WNBA Best Angel Reese Bets for July 14: Nobody Can Stop Angel Right Now

Minnesota’s Defensive Focus

It is well known that the Lynx have an excellent defense.

This fact might make it seem clear that we should avoid investing in Angel Reese and her Chicago Sky offense.

However, not all excellent defenses are the same. Some, because of their specific emphases, will be more vulnerable to offenses that are generally thought of as lower-quality offenses.

It is therefore crucial to determine whether Minnesota’s excellent defense is vulnerable tonight by looking at what it emphasizes.

On defense, the Lynx focus on guarding he perimeter.

This focus certainly makes sense in today’s modern age of basketball in which Caitlin Clark and Sabrina Ionescu — and guys like Steph Curry in the NBA — are glorified and attract other players who want to emulate them. Today’s game, also, prioritizes analytics, so you have the Golden State Valkyries shooting a lot of threes, just like you have NBA teams like the Boston Celtics focus on shooting threes.

It is thus, generally speaking, a good strategy to focus on guarding the perimeter. Minnesota’s defense is so good because it does this so well. The Lynx allow the third-fewest three-point makes and the lowest three-point conversion rate. They really care about running shooters off the three-point line and about contesting three-point shot attempts.

Why This Matters

It is extremely important to know that the Lynx defense thrives along the perimeter because the fact of their good defense is a potential source of betting value in the opposing offense’s team total over and in the point total over for opposing players.

There is betting value in the Sky team total over and in Reese’s point total over because their numbers in this matchup get deflated by oddsmakers as a result of the objective general quality of Minnesota’s defense when Minnesota’s defense is so good for reasons that do not constitute reasons to dislike Reese and her Sky offense.

Chicago’s Focus on Offense

If the Sky focused on shooting threes, then their outlook on offense would obviously be poor tonight.

But the Sky attempt the fourth-fewest three-pointers per game. Minnesota’s strong perimeter defense will thus not bother their offense tonight. Chicago could care less when an opposing defense prioritizes taking away three-pointers.

On offense, Chicago primarily wants to attack the basket. The Sky attempt the second-most field goals within five feet of the basket. They are one of two teams to average over 26 field goals per game in this space.

Angel Reese’s Importance to Chicago’s Offense

Angel Reese, certainly, plays a major role in Chicago’s rim-attacking endeavor.

Reese is her team’s second-leading scorer in large part because of her determination to score inside.

She is known as a bully. She is a physically strong player who ably exerts her will inside.

However, she is much more of a bully, which means that she has more athletic resources available to her, as means of scoring against all sorts of different defenders who have different strengths, than merely her physical prowess.

Her handles, for example, are the stuff of highlight reels. More than a bully, video footage illustrates the ease with which she executes a spin move on the way to the basket.

For such reasons, she is tough for any defender to stay in front of and to contain in the interior.

Against a Minnesota defense that allows the fourth-most attempts within five feet of the basket, Reese’s strength as a scorer inside the arc will be on full display.

The Lynx can be scored upon especially around the basket, which is just what Reese and her offense want to focus on doing.

Reese’s Fantastic Form

Reese enters tonight’s game in fantastic form, which must create confidence in her ability tonight to live up to her physical potential and to maximize the unique matchup opportunity accorded to her in this game.

She has scored at least 15 points in each of her last seven games. In those seven games, she scored at least 16 points in six of them.

This trend is part of what makes her point total “over” tonight a great investment, as she faces a team that is uniquely determined to guard the spaces in which she doesn’t prefer to operate.

Her level of reliable success against Minnesota is already proven for reasons that are now clear.

On July 6, she scored 16 points against Minnesota. More recently on July 12, she reached 19 points. Chicago scored 75 and 87 in those two respective games. Expect further progress, scoring-wise, for her and the Sky.

The Parlay

• Angel Reese 15+ Points
• Chicago Sky Over 70.5 Points

WNBA Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+130) at BetOnline

Two-Legged Parlay (+130)

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