JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

Underwater on that total at halftime, but like I said, I expected a fast start.

These fast starts are lasting into halftime these days

It takes a lot of patience

 

[Wagerallsports]

With a 20+ pt lead hopefully Arizona starts taking their time on offense

 

[KVB]

Thought about doubling down on this total position, would already be up

But just can’t justify doubling down when I’m not in the office analyzing the markets

 

[KVB]

With a 20+ pt lead hopefully Arizona starts taking their time on offense

Yeah, the total pace has gone from about 160 at halftime down to the line of 151.5

So that’s good

 

[KVB]

I figured this game would come down to the 147.5 line giving us a cushion with 151.5

 

[Wagerallsports]

Wipe our brow

Thirsty backup players almost put it over

 

[KVB]

This is 1/2 position...

LIU/Zona UNDER 151.5 @ .60 cents

Filled the other half of this position @ .44 cents.

Average cost is .52 cents

This will settle for 1.00 @ a 92.3% profit.

 

[KVB]

Wipe our brow

Thirsty backup players almost put it over

I was moving limit orders up and actually thought I got taken out @ about .76 and .77 cents but the market moved so fast I missed those and the orders were denied.

Next thing I know I'm at .90 cents.

Trader pushed that one, had I been in the office and settled I would have been out of that for some kind of profit. Being out of the office paid off, lmao.

 

[Wagerallsports]

I was moving limit orders up and actually thought I got taken out @ about .76 and .77 cents but the market moved so fast I missed those and the orders were denied.

Next thing I know I'm at .90 cents.

Trader pushed that one, had I been in the office and settled I would have been out of that for some kind of profit. Being out of the office paid off, lmao.

Haha it worked out this time

 

[Wagerallsports]

Virginia was in trouble for a while but looks like they finally put it away

 

[KVB]

Virginia was in trouble for a while but looks like they finally put it away

Yeah put that up with a 3 point game, Virginia put that one to bed, lol.

 

[KVB]

Iowa Celmson is a pretty big matchup that starts in the later window in about 3 hours.

I'm not caught up so not even looking at the two games starting in the next half hour.

I'll get caught up then see where we are but the current plan is to be targeting some of the later action, doubtful I get into the games being played until then, but I guess we'll see what I can uncover.

 

[jjgold]

You’re making money and I’m learning how to f*** I’m actually reading a book about it


lol

 

[Wagerallsports]

Any chance Kansas has problems tonight?

 

[KVB]

Any chance Kansas has problems tonight?

Actually there a few reasons to go against Kansas tonight developing but it's too soon to pull the trigger for Trading.

Those 13 v 4 are a liottle out of balance, with the 4s so far all covering the favorite spread.

If it is Kansas, it's probably a brutal blowout to punish the bettor for trying.

But if it's the dog covering, then the dog might as well make it close.

I know that's not much of an answer other than to say fading Kansas is becoming tempting, but I hate being tempted late on Friday nights.

 

[KVB]

Big lean here towards Iowa.

Don't like the number on that moneyline though it has gotten a bit better this afternoon.

Potentially going to snipe a 1/2 position to start.

This game could go back and forth so gettung below .50 cents isn't a bad idea. Iowa is currently .54 cents.

One thought is to get Clemson @ .47 cents and then start trading from there. One of those "get both teams as dogs" style plays.

I think this is one of those types of plays.

I will put orders in, but I am willing to pull them if they don't get filled.

 

[KVB]

One thought is to get Clemson @ .47 cents and then start trading from there. One of those "get both teams as dogs" style plays.

At only .47 cents it's not ideal, so I might just stay focused on Iowa and pick them up after clemson takes the early lead.

Again this game a close to toss up and getting both teams as dogs in the books is a real possibility, just not sure I want to get that aggressive on the exchange.

 

[KVB]

Again this game a close to toss up and getting both teams as dogs in the books is a real possibility, just not sure I want to get that aggressive on the exchange.

Another issue with such a close game that might just play close is tht we won't get much market movement. So even if I have the plan, turning .44 cents to .48, or .54 to .59 isn't quite going to cut it for the Trading Desk.

I would have to make trade after trade to get anyting out of it.

 

[KVB]

Iowa ml now at .60
Clemosn mo now .42

.42 isn't bad, but our bias here is long Iowa, so taking clemson on the way down is not ideal.

Now .63 for Iowa and .39 for Clemson with Iowa leading 8-3.

Clemson should push to come back, but we shouldn't take that for granted. There's just not enough here to jump on Clemson, yet.

Best move would have been Iowa ml pregame @ .54 to be scalped at .62.

Sometimes that's a wrothy trade, but this game didn't seem worth the risk as even that movement might be the most we get for a while.

Just trying to lay out some of my thinking here even if not showing all factors I am looking at to form the opinion or make decision.

 

[KVB]

Big lean here towards Iowa.

Don't like the number on that moneyline though it has gotten a bit better this afternoon.

Potentially going to snipe a 1/2 position to start.

Well, shit. That .54 cents got into the 70s.

I do think it's Iowa and while it seems like there is room for Clemson to come back, the bias is long Iowa, that's what I'd rather be trading.

Might have missed the boat here as I wanted Iowa just a little cheaper. Fukkin greed.