JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

Picked up Los Angeles ml @ .59 cents.

WNBA

I was trying for .54 cents but in the end I'm filled .59 with a fast moving market.

Still very low commission here as some was filled by limit order and some by going to market.

This was a fast trade for sure but the Lab feels this number may not move too high until late in the game.

So may have to wait here, which makes the Trader a bit nervous.

 

[KVB]

That UNDER 166.5 had a dip into the 30s but he Trader held off of working the book.

This is now in the mid 70s

 

[KVB]

Picked up Los Angeles ml @ .59 cents.

Picked up Los Angeles ML @ .53 cents.

2nd strike here

 

[KVB]

Picked up Los Angeles ml @ .59 cents.

Los Angeles ML @ .53 cents

Avg price here is .56 cents.

The Trader is getting active, but I'm happy at that level .56.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Los Angeles ml @ .59 cents.

Los Angeles ML @ .53 cents

I managed a grand total .5% commission here.

@jjgold look at all that room to got to market to bail out compared to one buy in th book. If this settles for 1.00 no commission is added.

Poly would add a winners tax of 2%

if you do it right, I think Kalshi is the better fee structure but no matter what it beats the hell out of the books as long as your watching the actual prices.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Los Angeles ml @ .59 cents.

Los Angeles ML @ .53 cents

Could sell here for .77 cents and turn this into a profitable day.

But I'm holding.

Can't say the Lab doesn't set the Trader up to get green, but the Trader seems to be struggling to get out. Especially when the Lab says this game could float around .60 cents until late.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Los Angeles ml @ .59 cents.

Los Angeles ML @ .53 cents

The Trader is getting active, but I'm happy at that level .56.

Halftime ML is .57 x .56

The Lab still thinks LA steals the ML but the Trader doesn't like the look here in the order book action.

 

[jjgold]

Poly run by bad people also

They will stiff

 

[KVB]

Poly run by bad people also

They will stiff

CFTC regulated, I'm not seeing them stiff or get away with it if they did.

lol

 

[jjgold]

First time ever Kalshi restricting, Nevada sports and election plays

If your address is in another state, you can use a VPN though

 

[KVB]

Los Angeles ml @ .59 cents.

Los Angeles ML @ .53 cents

I have closed these positions a for .19 cents.

Suffered another loss.

 

[KVB]

Tha Lab did not want to see a shake out and thinks LA could win it very late.

The Trader might get back in.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Los Angeles ML @ .08 cents.

 

[KVB]

Los Angeles ML @ .08 cents

I have closed this for .29 cents @ a 262.5% profit.

 

[KVB]

Well, shit, the Lab was wrong.

I almost dipped in again at about .12 cents, that would have been a bad idea.

 

[KVB]

The Lab liked portland spread after the failure yesterday.

But that ship may have sailed.

Shit.

Here's the day so far. That .08 cent trade was a big one and a big risk already being down today but the Lab liked the LA comeback, and I was saying it would be late, that turned out to be a tease.

Issue Bought Sold % Profit Per $100 Sea/Tor UNDER 165.5 0.67 0.42 -0.37 -37.31 Sea/Tor UNDER 165.5 0.54 0.42 -0.22 -22.22 Los Angeles ML 0.59 0.19 -0.68 -67.80 Los Angeles ML 0.53 0.19 -0.64 -64.15 Los Angeles ML 0.08 0.29 2.63 262.50 Total [td] 71.02​

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[/td]

 

[KVB]

Was so focused on that WNBA ending I missed the NBA start. Liked a little SA ml but I already would have sold riding .45 to about .65.

I was laser focused on that WNBA game, missed the other one's start and then the NBA.

Wasn't even thinking about either of them.

 

[theriver55]

you are Off your game KVB it seems like?

 

[jjgold]

Indiana fever are a disaster they’re gonna have to make some trades

 

[KVB]

you are Off your game KVB it seems like?

Yeah, a terrible streak of 6 losing trades in a row.

That would have never happened in the NCAA hoops.

Many of those plays were green at one point, I'm just playing so loose, taking the Lab for granted. Even that last winning trade had me on edge.

I need to step away.