Top