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Friendly reminder: You should never bet based on how the public is betting

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
15,353
Gambling myth — “fade the public”

Over the long run, you will lose doing this.
 

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
10,240
I watch this most weeks

without screens it's a blind 60% winner this year.


 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
4,680
Historically- the public is wrong.

That’s raw numbers over thousands of games.

Short term - anyone can hit a few winners in a row. Wasn’t too long ago books were getting killed on NFL week in and week out fading the year public.

Taking a side only because 65%+ of the bettors are on the other side IS a recipe for disaster. Do your homework, be prepared and don’t blindly bet ANYTHING. Gambling 101 lessons there.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
64,120
I only consider it as supporting evidence when it aligns with and strengthens my primary reasons for liking a side. It’s a useful resource IMO, but never the main driver.
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
15,353
I only consider it as supporting evidence when it aligns with and strengthens my primary reasons for liking a side. It’s a useful resource IMO, but never the main driver.
Emotionally feels good to see in this case but that’s really just it
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
15,353
There is no edge. The line is the great equalizer. Public opinion only factors in on the line, not the game.
So you’re telling who average Joe bets on has zero influence on the outcome of a sports game? Shocker
 
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