JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

Picked up Iowa +10.5 @ .50 cents.

A limit order that just filled.

 

[KVB]

Not ruling out Iowa beating Florida though I think the spread is the best bet.

Issue Bought Ask % Profit Per $100 Florida Champ 0.08 0.10 0.25 25.00 Total [td] 25.00​

​

[/td]

If there is movement here I will get out.

Not looking to take a loss on this future, especially since I was at one point up more than 100%.

 

[KVB]

Boy, I'm glad I didn't get sucked into that Kansas moneyline. It seemed like a .12 cent to .20 cent or more move was capturable a couple of times.

Of course, as I type this teh .08 cents goes to .15 at a 6 point game.

Kansas could still steal this game, it seems. That would fukk up the UPSET prop, lol.

Kansas makes it a 1 point game with 2 minutes left.

Kansas ml only got to about .30 cents, and the 4+ UPSET prop also moved.

That prop is getting traded alongside the regular contracts.

Even though the Lab liked Kansas, the Trader currently roots for St. John's out of necessity.

 

[KVB]

Not ruling out Iowa beating Florida though I think the spread is the best bet.

Issue Bought Ask % Profit Per $100 Florida Champ 0.08 0.10 0.25 25.00 Total [td] 25.00​

​

[/td]


If there is movement here I will get out.

Not looking to take a loss on this future, especially since I was at one point up more than 100%.

Stopped out of this futrure @ .08 cents.

This will go on today's tracking as a breakeven play.

The Lab thinks Iowa will win.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Iowa ml @ .27 cents.

Another limit order, filled on the Florida comeback.

Rotating out of Florida future and into Iowa.

Can always go back, lol.

 

[KVB]

4+ UPSETS in Rd of 32 for .59 cents

Iowa +10.5 @ .50 cents

Iowa ml @ .27 cents

Bumping the open positions.

 

[KVB]

Iowa ml @ .27 cents

Stopped out here for .24 cents @ a -11.1% loss.

 

[KVB]

There was a tight tolerance for loss on that Iowa ml because of the timing before the half.

I actually bought it at a bad time, and new it at the time, that's why I set it like that.

If it hadn't go there, and was up at half, I might have still sold. Florida just has too much sway over the market.

 

[KVB]

May potentially dip into that Iowa moneyline again.

The Lab likes it while the Trader is considering getting out of the +105. at profit.

lol

 

[KVB]

Was trying to fill Iowa ml at .22-.24 cetnsa.

Couldn't get it, now it's at .43

Fawk.

 

[KVB]

May potentially dip into that Iowa moneyline again.

The Lab likes it while the Trader is considering getting out of the +105. at profit.

lol

Should have been more concerned with getting filled thatn posting the thoughts.

But I want the thread to have some idea of what I'm doing.

The answer is just put on video, I suppose. But how would that work? A live stream today would be already going on 9 hours.

So not sure the practicality of that but I would at least put the pregame positions in the thread, maybe just put positions in the thread and this kind of talk would be on video

Still trying to feel this out. Trading is the priority though.

 

[KVB]

Fukk, Iows up 12 and thos contracts are in the 60s.

Don't see Florida coming back here...actually it's a little preamture to say that.

But the Lab has been bullish on Iowa since game time.

 

[KVB]

4+ UPSETS in Rd of 32 for .59 cents

Iowa +10.5 @ .50 cents

Closed these positions:

4+ UPSETS in Rd of 32 for .76 cents @ a 28.8% profit

Iowa +10.5 for .86 cents @ a 72% profit.

The Trader took everything off the table down the stretch here.

 

[KVB]

The Lab is upset I sold the +10.5

That's a sportsbook play and the Lab really liked it.

Shit, Iowa is probably going to win this, but the Trader won't regret it. I did slip up a bit by not selling that spread earlier at .90 cents.

It is what it is.

 

[KVB]

I've mentioned a few times that I'm doing a small account challenge and someitmes keep plays in that account.

Here's what that account holds...

 

[KVB]

That account just grew a bit.

 

[jjgold]

DO NOT TRADE SCARED

 

[KVB]

DO NOT TRADE SCARED

While that's true, we have to be careful not to mistake taking Trading profits for being scared.

For the most part, we are not at the Trading Desk to be locked in until the end, that's what the bookie is for and the Lab has sent plenty of good shit to the sportsbooks.

There are plenty of positions here I could have held for more profit, a lot more, but that thinking, that FOMO, is not healthy at the Trading Desk.

We're making money every day at the Desk. I don't know if you realize it or not, and @flyingillini would appreciate it, but what I am doing here is all but eliminating variance from our equations.

Imagine that. I am inventing something here.

What I'm doing with variance from sportsbetting is some Nobel Prize shit.

Seriously.

 

[KVB]

@jjgold remember this?...

lol cashouts has and always be for suckers
scared bettors

The concept is good, but it's a damn ripoff to do something like that with a book, on top of the vig.

Exchanges, if you do it right, are a different story.

Don't mistake a solid Trader for a scared bettor.

Remember, this isn't betting in this thread, this is the single best LIVE Sports Trading Desk in the world.

This is Trading!!!

 

[theriver55]

cash outs are for small timers like myself GOlD/KVB. I like extending the run without having to deposit. If I am 3 for 4 and last leg is tight I may cash out depending on the offer. Cashed out 3x this weekend and make the right move twice. Yeah GOLD cash out for scared bettors but sometimes I am taking the guaranteed coin rather than a potential loss.