The San Antonio Spurs dropped the first two games at home against the New York Knicks in the NBA Finals. They had their backs against the wall, staring at a 3-0 series deficit as they walked into the iconic Madison Square Garden. A must-win game in a raucous crowd, filled with Knicks fans starving for a title.

Victor Wembanyama responded by putting up his best game of the series, with 32 points, eight rebounds, and six assists while shooting 11-of-18 from the field and 2-for-4 from beyond the arc. It was exactly what the Spurs needed, with their superstar putting the team on his back en route to a much-needed 115-111 victory.

NBA Finals Betting Preview: Knicks vs Spurs Game 4 Odds & Analysis

Heading into Game 4, the Spurs now have a chance to even up the series, climbing out of the hole they dug themselves into with a pair of home losses in the first two matchups. The question is, how will the Knicks respond to their first sign of adversity since going down 2-1 in the first-round series against the Atlanta Hawks? Let’s dive into the best offshore sportsbooks to take a closer look at NBA Finals betting odds.

NBA Finals Game 4 Betting Odds

NBA Finals Game 4 betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline.

  • Spread: Spurs +2 (-112) at Knicks -2 (-108)
  • Moneyline: Spurs (+105) at Knicks (-125)
  • Total: Over 216.5 (-110) / Under 216.5 (-110)

There are no real market corrections with the NBA betting odds for Game 4. The Knicks come in as two-point favorites and -125 on the moneyline, which is virtually identical to what we saw in Game 3, when the spread ranged from -1.5 to -2.5.

The underdog has won outright in each game in this series, so it will be interesting to see if that trend continues.

The total is where it gets a little more interesting. At 216.5, it’s similar to Game 3, which ranged from 215 to 216. What’s intriguing here is that even though these teams combined for 226 points in Game 3, there hasn’t been any adjustment in the Game 4 total.

The under has hit in two of three games so far, but the number has always stayed between 215 to 217, so no major changes there.

NBA Finals Game 4 Best Bets

When looking at the NBA Finals odds for Game 4, I find it difficult to pick a side. On the one hand, you have the Spurs, who were relatively short favorites coming into the series. They were my original pick to win it all, so I lean in their direction. However, we’re only getting two points on the spread here.

It’s hard to see the Knicks losing back-to-back games at Madison Square Garden, so I don’t see any value in taking Spurs +2 on the spread or (+105) on the moneyline. Where I’m looking for my NBA Finals Game 4 best bets is with the game total.

Spurs/Knicks Under 216.5 (-110)

These are two of the best teams in the NBA, so it’s not surprising to see that they’ve gone under the number in two of three matchups of this series. Just take a look at the score lines:

  • Game 1: Knicks W 105-95 (210)
  • Game 2: Knicks W 105-104 (209)
  • Game 3: Spurs W 115-111 (226)

Game 3 looks like a clear outlier in terms of scoring. This is reflected in the line, as oddsmakers haven’t adjusted from 216.5 despite it cruising over the number in Game 3.

One of the key reasons why this game went over is because of free throws. Just compare Game 3 with Game 1 and Game 2 in terms of free throw attempts:

  • Game 1: Knicks (18 FTA), Spurs (25 FTA)
  • Game 2: Knicks (21 FTA), Spurs (27 FTA)
  • Game 3: Spurs (32 FTA), Knicks (22 FTA)

Both teams had their most free throw attempts of the series. I’m betting against that happening again, so expect to see the score line align more with Game 1 and 2 (209-210) than Game 3 (226) in Game 4.

NBA Finals Game 4 Responsible Gaming

Betting on a single NBA Finals game can add excitement to the action, but it’s important to approach wagering with a clear strategy and realistic expectations. Even the most well-researched picks can be impacted by factors such as foul trouble, injuries, coaching adjustments, or unexpected performances.

To help keep your betting experience responsible and enjoyable, consider the following guidelines:

  • Establish a betting budget before tip-off and stick to it regardless of the outcome
  • Avoid chasing losses by increasing wager sizes after an unsuccessful bet
  • Base your decisions on matchup analysis, team trends, and current form instead of emotions or fan loyalty
  • Remember that a single game can swing on a few possessions, making no outcome a certainty

If sports betting stops being enjoyable or begins creating problems in your life, consider stepping away and seeking support. Always wager responsibly and within your limits.

For confidential assistance and responsible gaming resources, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Final Verdict: Get Ready for the Spurs in Game 5

No matter what the outcome is in Game 4, I’m already gearing up to take the Spurs in Game 5. I just can’t see them losing three games in a row at home. I’d like this pick even more if the Spurs lose Game 4, since I don’t see this series ending in five games. These teams are too evenly matched for a short series like that.

To that end, ride with Under 216.5 in Game 4, but prepare yourself to take the Spurs on the spread once the lines are posted for Game 5. 

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.