can someone explain to me why buying points in basketball is a good idea

[lekidecincinnati]

i see portland oklahoma city

portland +13.5
okc -13.5


i can get portland to +14.5 at -135
i can get portland to +15.5 at -160

i can get okc to -12.5 -135
i can get okc to -11.5 -160


i dont' get it seems like points in basketball have very little value compared to football and risking more juice for 1 or 2 points in the long run will not work out am i wrong

 

[Tanko]

i see portland oklahoma city

portland +13.5
okc -13.5


i can get portland to +14.5 at -135
i can get portland to +15.5 at -160

i can get okc to -12.5 -135
i can get okc to -11.5 -160


i dont' get it seems like points in basketball have very little value compared to football and risking more juice for 1 or 2 points in the long run will not work out am i wrong

I've always felt the same way about buying pts in basketball.

But, not doing so can be costly. I had 6 losses this weekend in CBB on spread plays. 2 were by 1 pt. The other two by the hook. 75% of my losses were by a free throw or less. It was a rare coincident to have them all pile up like that.

But, I still won't buy points in CBB or NBA. I don't see the value.
Its way different than football, like you mentioned.

 

[KingKolzig]

+2.5 to +3.5 in college is big

 

[Wagerallsports]

Personally I would never buy points in basketball or tease them

You are better off trying to get a deal Live

For example Live total could be Under 135 -110

But the alternate lines are 134 +105 & 133 +120

The lines fluctuate so much you can get great deals

But of course a bettor has to have the time to be available to monitor

It's baseball I've found buying that extra 1/2 run on totals that can make or break you

 

[Tanko]

+2.5 to +3.5 in college is big

It can be but, its really expensive. The +EV disappears in almost all cases IMO.

BTW, how's the recovery coming. I bet you're ready to be out and about freely soon. You going stir-crazy?

 

[stormtrooper8]

Buying points is not a good idea in any sport

 

[JDS]

I usually sell a half point back to the bookmaker, I did recently buy the hook on the Rams +3.5 -124 it was a bigger bet for me so I said f*** it.

 

[KVB]

If the pricing down the line is correct it shouldn't change your EV.

It's a mathematical conversion.

What happens here, if you do get EV, you can see the EV priced down the line. Now, you are in control of and can alter your probability of winning without, hopefully, changing your EV.

In this way you can, to a degree, manage money and adjust risk tolerance based on your goals when combining different levels of margin (EV) and adjusting win probabilities, similar to asset allocation when investing in other markets.

There is more to it, but I need to bounce for a meeting.

There are a lot of myths out there in sportsbetting, especially about parlays, teasers, buying and selling, etc. and they often get recycled.

 

[Tanko]

If the pricing down the line is correct it shouldn't change your EV.

It's a mathematical conversion.

Again, still looking for that book that actually does this when pricing points.
I rarely see it. It may happen occassionally but its not often.

 

[KingKolzig]

It can be but, its really expensive. The +EV disappears in almost all cases IMO.

BTW, how's the recovery coming. I bet you're ready to be out and about freely soon. You going stir-crazy?

Right arm is never coming back I don't think. If not I will have it removed nothing else to do

 

[jjgold]

It’s not

suckers do it

learn math

 

[Tanko]

Right arm is never coming back I don't think. If not I will have it removed nothing else to do

Hoping for the best on this Kingkolzig.

 

[KingKolzig]

Hoping for the best on this Kingkolzig.

Thanks. But cns is messed weird pains everywhere. Its in my skull so no operations. Its ok few years ill be good

 

[fiftycint]

I will buy points on games lined between 2-5. Half points only.Im not going to buy 1.5-2 points ona game thats ridiculous.A favotite of 2 or less it might become a money line bet.This is for College baskets

 

[djefferis]

Buying points is rarely a good move - even less so in basketball spreads.

When you’re talking a half point - all the more reason to have multiple outs and the ability to fund them quickly if needed.

Plenty of examples earlier today of books dealing a half point in some of today’s marquee games.

It is getting harder and harder to find books willing to break from the herd - but you can find the half point if you shop for value.

 

[fiftycint]

Buying points is rarely a good move - even less so in basketball spreads.

When you’re talking a half point - all the more reason to have multiple outs and the ability to fund them quickly if needed.

Plenty of examples earlier today of books dealing a half point in some of today’s marquee games.

It is getting harder and harder to find books willing to break from the herd - but you can find the half point if you shop for value.

I have 8-10 outs .And found that buying points often on games between2-5 is usually an ok move...especially on games with lower totals

 

[KingKolzig]

I used to sell points at heritage I should do that again

 

[pipe]

It's not. At least not for me.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Again

No value in any sport

 

[stormtrooper8]

Including football

Key numbers are priced appropriate relative to other numbers