Analytics Capper's Picks of the Day Thread

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Fishy line here. I'm going to take it. South Florida is not a good team, sitting at only 7-17 this season. These two schools haven't played each other yet but both teams are not playing good basketball. South Florida is just 2-7 in their last 9 home games and East Carolina is jsut 4-21 in their last 25 road games. I'm going to go with South Florida here because although both aren't playing well, the Bulls are a much better home team than East Carolina is on the road.

Pick: South Florida -2 (-105) v. East Carolina

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Panthers ML (-125) v. WILD

Two great teams facing each other tonight. But I like that Florida is starting their starting goalie in net. Minnesota is really good at home, but I think Florida has the fire power to get to 3+ goals tonight and win.

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
We are fading Hovland here who had an unbelievable second roudn at the Genesis Invitational on Friday. He was striking it well but putting out of his mind. I think he falls back down to earth and Smith is a solid player that doesn't make many mistakes. I like him to shoot at least 4 to 5 under today which would be enough to win this matchup.


R3 Matchup: Cameron Smith (-110) > Victor Hovland


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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Fading Victor Hovland again. What he's doing is incredible, but as a regressional bettor by principle I don't think he can do it for the third day in a row. I think JT will do just enough to win this matchup. If JT is in contention in the end, he won't give holes away either.

Thomas (-125) v. Hovland 1u

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5 (-145) v. Canadiens

1. Canadiens are the worst team in the league and they are coming off two straight wins. It’s a good spot to see regression.
2. The Maple Leafs are coming off an embarrassing loss in their last game. Great spot for them to bounce back against a really bad team.
3. Toronto is 8-2 on the over internally 10 games so I see a lot of goals scored tonight, mainly by the Toronto side.
 
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Bubbles

Bubbles

Joined
May 13, 2021
Messages
4,519
Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5 (-145) v. Canadiens

1. Canadiens are the worst team in the league and they are coming off two straight wins. It’s a good spot to see regression.
2. The Maple Leafs are coming off an embarrassing loss in their last game. Great spot for them to bounce back against a really bad team.
3. Toronto is 8-2 on the over internally 10 games so I see a lot of goals scored tonight, mainly by the Toronto side.
Wow! Never saw this coming. 2-5 Montreal won. Turned out so crazy!
 

Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
Only 5 goals in their last two games. They average over 3.6 for the season. Great regression spot back to the over today. Coming off two losses, they are motivated and look to come out quick against an inferior Blue Jackets team. They should score enough goals for the over to hit but I’m just going to back the better team here and not worried about the other side. Total has gone over in 9 of 11 last Toronto games.

Pick: Maple Leafs win in regulation (-140) v. Blue Jackets

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
I’ve been much better handicapping the smaller schools in college basketball. Wofford’s recent form has been really good and I think they play well enough to win and cover tonight. Good guard play and solid coaching.

Pick: Wofford -2 (-105) v. VMI

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Analytics Capper

Analytics Capper

Joined
Jul 28, 2021
Messages
596
I actually can see a Pistons outright victory tonight with the Cavs missing both Garland and LaVert. They will lean on their two big men in Allen and Mobley but I don't think they'll have enough offense to cover this number. Detroit's offense has been playing much better as of late with Grant and Cunningham returning from injury and providing the Pistons with a lot of firepower. Cade also has been playing much better as compared to the start of the year and look to show tonight he's the league's top rookie. Detroit should be able to get off a lot of 3s against a Cleveland defense whose been struggling as of late, including losing the last two games outright right before the all star break. Great spot for Detroit to build something in the second half of the year as they head into the summer and continue to build the team.

Pick: Pistons +7 (-105) v. Cavs

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