Bluejays -1.5 +196

[JDS]

Taking yesterday’s winnings & putting them back on the betting counter for a +1K profit.

Bluejays -1.5 +196 (350/686)

Good luck if you tail

 

[samsncharge99]

love the strategy.

 

[jamesy2422]

good luck. i think rodon is regressing and jays have the yankees number.

 

[KingKolzig]

Imagine fading the yankees past 45 days

 

[jjgold]

That’s of luck if I was down in South Florida today you and I would be having a burger or somewhere on the water

 

[BMR Genie]

Let's go!!!!!!

 

[jamesy2422]

Imagine fading the yankees past 45 days

they do not look like the same team as earlier in the season. i know they took 2 of 3 against atlanta but atlanta is just not good.

 

[badbull]

Let’s ride! Love the plus money on that RL hope it cashes big

 

[BigJay]

Good luck buddy

 

[Tanko]

Lets go. Would love to see on a streak...

 

[notimetocap2]

What is your win streak right now?

 

[JDS]

What is your win streak right now?

I haven’t had a win streak in so long, don’t hold your breath bud.

 

[JDS]

good luck. i think rodon is regressing and jays have the yankees number.

Yeah I mean he’s a solid pitcher overall although I like the Yankees to lose in this spot on the road for the 5th straight time when he is the starter. Both teams coming in at 7-3 last 10.

Yankees bats more productive in that span, but the BlueJays have their number, plus I expect Gausman to go deep & pitch a quality game, BJ’s win rate at home when he pitches is favorable. Taking more risk on the ALT RL but I like the price so I bargained for it.

 

[JDS]

That’s of luck if I was down in South Florida today you and I would be having a burger or somewhere on the water

Mahi-mahi sandwich way better, rookie square order by you if we were having lunch at Bayfront Park.

 

[JDS]

Let’s ride! Love the plus money on that RL hope it cashes big

Good luck buddy

Let's go!!!!!!

 

[Wagerallsports]

GL with the play

I’ll talke a closer look and might decide to follow later

 

[JDS]

GL with the play

I’ll talke a closer look and might decide to follow later

If you do, just take the ML at around even money, don’t be greedy like me.

 

[aikman.tr]

Gausman notorious for allowing run in 1st at home. July 1st start vs Yankees = 2 runs in 1st.

Yankees 1st inning runs Over 0.5 +190 MGM

 

[JDS]

@KVB talks about making +EV bets, to me this fits that criteria don't always follow that strategy though. With my forecasts I expect to win this bet 38% of the time & the implied odds are 34% giving me a 4% edge on the market. He might disagree with me, but that's how I interpret what he is implying.

 

[JDS]

Gausman notorious for allowing run in 1st at home. July 1st start vs Yankees = 2 runs in 1st.

Yankees 1st inning runs Over 0.5 +190 MGM

Yeah his last 2 home starts he allowed a run, smooth sailing after that feel like he is in his progression stages as a pitcher right now.