College Football playoff scenarios/opinions discussion

[stormtrooper8]

What do you all think? I always find these end of seasons fascinating. It will change to some level next year, though I still think we will have drama.


As a Buckeye fan, I think they have a very slim chance to backdoor into it again. I think they need four things to happen:

-Oklahoma State win (least likely by far)
-Georgia win
-Michigan win
-Louisville win

I believe they will be placed ahead of Texas tomorrow night at 6 spot, but I think Texas jumps them in the final rankings if they beat Oklahoma State, which will most likely happen and erase any hopes.


The Pac-12 Championship to me serves as playoff quarterfinal: the winner is in, and the loser is out unless.....



The most interesting dynamic: what the f*** happens if Alabama beats Georgia?

There's this weird triangle that goes on here......Texas has to make it in over Alabama, right? But Alabama has to make it in over Georgia, right?

That's where chaos comes into play

 

[BigJay]

Agreed. The last thing you wrote is the strangest of all the scenarios. You would think one-loss Texas has to stay ahead of one-loss no matter what Bama since the Longhorns beat them on the road.

I have a bad feeling my Longhorns will be the first team out

 

[jjgold]

It’s too close to call so we’re not gonna speculate

 

[stormtrooper8]

It’s too close to call so we’re not gonna speculate

We are gonna speculate all we want.

Get your 2.5 inch cock outta here

 

[stormtrooper8]

Agreed. The last thing you wrote is the strangest of all the scenarios. You would think one-loss Texas has to stay ahead of one-loss no matter what Bama since the Longhorns beat them on the road.

I have a bad feeling my Longhorns will be the first team out

It's a very interesting dynamic

You could make a rational argument for two SEC teams making it, as well as zero SEC teams making it

My guess is that the committee could justify putting Alabama in over Texas if they knock off Georgia and Texas doesn't win comfortably

 

[chuckythegoat2]

What do you all think? I always find these end of seasons fascinating. It will change to some level next year, though I still think we will have drama.


As a Buckeye fan, I think they have a very slim chance to backdoor into it again. I think they need four things to happen:

-Oklahoma State win (least likely by far)
-Georgia win
-Michigan win
-Louisville win

I believe they will be placed ahead of Texas tomorrow night at 6 spot, but I think Texas jumps them in the final rankings if they beat Oklahoma State, which will most likely happen and erase any hopes.


The Pac-12 Championship to me serves as playoff quarterfinal: the winner is in, and the loser is out unless.....



The most interesting dynamic: what the f*** happens if Alabama beats Georgia?

There's this weird triangle that goes on here......Texas has to make it in over Alabama, right? But Alabama has to make it in over Georgia, right?

That's where chaos comes into play

The Bobby Carpenter show had a pretty good segment on this. The Playoff is pretty stupid. It's not the four best teams. They didn't define Conf Representation. But that's what it is.

The way the polls normally work: A top 10 team doesn't take a knock if they lose a close road game against a highly-ranked team:
*That's how it worked for Oregon at Wash.
*So, why should Ohio St fall in the polls?

I know FlaSt will feel like they're "win-and-in." If Noles win by one, I'd love to see the Committee exclude them. Could exclude them on the basis that they wouldn't figure to be competitive in a top game without Travis.

I personally think Alab is in "win-and-in" situation. Too much strength of Schedule. And it would have to be a 14-pt win to knock out GEO.

Carpenter mentioned how BYU losing was a dagger to OhioSt. Oklahoma had a much better chance to knock out Texas (than Okla St).

Texas won't like hearing this. IMHO, Alab has the inside-track ahead of Texas based on SOS. And Alabama's track would include a win over a Georgia team that hasn't lost in forever.

 

[stormtrooper8]

The Bobby Carpenter show had a pretty good segment on this. The Playoff is pretty stupid. It's not the four best teams. They didn't define Conf Representation. But that's what it is.

The way the polls normally work: A top 10 team doesn't take a knock if they lose a close road game against a highly-ranked team:
*That's how it worked for Oregon at Wash.
*So, why should Ohio St fall in the polls?

I know FlaSt will feel like they're "win-and-in." If Noles win by one, I'd love to see the Committee exclude them. Could exclude them on the basis that they wouldn't figure to be competitive in a top game without Travis.

I personally think Alab is in "win-and-in" situation. Too much strength of Schedule. And it would have to be a 14-pt win to knock out GEO.

Carpenter mentioned how BYU losing was a dagger to OhioSt. Oklahoma had a much better chance to knock out Texas (than Okla St).

Texas won't like hearing this. IMHO, Alab has the inside-track ahead of Texas based on SOS. And Alabama's track would include a win over a Georgia team that hasn't lost in forever.

Agree with a lot of this

I agree -- Oklahoma State loss could have helped Ohio State have a better shot, even though would have still been a long shot

I also agree that Alabama could get in over Texas

 

[krit]

Huge Husky fan, but my team has little to no chance against Oregon. Pretty simple, winner is in, loser probably goes to the Fiesta Bowl.

My guess is it will be Georgia, Michigan, Oregon and FSU.

 

[Jrgum3]

I think if Bama beats Georgia they will get in. The question is does Georgia stay in? I think they do even if they lose to Bama because it will be hard to keep a 1 loss Georgia out. If that happens where Georgia loses it will affect all the other teams. I think Michigan gets in with a a win over Iowa. Last I think the winner of the Pac 12 title game gets in but that's my opinion and I don't really have a strong opinion because there are so many what ifs here.

 

[Wagerallsports]

The most interesting dynamic: what the f*** happens if Alabama beats Georgia?

Ohio state dropped 4 spots, from #2 to #6 after losing to arguably the best team in the nation

Wouldn't be fair for Georgia not to drop out of the top 4 also if they lose to Alabama

But they might get special treatment

We'll see...

 

[fishhead]

Huge Husky fan, but my team has little to no chance against Oregon. Pretty simple, winner is in, loser probably goes to the Fiesta Bowl.

My guess is it will be Georgia, Michigan, Oregon and FSU.

Probably the four favorites

 

[harpo]

Agreed !!!

 

[Tanko]

Assuming no upsets in Big10, ACC, Big12 games, the only game that will have a huge effect is Bama over Georgia result. Any team that loses in one of those 3 conf championship games is out.

1. If Bama loses:
   Georgia, Mich, Wash/Oreg, FSU --> Texas is left out.
   
   
2. If Bama wins:
   Mich, Wash/Oreg, + Pick Two: Bama, Georgia, Texas, FSU

I can't imagine how the committee will weigh which teams to keep. you could argue for/against each one.

 

[jjgold]

Georgia is in regardless

 

[Wagerallsports]

Georgia is in regardless

Probably

But still not fair to Ohio state if Georgia loses and doesn't drop the same number of spots

 

[harpo]

bama lost to tx & tx wins their next game al is out.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Georgia is in regardless

This is not true

 

[stormtrooper8]

Georgia might sneak in with a loss, but that depends on everything else

 

[JDS]

I think if Bama beats Georgia they will get in. The question is does Georgia stay in? I think they do even if they lose to Bama because it will be hard to keep a 1 loss Georgia out. If that happens where Georgia loses it will affect all the other teams. I think Michigan gets in with a a win over Iowa. Last I think the winner of the Pac 12 title game gets in but that's my opinion and I don't really have a strong opinion because there are so many what ifs here.

If Oregon/FSU/Michigan all win & Alabama beats Georgia I wonder if the committee is going to leave out FSU because they lost their starting quarterback. I think Georgia gets in if they lose a relatively close one to Alabama.

 

[JDS]

The Bobby Carpenter show had a pretty good segment on this. The Playoff is pretty stupid. It's not the four best teams. They didn't define Conf Representation. But that's what it is.

The way the polls normally work: A top 10 team doesn't take a knock if they lose a close road game against a highly-ranked team:
*That's how it worked for Oregon at Wash.
*So, why should Ohio St fall in the polls?

I know FlaSt will feel like they're "win-and-in." If Noles win by one, I'd love to see the Committee exclude them. Could exclude them on the basis that they wouldn't figure to be competitive in a top game without Travis.

I personally think Alab is in "win-and-in" situation. Too much strength of Schedule. And it would have to be a 14-pt win to knock out GEO.

Carpenter mentioned how BYU losing was a dagger to OhioSt. Oklahoma had a much better chance to knock out Texas (than Okla St).

Texas won't like hearing this. IMHO, Alab has the inside-track ahead of Texas based on SOS. And Alabama's track would include a win over a Georgia team that hasn't lost in forever.

I’m against the committee excluding FSU if they win by a close margin. That team without Jordan Travis has shown its depth at every other position the last couple weeks.