📢 Celtics @ Warriors GAME 1 DISCUSSION 🏀

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Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
1,805
since 2013 the team that wins the game in the championship round covers the spread 96% of the time.

so if you like the celts tonight and under-dog in other games will that influence how much you put on spread and switch the ML sprinkle to a pour?
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,530
Some interesting data on this game:

GSW:
  1. Have not lost at home in these playoffs (9-0)
  2. 13 straight game 1 wins at home.
  3. For the 2022 playoffs, in the first home game in each series they have annihilated the opponents
    Denver 123-107
    Memphis 142-112
    Dallas 112-87

I like GSW covering in this game. -3.5 -115 seems like an easy play.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
33,530
Boston D - #1 in regular season.
But Grizzlies and Mavs were in top 7 and the Warriors handled them well.

I think the Warriors motion offense offsets Boston D and they cover tonight.
 

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
1,805
Some interesting data on this game:

GSW:
  1. Have not lost at home in these playoffs (9-0)
  2. 13 straight game 1 wins at home.
  3. For the 2022 playoffs, in the first home game in each series they have annihilated the opponents
    Denver 123-107
    Memphis 142-112
    Dallas 112-87

I like GSW covering in this game. -3.5 -115 seems like an easy play.
also I think Kerr is like 20-1 in game 1s
 

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
1,805
Tatum, Brown, Smart and their perimeter defense and versatility in switching could stymie GSW. But with Smart not 100% i'm not as confident in that.


2 of the top 3 regular season defenses. should be fun
 
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