Someone is going to break their 2 game losing streak here as the Maple Leafs and Stars come into tonight’s game both having lost their past two NHL games.
Although Toronto has won 5 more games than the Stars this season, they have struggled against Dallas in recent games having lost 4 of their previous 5 head-2-heads. Will they struggle without top points scorer Auston Matthews who is suspended for tonight’s game? Here is all you need to know for your NHL picks.
Dallas Stars vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Tuesday, March 15, 2022 – 07:00 PM EDT at Scotiabank Arena
Stars in Playoff Battle
Dallas comes into tonight’s game just one point off a playoff spot in the Western Conference and holds the added advantage of having played four games less than the Golden Knights and two less than the Edmonton Oilers and Nashville Predators.
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Their two-game losing streak has hindered their playoff advancement and they will be desperate to get back to winning ways against an out of form and hindered Maple Leafs' team. 37-year-old Joe Pavelski has racked up 60 points in 57 games and he leads the way for the team this season, although the absence of their top defender Miro Heiskanen could be a concern.
Maple Leafs Stalling
Toronto has stalled their advancement as of late having picked up 11 wins and 9 losses in their previous 20 games, which is the 8th best record in the Eastern Conference. The concern for this team is slipping into a cold run of form right before the playoffs. We expressed our concern with this team long-term and still don’t feel they have the overall ability to lift the Stanley Cup this year.
The Maple Leafs will definitely make the playoffs as they are currently 3rd in the Atlantic Division and cannot be caught by the Red Wings, who are 24 points adrift. The Leafs were beaten as heavy favorites in their previous two games, at odds of -360 and -260. Can we trust them again tonight at -150 without top points scorer Auston Matthews?
Team Trends
*Trends should never be your main source of information when it comes to making your betting picks, they are merely guidelines and mostly irrelevant information but nonetheless can be interesting to read.
Dallas Stars
- The total has gone over in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.
- Dallas is 4-12 in their last 16 games against Toronto.
- Dallas is 6-2 in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- The total has gone over in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games.
- The total has gone under in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas.
- Toronto is 3-6 in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Central Division.
What Are the Betting Odds and Current Lines?
Moneyline: Dallas has opened up on the moneyline at NHL odds of +120, whilst the home team is juiced as low as -150 with Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)
Total: The total for tonight’s game is currently set at 6.0 with the over juiced to -110 and the under coming in at +100 at the time of writing.
Puck Line: Dallas is heavily juiced to cover the +1.5 PK line at -210, although closer to game time we expect those odds to drift out a little. The Maple Leafs -1.5 has opened up at +170 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review).
Betting Predictions
We found it hard to find any significant value on this game, We can’t trust the Leafs at -150, therefore that also rules out the -1.5 PK line and Dallas are not big enough odds for us to like the +120.
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Without Miro Heiskanen, they have and will continue to struggle defensively and although one might argue Matthews is missing tonight, this Leafs' team has the benefit of being on home ice, where they have won 6 of the previous 8 against the Stars. It also helps the Leafs that Dallas has a pretty bad road record sitting at just 12 wins from 28 games.
Officially, we are happy to take the over 5.5 total line at -130. 8 of the Leafs' previous 10 home games have seen over 5.5 goals scored.
Ideally, this could be an underplay given what’s at stake and key injuries, etc. But an early goal will open this contest right up, and we are going to boldly predict a 4-3 Maple Leafs' win.
NHL Pick: Over 5.5 Goals (-130) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
