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JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Picked up Northwestern -4.5 @ .44 cents.
Picked up Northwestern ML @ .63 cents.

@jjgold another bigmoney scalp here.

Notice, even if what I buy isn't winning, it goes up a lot of times right after.

I am practicing for the post season here, and things look pretty solid.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Trying to average N'western ml down, but it will create a slightly outsized position.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Trying to average N'western ml down, but it will create a slightly outsized position.
Averaged down here, new positions are:

Northwestern -4.5 @ .315 cents.
Northwestern ml @ .485 cents.

It's halftime.

:popcorn:

Slightly my ass

Each of these are now double positions, basically.

The summary will have the individual buys for each to reflect that.

Partial sales will be recorded on a FIFO, first in first out basis.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
The current golf portfolio is out. Current prices are what it costs to buy it right now.

This overall look makes me think of getting out of it all...

BMR PGABoughtASK% ProfitPer $100
BergerTop200.410.31-24.4%-24.39
NicolaiHøjgaardTop200.430.5220.9%20.93
RasmusHøjgaardTop200.480.6331.3%31.25
McGreevy Top100.360.02-94.4%-94.44
Echavarria win0.1650.15-9.1%-9.09
Lowry win0.1050.38261.9%261.90
Smotherman NO0.7750.825.8%5.81
Lowry Top100.50.9692.0%92.00
Total
[td]
283.97​
[/td]
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Picked up Northwestern -4.5 @ .44 cents.
Picked up Northwestern ML @ .63 cents.
Averaged down here, new positions are:

Northwestern -4.5 @ .315 cents.
Northwestern ml @ .485 cents.
Slightly my ass
Each of these are now double positions, basically.
The summary will have the individual buys for each to reflect that.
Partial sales will be recorded on a FIFO, first in first out basis.

I have closed the first half of these positions, so one full position each with:

Northwestern -4.5 for .40 cents @ a -9% loss from the .44 buy.
Northwestern ml for .65 cents @ a 3% profit from the .63 buy.

So now I hold...

Northwestern -4.5 @ .19 cents...44 averaged down to .315 was a.19 buy.
Northwestern ml @ .34 cents....63 averaged down to .485 was a .34 buy.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Northwestern -4.5 @ .19 cents
Northwestern ml @ .34 cents

Could get out of the spread at breakeven and the ml for a 65% profit at this timeout.

Prolly the smart move, but I'm holding.

For now
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Northwestern -4.5 @ .19 cents
Northwestern ml @ .34 cents

Closed the spread position for .19 cents @ 0%

Sold 1/2 the ml position for .56 cents and a 64.7% profit.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Sold the other half for .72 @ a 111.7% profit.

I was trying to sell this for .68 cents, once it hit 100% but it blew past as I was selling on the bid, so it changed to .72.

I paid commission to get out. It dropped, even down to 40s and 30s.

Northwestern ended up winning the game, it expired at 1.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Here's the action so far, I managed to turn it around with some tricky trading. Too bad I didn't hold that Northwestern, lol.

A $100 bet on N'westen to win pre game would have you survive a heart attack and profit $60.00.

Instead, a $100 bet with KVB LIVE Trading on the N'western moneyline caused a heart attack and a profit of $91.41, a 50% increase over the pregame -165, heart attack aside. We won't even get into the preservation of capital on the losing Iowa trades.

Think about it.

:Peace_5:


IssueBoughtSold% ProfitPer $100
Iowa-9.50.440.24-0.45-45.45
Iowa ml0.640.525-0.18-17.97
nwest-4.50.440.4-0.09-9.09
nwest-4.50.190.190.000.00
nwestml0.630.650.033.17
nwestml0.340.640.8888.24
Total

[td]
18.90​



[/td]
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
I squeezed almost 2.5 units out of betting on two favoites tonight.
A $100 bet on N'westen to win pre game would have you survive a heart attack and profit $60.00.

Instead, a $100 bet with KVB LIVE Trading on the N'western moneyline caused a heart attack and a profit of $91.41, a 50% increase over the pregame -165, heart attack aside.

It's easy to see how I can cut losses, but can you see what I'm doing to the wins?

brovius.gif
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064

We got this.

A strong Iowa 2nd half and we're in business. I bought the ml @ .28 cents when it was a 16 point game.

It's back to a 16 point game.

TTech raining some 3s down the stretch. If that dies out, and we think it will, we're in the money.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Pitt beating cal, I don't think that turns as Pitt was a good sportsbook bet too.

Then again maybe it's not so safe.

lol
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
22,064
Iowa St ml @ .28 cents.

Closed this out for .07 cents @ a -75% loss.

Can't take it anymore, other developments told us this should have been sold a little earlier and I didn't get out. Could have lost less.

That will go down in the review. For sure.
 
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