JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

get a pie you jerkoff

I'm going to be like...

 

[BigJay]

Huge movement pregame

 

[KVB]

I think this first game has a better than normal chance of going to OT than the static models would show.

Remember, there are alternate probabilities at play but I'm not so sure the volume in this game will reinforce those alternates.

Don't want to get too much into that now as we won't know what's in the algo tonight.

Toronto scoring the first two baskets and Wash winning the 1st quarter does begin to fill in that picture, though.

 

[jjgold]

Like Wash live here
POUND

 

[KVB]

Like Wash live here
POUND

There's been some scalping opportunity here, I suppose, but the only one I saw in real time was that first move over the 1st quarter.

 

[Wagerallsports]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2065576587601338689

 

[KVB]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2065576587601338689

Over 20 million on that game at Poly over 30 million at Kalshi

And these numbers are just rising and rising.

 

[KVB]

Edit, I found the contracts.

Like Wash live here
POUND

Wash in control of the second half.

 

[jjgold]

we hit Wash 1st half live -148 Bookmaker

"JJ YOUR VERY SHARP"

Mickey from Bookmaker

 

[KVB]

we hit Wash 1st half live -148 Bookmaker

"JJ YOUR VERY SHARP"

Mickey from Bookmaker

Maybe you were just lucky. We don't determine if a bet is sharp or even good based on it's outcome.

What can you compare your -148 to in order to determine if it was a sharp play?

What did Mickey at BM use?

 

[KVB]

Toronto trying to make a comeback.

The ML has gone from .01 to .13

over 3.5 million traded on this WNBA game.

 

[KVB]

think this first game has a better than normal chance of going to OT than the static models would show.

They teased OT but it didn’t come.

One point leads were traded inside the last couple seconds

 

[KVB]

That last bucked with half a second left in that first game flipped both the moneyline and the Total.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Seattle +10.5 @ .58 cents.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Seattle +10.5 @ .58 cents.

Full disclosure I edited the typo in that post it was not .55 cents, it was .58 cents.

 

[KVB]

Seattle +10.5 @ .58 cents

Missed the ML here. We've seen the ML move from .21 to .35.

That was a good move and I just plain didn't get there in time. I didn't want to pick it at .28.

The Lab think Seattle could win this game outright at home.

 

[KVB]

Seattle +10.5 @ .58 cents

Closed this position for .65 cents @ a 12.07% gain.

Tried to get 1/2 out @ .73 there were no takers, missed .71 and ended up out at .65

No positions open.

I might rebuy.

 

[KVB]

Fukk, posting and missing the buys in the 50s

Starting to wish I hadn't chased that sell down from 73 to 65.

 

[KVB]

Trying to get back into this Seattle +10.5 but there isn't much liquidity and I'll have to pay over 60 cents.

Not ideal but the Lab does think Seatlle covers, and could even win.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Seattle +10.5 @ .64 cents

Forcing a trade here, but the Lab does like Seattle.