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Draftkings getting killed by joe 6 pack public bettors

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

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The live wager line doesn't have a 'motivation' factor to account for 1 squad running out the clock vs another trying to pad it's stats. That's where the book is getting killed.
It’s less efficient, but books definitely aren’t losing much in these situations

Sharps could pounce on a bad late game line and push the number pretty quickly

The books end up doing just fine
 
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KVB

KVB

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square that sees Jets +26.5 in the 3rd qtr vs MN or Den +29.5 in the 4th qtr at home vs Dallas in bball goes all in there,

Yeah because we know the square that goes all in is such a threat to the books..

lmao
 

KVB

KVB

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The live wager line doesn't have a 'motivation' factor to account for 1 squad running out the clock vs another trying to pad it's stats. That's where the book is getting killed.

LMAO I don't even know where to begin.

So I'll just say that yes, the LIVE line can be vulnerable, but you are barking up the wrong tree in why you think that is.
 

MinnesotaFats

MinnesotaFats

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LMAO I don't even know where to begin.

So I'll just say that yes, the LIVE line can be vulnerable, but you are barking up the wrong tree in why you think that is.
It's the only thing that accounts for the losses. There's been books for 100 years, but only recently have these exotic spreads become so prevalent.

Kids don't bet lines at kickoff anymore, it's all parlays, teasers & mostly live, that why they lost money.
 

Archie

Archie

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this guy has figured out how the squares can continue to pummel the books!

amazing. must be a math wizard genius
 
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MinnesotaFats

MinnesotaFats

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this guy has figured out how the squares can continue to pummel the books!

amazing. must be a math wizard genius
Well, again, as I stated, this isn't a math wizard nor algorithm issue. It's a line set at a point in the game based of an assumption of parity & motivation, but clearly two teams, when the margin is multiple scores apart, have different motivations, and that is where I see my players "pouncing" and would assume it's where DK is getting hit outright with losses and arbitrage betting
 

JDS

JDS

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Well, again, as I stated, this isn't a math wizard nor algorithm issue. It's a line set at a point in the game based of an assumption of parity & motivation, but clearly two teams, when the margin is multiple scores apart, have different motivations, and that is where I see my players "pouncing" and would assume it's where DK is getting hit outright with losses and arbitrage betting
You mentioned before you have your own sports book in Costa Rica or was it just a casino I forget ?
 

Archie

Archie

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lol

simpleton six pack math filled with recency and vividness bias
 

JDS

JDS

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No point. You stiff a credit book you're a broke dikk fukk. I dont want your milk money at that point, but I'll still bang your wife!
The fact that you trusted Enikk with a credit account is fuckin’ unbelievable in my book. We worked closely together when he was here and he lost my trust with a betting account we had together and he skimmed money off the top, then threatened to shame me on a podcast if I didn’t pay him a very small amount of money he claimed I owed him.

That lying asshole scumbag degenerate would give you a completely different story from his POV. Once that happen I left BMR because I would not work side by side with him anymore back in 2022. BMR eventually banned him for being the crazy person I already knew he was. I then came back and continued my duties here.
 
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