JDS (NCAAB) picks thread "23-24"

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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
38,202
Nice hit, Jerky. Winning by the hook = perfect.

Just one question: *How much focus do you put on Player Injuries?

IE, are you tracking Injuries and adjusting for Key Player absence/return?
Injuries are definitely a concern, but not a huge focus for me when betting NCAAB. That’s actually something I need to do better at. Made a mistake the other night not tracking a key starter for Colorado vs Arizona and it was a bad loss.
 

chuckythegoat2

chuckythegoat2

Joined
Sep 26, 2023
Messages
1,530
Injuries are definitely a concern, but not a huge focus for me when betting NCAAB. That’s actually something I need to do better at. Made a mistake the other night not tracking a key starter for Colorado vs Arizona and it was a bad loss.
Thx for the reply. I think it's an opportunity. Too many players for the bookmaker to track.

I saw your comment on Colorado. It's tricky b/c so many players fall into the Questionable/Probable category. The TOP bettors understand this stuff.

For high-end sports, I've always viewed:
*PROBABLE = he's playing (unless it's a throw-away game).
*QUESTIONABLE = 50/50. But if he HAD TO play (in a championship game), he'd suit up.

I have one view on injuries. The average guy sitting on his couch doesn't realize how far above the elite athlete is. These guys have the ability to perform with dings.

When Mahomes was dinged for the AFC Championship game, I thought all along that he'd play with 90% efficiency. The team medical staff works on his ankle 24/7, it's all about getting him to perform for three hours.
 
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