Wednesday May 1-Sunday 5th

[piratealew]

12-10 Tues/334-275YTD/ (180-120 Top plays)

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Braves-1-130
️Cubs-115
️Royals+117
️Twins-1.5-117
️Dodgers-130
️Red Sox-105
️Reds+124
️Baltimore-1-105
️Phillies/Angels Over 7.5-115
️Tampa/Milwaukee Over 7.5-120
Phillies-1-145
Tampa-117
Tigers-102
Miami-137
Oakland+104
NYY/Baltimore Over 8-120
Colorado/Miami Over 8-125
Cleveland/Houston Over 8-125

 

[piratealew]

️STL/Detroit Over 8.5-130

Washington Nationals+1.5-125

 

[piratealew]

These 2 teams can and have been scoring, and with Musgrove pitching I expect more Reds runs today. 66% humidity with a 10mph wind out, I wouldnt be surprised to see 10 runs

️Reds/Padres Over 7.5-105
Guardians+1.5-130

 

[piratealew]

Awesome day so far, cashed the top 4 plays and if Dodgers win, that will cash the top 6 plays. Cubs had to close out a 1-0 game in very dramatic fashion. What a day.

 

[piratealew]

Incredible day yesterday to hit all top 6 plays in order, tough enough to get the top 3, must be lucky....

Crappy MLB slate today but we chug along and go where the lines/matchups lead us...

13-8 Wed (8-4 Top plays)/347-283YTD (188-123 Top plays)

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Guardians+120
️Yankees-126
️Giants+103
️Rocks/Marlins Over 7.5-1115
️Cubs/Mutts over 7.5-130
Cubs+100
Texas-1-135
Marlins-1-115
Gigantes/Red Sux Over 9-125


GL to all.

 

[doyleellis11]

Your Tops ! Way to GO ! Mr Pirate !!! Very Nice Thanks for Posting …

 

[piratealew]

***FYI about Marlins Total--Umpire in Miami Marlins game is ANDY "Missed call" FLETCHER. This dude rarely calls strikes and rings guys up. He is A HUGE overs ump. Just this year in 6 games he was the ump, every game went over 8 runs. The average runs per game for this guy is 14.8 this year. INSANE (most umps avg 8.5-9 runs per game, rarely over 10). None of these games he officated with in Colorado,. His strike % has ranged from 58.6% (very low) to around 64% about avg. Doesn't necessarily guarantee a ton of runs but this guy is the most hitter friendly ump in the MLB and by a WIDE margin. I already pounded the over due to the pitching, and lack of defense—I had it pegged around 10 runs before but you could prob add 1 to 2 for this guy if he calls the game as he normally does. 66.7% of his games this year went over (avg is around 50%), with lowest total being 8, to high of 18.

 

[piratealew]

***FYI about Marlins Total--Umpire in Miami Marlins game is ANDY "Missed call" FLETCHER. This dude rarely calls strikes and rings guys up. He is A HUGE overs ump. Just this year in 6 games he was the ump, every game went over 8 runs. The average runs per game for this guy is 14.8 this year. INSANE (most umps avg 8.5-9 runs per game, rarely over 10). None of these games he officated with in Colorado,. His strike % has ranged from 58.6% (very low) to around 64% about avg. Doesn't necessarily guarantee a ton of runs but this guy is the most hitter friendly ump in the MLB and by a WIDE margin. I already pounded the over due to the pitching, and lack of defense—I had it pegged around 10 runs before but you could prob add 1 to 2 for this guy if he calls the game as he normally does. 66.7% of his games this year went over (avg is around 50%), with lowest total being 8, to high of 18.

Over cashes in the 5th. this ump has the widest strike zone i've seen. tons of walks.

 

[piratealew]

Going back to the well with another over. This one looks somewhat obvious with both pitchers having over 5 era and Tuesday's game going over easily (10-9), my excitement for this over jumped even more when I noted that Mark "Double-wide" Carlson is the Homeplate ump. He's the 2nd more lenient umpire this year, with 7 games he's officiated, 5-2 to the over, with an average of an astonishing 11.6 Runs per game (avg is 8-9), calling about 63% strikes. His high scoring game was a Min/LA game with 21 runs (he called 60% strikes that game, well below league avg). His lowest scoring game was 4, and next was 5, then it jumps to 11, 12, and 15 (21 being last). NONE of these games were in Colorado either. So behind two formidable lineups that can bust out at any time and 2 Pitchers with a high ERA, and a lenient Ump, I could not skip this play.
Another fun factoid, L. Allen's last start against Houston? It resulted in a 10-9 win for Clev, in which he gave up 5 runs so I know the guys from Houston can hit him (but more so Clev beating up on Houston's gas can with an 11 era). Both sides should be able to contribute tonight.

Cleveland/Houston over 8.5-130

 

[piratealew]

5-4 yesterday/3-2 top plays/352-287YTD/ (191-125 Top plays 2024)
Top plays continue to be good money-makers, hope it keeps up before regression kicks in.

Interesting matchups today, lot of chalk games, which I hate so I do -1 or RL to avoid much over 150ish. Some decent small dogs have a good shot tonight. based on matchups and splits.

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️NY Mutts +118
️Cardinals-1.5-110
️Braves+103
️Guardians-1-112
️Phillies-142
️Mariners+108
️Oakland-127
️Padres+105
️Boston+102
️Milwaukee/Chicago Over 7.5-112
️Baltimore/Cincy Over 9-112
Yankees-1+100
Toronto-1-138
Royals-109
Cubs-120
Reds+101
Pirates-1-115
Boston/Minnesota Over 7.5-130
San Diego/Arizona Over 8-125

Happy TGIF to all those grinding the 9-5---or to those us who retired too early, just another day--i dont even know the day of the week most days until I look at the bettng schedule. Ugh, I do miss the joys of Fridays and the weekend. Just another day to me now.

 

[piratealew]

adding:
️Tigers/Yankees Over 7.5-113
Braves/Dodgers Over 9-118

 

[piratealew]

First bad day in MLB (5-14 yuck) in a while, just bad luck all around, Braves losing in 11th capped off the string of bad luck after Mariners blew a 3-1 lead late with the Pen. Guess all my luck went to NBA last night. Long season so we grind on...

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Cardinals-1-125
️Oakland-119
️Twins-1-120
️LA Dodgers-1-118
️Reds+107
️Pittsburgh-1-135
️Cubs-119
️Phillies-1-115
️Seattle+120 (1st 5 innings ML)
️Texas/KC Over 8-120
️NY Mets/Tampons Over 7.5-105

Tampa-108
Nationals+1.5-117
Arizona-121
Royals+102
Cleveland-132
Yankees-149
White Sox/Cardinals Over 7.5-125
Colorado/Pittsburgh Over 7-115
LAA/Cleveland Over 7.5-130
Boston/Minnesota Over 7.5-114
Blow Jays/Nationals UNDER 8.5-120

 

[BMR Genie]

This thread is full of action. Good luck, Pirate!

 

[doyleellis11]

Get it back today Good Luck with All your plays !

 

[piratealew]

Adding:
Brewers/Cubbies Over 8-130

 

[JDS]

This thread is full of action. Good luck, Pirate!

"Everyday thang"

 

[piratealew]

Orioles/Red Legs Over 8.5-130

 

[piratealew]

A great saturday, 7-3 on top plays, 13-9 overall. good bounceback. 370-310 YTD/

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Rangers-119
️Oakland-120
️Seattle+107
️Rays-117
️Nationals-103
️Reds-107
️Minnesota Twinks-1-112
️Braves-128
️White Sux/Cardinals Over 7.5-105
Cubs+114
Cardinals-152
Tigers+111
Giants-110
Padres+107
Bahston/Minnesoooota Over 7.5-105
Texas Lone Rangers/Kansas City Queens Over 8-115
NY Mutts/Tampons Rays Over 7-120

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[jjgold]

The key here pirates doesn’t lay a lot of juice

 

[Tanko]

A great saturday, 7-3 on top plays, 13-9 overall. good bounceback. 370-310 YTD/

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Rangers-119
️Oakland-120
️Seattle+107
️Rays-117
️Nationals-103
️Reds-107
️Minnesota Twinks-1-112
️Braves-128
️White Sux/Cardinals Over 7.5-105
Cubs+114
Cardinals-152
Tigers+111
Giants-110
Padres+107
Bahston/Minnesoooota Over 7.5-105
Texas Lone Rangers/Kansas City Queens Over 8-115
NY Mutts/Tampons Rays Over 7-120

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Man you play the biggest cards in MLB of anyone I follow.
I LOVE IT.
Thanks,