JDS (NCAAB) picks thread "23-24"

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,699
@KVB should I have waited ? I feel like this was the best number & price I could’ve gotten.

I don't think so. I have them winning by about 8 in some forecasts and I think the early lower line was an overreaction to Oregon beating Zona.

This line was Colorado -1 at BOL and I was a little worried when it ticked to a pick but then it rose as expected. I was one of the Colorado early buyers.

I don't see a better price coming and if anything you got in late, which isn't terrible, it's just a matter of options.

A lot of houses opened with -2.5, they knew the lower number would get hit.

I think we're on the right side here, they just need to come through.
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
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37,488
I don't think so. I have them winning by about 8 in some forecasts and I think the early lower line was an overreaction to Oregon beating Zona.

This line was Colorado -1 at BOL and I was a little worried when it ticked to a pick but then it rose as expected. I was one of the Colorado early buyers.

I don't see a better price coming and if anything you got in late, which isn't terrible, it's just a matter of options.

A lot of houses opened with -2.5, they knew the lower number would get hit.

I think we're on the right side here, they just need to come through.
Same POV :grrr:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
8,699
Market not really blinking under some pressure here on Colorado.

This game is starting to light up on my Contrarian Radar for Oregon.

Do like that we see some -3s out there but BM taking dog odds on the favorite.

I don't really like that. This market needs to blink more convincingly.

You could get -3 (+104). But that's feels a little stinky, but CRIS can be a funny read sometimes like that.
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
37,488
Market not really blinking under some pressure here on Colorado.

This game is starting to light up on my Contrarian Radar for Oregon.

Do like that we see some -3s out there but BM taking dog odds on the favorite.

I don't really like that. This market needs to blink more convincingly.

You could get -3 (+104). But that's feels a little stinky, but CRIS can be a funny read sometimes like that.
Not what I wanted to hear KVB 👎
 
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