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Arizona +103

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
64,540
So I didn’t get the best of lines, but I don’t care at the end of the day if this cashes. We have two National Division leaders tonight. Ketel Marte for Arizona was out on Sunday & should be back for the D’backs which will help if they wanna win this series, he is currently in good form with multiple hits in many games recently.

Pitching advantage favors the D’backs slightly IMO as they are 6-0 on the road when Merrill Kelly pitches with a low 2.12 ERA. For the Brewers Burnes is solid & has had some success versus the D’backs, but this feels like a good spot where he may struggle a bit.

Take the D’backs +103 & good luck if you tail 🍀.
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
51,403
So I didn’t get the best of lines, but I don’t care at the end of the day if this cashes. We have two National Division leaders tonight. Ketel Marte for Arizona was out on Sunday & should be back for the D’backs which will help if they wanna win this series, he is currently in good form with multiple hits in many games recently.

Pitching advantage favors the D’backs slightly IMO as they are 6-0 on the road when Merrill Kelly pitches with a low 2.12 ERA. For the Brewers Burnes is solid & has had some success versus the D’backs, but this feels like a good spot where he may struggle a bit.

Take the D’backs +103 & good luck if you tail 🍀.
Great write-up, JDS. Good luck.
 
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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
66,593
GL JDS.
Was leaning MIL but laying off this one after reading your write-up and looking into it further.

ARI is pretty damn good. They are top 5 in OPS and AVG and top 10 on WRC+. MIL is bottom 10 in all those categories.
 
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Pimike

Pimike

Joined
Oct 30, 2021
Messages
12,230
I’m leaning Burns

Don’t like Kelly here on the road
 
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