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baseball pitcher rankings, lineup advice for Tuesday's MLB games

biggins

biggins

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  • We're fully into the third time through the rotation for most teams, and Tuesday's slate is loaded with aces. Once you get past the top six or seven, however, you get some widely available pitchers in strong spots. Cole Irvin (6% rostered in ESPN leagues) is the cream of the crop, facing a below-average Baltimore Orioles offense that is taking a big park hit going into Oakland.
  • We may be witnessing a post-hype breakout for Jesus Luzardo (46.2% rostered), whose fastball velocity is up 2 full mph this year to 97.5. He struck out a whopping 12 batters in his first start, and he gets a solid matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals at home in Miami today.
  • After Monday's rainout, the Washington Nationals and Arizona Diamondbacks will take part in 2022's first double-header on Tuesday. That means a chance for double-volume for any hitters you stream who end up playing in both games. The most likely (and best) candidates for this include Washington leadoff man Cesar Hernandez(9%) and Arizona cleanup hitter Christian Walker (3%). If Washington sticks with a second right-hander, David Peralta (17%) would also be a great choice. Other options to consider are Maikel Franco (5%) and Lane Thomas (2%). Plus, with seven-inning double-headers now a thing of the past, we'll get full games out of these guys. Also now playing two will be the Mets and Giants, but the presence of Max Scherzer on the mound for New York and Alex Cobb for San Francisco makes us steer clear a bit.
  • Home runs are wayyyyyyyy down this year. I tweeted yesterday that, even accounting for cold early season weather, this is still the lowest level we've seen in at least five years. As a result, THE BAT X is projecting just three non-Coors teams to score more than five runs today. Coors is the clear best spot to look for offense -- one, because it's Coors and two, being that it's one of only four games over 65 degrees (and the hottest at 75). Connor Joe (59%), Randal Grichuk (58%), Brendan Rodgers (47%), Alec Bohm (6%) and Bryson Stott (6%) make for good targets.
  • The remaining five-plus run teams are the Yankees, Red Sox, and Dodgers (with Houston just missing the cut). The Dodgers could be a sneaky DFS stack, given that they face a great pitcher in Max Fried and may go overlooked. However, they have so much talent and are in one of the better weather spots. Temperatures for most games today should be in the 40s and 50s, but the Dodgers get close to 70-degree weather. Gavin Lux (73%) is the most likely to be available as a streamer in your season-long leagues.
 

biggins

biggins

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Starting pitcher rankings for Tuesday​

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points, using ESPN's standard scoring system (5 points per win, minus-5 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. ML:Caesars Money Line. O/U: Caesars Over/Under for runs scored. W%: Starting pitcher's win probability. For the projected stat line, IP is innings pitched, ER is earned runs allowed, BR is baserunners allowed and K is strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, we will list the bulk pitcher and indicate with an asterisk.

FPTSTEAMPITCHERTOPPMLO/UW%IPERBRK
16.7
i
Corbin BurnesRPIT-2557.544.9%5.71.75.97.4
16.4
i
Max ScherzerRSF, Gm. 2-1256.539.2%6.11.86.17.5
14.5
i
Gerrit ColeR@DET-2207.547.6%5.92.56.67.3
13.4
i
Walker BuehlerRATL-1458.034.8%5.82.16.46.4
13.0
i
Shane BieberRCWS-140
 

biggins

biggins

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biggins

biggins

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biggins

biggins

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7.1
i
JT BrubakerR@MIL2157.515.7%5.02.76.65.2
7.1
i
Nathan EovaldiRTOR-1459.027.9%4.93.17.05.4
6.7
i
Chris ArcherR@KC-1158.514.4%4.42.35.84.5
6.2
i
Josiah GrayRARI, Gm. 1----22.7%4.93.17.04.9
6.2
i
Chris EllisR@OAK----8.3%4.01.85.13.7
5.6
i
Joan AdonRARI, Gm. 2----24.8%5.33.58.05.2
5.5
i
Yusei KikuchiL@BOS1259.024.6%5.13.47.44.7
5.5
i
Dallas KeuchelL@CLE1207.525.0%5.23.37.74.4
5.1
i
Carlos HernandezRMIN-1058.514.8%4.52.66.43.9
4.6
i
Kyle GibsonR@COL-14011.028.9%5.14.18.05.2
4.5
i
Tyler AlexanderLNYY1907.513.1%4.62.86.53.9
0.1
i
Kyle Freeland
 

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biggins

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BUMGARNER is 4-6 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.62 and a WHIP of 0.962.
His team's record is 4-8 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-3. (+5.8 units)
 

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COBB is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.026.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)
 

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MEGILL is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 7.45 and a WHIP of 1.861.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)
 

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KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.140.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.7 units)
 

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BIEBER is 5-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 8-4 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.6 units)
 

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COLE is 6-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.92 and a WHIP of 0.958.
His team's record is 7-2 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-8. (-7.9 units)
 

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WAINWRIGHT is 6-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 9-3 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.5 units)
 

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WEBB is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
 

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1997
SCHERZER is 4-6 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.083.
His team's record is 5-8 (-8.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-4. (+3.4 units)
 

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KIKUCHI is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.218.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
 

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EOVALDI is 1-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.292.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)
 

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BRUBAKER is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.048.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)
 

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BURNES is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.192.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)
 

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WISLER is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 16.19 and a WHIP of 2.399.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)
 
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