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pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
1,997
Krit,

can u elaborate on ur analysis on why u took mavs -12 and twolves +5.5 ?
 

krit

krit

Joined
Feb 26, 2023
Messages
522
Krit,

can u elaborate on ur analysis on why u took mavs -12 and twolves +5.5 ?
I pretty much play numbers if that makes any sense. I'm not a guy who really caps based on players and who I think is better. For the most part, I follow sharp money.

Mavs were just -16 at home and loss against Hornets. Books made them -12 two days later on the road, that's what I would call a Mavs line. To be honest, don't think I can bet on the Mavs anymore, they suck.

As for Twolves, it was a Twolves line. Public was all over GS, and a ton of late money came in on TWovles late. GS went from about -250 to -200 in just the last hour before the game tipped off. Early and late line movement is what needs to be paid attention to, particularly if a line drops. Public for the most part hits favorites and they bet in the middle of the day. Sharps hit early and late and if it's a dog that gets hit, you usually know it's real sharp movement.
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
1,997
really appreciate ur input and reasoning .
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
1,997
dammit krit.. i have SAC ML in a couple of parlays :checkered

i hope we both win .
 
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