NFL Packers Player Props: Loving Jordan Love’s New Weapon
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Scott Kacsmar
- July 15, 2025
Top NFL Pick: Tucker Kraft Over 4 Receiving Touchdowns (-115) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
The Green Bay Packers are looking to make the playoffs for the 3rd season in a row after going with Jordan Love as their new franchise quarterback. Last year’s campaign got off to a bad start with Love suffering an injury in the closing seconds of a loss to the Eagles in Brazil.
Little did we know the Packers would end their season with a loss to the Eagles as well as Love struggled in the playoffs. But it was a season-long problem for the Packers after they were also swept by the Lions and Vikings in the division. They were nearly even swept by the Chicago Bears, a team that expects to be better in 2025 with new coach Ben Johnson.
It’s a tough division, but coach Matt LaFleur is 67-33 (.670) through his first 100 games on the job in Green Bay. He has weapons and an improving defense, so it’s time for the Packers to take another leap forward in the Love era.
They also finally drafted a wide receiver in the 1st round for the first time since Javon Walker in 2002. With that in mind, let’s look at our favorite player props and team picks for the Packers in 2025 from the top sportsbooks.
NFC North Division Winner Odds
Jordan Love
- Over/Under 3700.5 Passing Yards
This year is a bit of a test for Jordan Love, who was fantastic in the 2nd half of the 2023 season before he signed his big extension. Last year, he injured his lower leg in Brazil in Week 1, and that led to another inconsistent start for him as well as 2 full games missed. That’s why he finished with 3,389 passing yards a year after he threw for 4,159 yards in a full 17 games.
The good news is Love improved his yards per attempt from 7.2 to 8.0, and he also cut his solid sack rate into an even lower number. The difference this year, beyond hopefully his health, is the wide receiver corps may never have been better for Love than it should be in 2025.
The Packers are a hard team to figure out where the receivers stand on the depth chart, but Love still has Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs, who are eying contracts either with the Packers or elsewhere. Chrisitan Watson was injured late last year and may not be ready early in the season.
But the big addition is the speedster Matthew Golden from Texas, the team’s 1st-round pick this year. He should fit right in, and when you consider Tucker Kraft coming along at tight end and Josh Jacobs in the backfield, the young Packers are gaining in talent and experience, hoping to put their best version of themselves out there this year after losing too many games to contenders in 2024.
LaFleur loves to throw the ball, so Love has real potential for a 4,000-yard passing season if he stays healthy. But his line is only 3700.5 yards, and he should finish above that. He would have did it again last year without the Week 1 injury.
NFL Pick: Jordan Love Over 3700.5 Passing Yards (+110) at Bovada
Josh Jacobs
- Over/Under 9.5 Rushing Touchdowns
The 2024 season was a great one for veteran running backs switching teams. Saquon Barkley (Eagles) and Derrick Henry (Ravens) were the big winners, but let’s not forget what Josh Jacobs did in Green Bay after coming over from the Raiders to replace the void left by Aaron Jones.
Jacobs finished with 1,329 rushing yards and 15 rushing touchdowns. The touchdowns were a career high, which isn’t that surprising in an offense that was the best Jacobs has ever played in with a better quarterback in Love.
If you’re worried about some touchdown regression, just consider that Jacobs has seasons with 12 touchdowns before on the ground (2020 and 2022). He had 301 carries last year and should be the work horse again in 2025 as the Packers didn’t really add a strong secondary option behind him.
Jacobs scored 15 of the team’s 23 rushing touchdowns, and we expect the Packers to be a better offense in 2025 than they were last year. The Packers are also not a “Tush Push” team at the goal line as Love only scored 1 rushing touchdown all year. Jacobs had 9 rushing touchdowns from inside the 2-yard line, so he can clean up on the “shorties” again this season.
We’ll take Jacobs to repeat his scoring success and finish with double-digit rushing touchdowns in 2025.
NFL Pick: Josh Jacobs Over 9.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-105) at Bovada
Where to Bet on the NFL
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55% Cash Bonus
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2001
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20% Cash Bonus
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$250 Free Bet
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2001
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$750 Cash Bonus
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1994
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$500 Cash Bonus
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$500 Cash Bonus
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1983
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Tucker Kraft
- Over/Under 4 Receiving Touchdowns
The Packers are so tough to figure out with their wide receiver depth chart that even the top-rated sportsbooks are currently shying away from offering betting lines on rookie Matthew Golden.
But that’s okay. The pick we prefer is for tight end Tucker Kraft to score over 4 touchdowns in his 3rd season. He went from scoring twice as a 2023 rookie to making 7 touchdown catches last year as the Packers are usually very solid at finding creative ways to get the ball to the tight end in the red zone. Think of the Robert Tonyan season in 2020, or the way they’d find Marcedes Lewis open for easy touchdowns over the years.
While the WR1 in Green Bay is very much up for grabs, Kraft is hands down their best tight end as a receiver. He had 50 catches last year and could just be scratching the surface of all he can do. Look for him to make at least a handful of touchdowns as the Packers try to match their division rivals with great tight ends like the Vikings (T.J. Hockenson), Lions (Sam LaPorta), and Bears (Cole Kmet and 1st-round pick Colston Loveland).
NFL Pick: Tucker Kraft Over 4 Receiving Touchdowns (-115) at BetOnline
2025 Packers Regular Season Wins – Over/Under 9.5 Wins
The 2025 Packers have a win total of 9.5 wins at Bovada with the following odds:
- Over 9.5 wins (-130)
- Under 9.5 wins (+100)
The NFC North is certainly one of the toughest divisions to predict this year after an incredible 2024 that saw the Packers, Vikings, and Lions all win at least 11 games, mostly lose to each other, and still none of those teams won a playoff game.
Throw in Sam Darnold getting replaced by quarterback J.J. McCarthy in Minnesota, the Bears getting a potentially great new coach in Ben Johnson, the Lions losing their center and both coordinators, and it feels like a division ripe for some huge turnarounds and whacky results.
In that sense, the Packers actually look like the most steady team as they’ve retained their core coaching staff and quarterback. But one hidden factor in the NFC North’s success was playing some of the lesser divisions like the AFC South and NFC West in 2024. This season, they’ll get the AFC North and NFC East instead.
Tougher Schedule, Tighter Margin
That should undoubtedly prove more difficult as you have the NFC finalists (Eagles and Commanders) and 3 playoff hopefuls who had winning records last year in the Ravens, Steelers (Aaron Rodgers Revenge Game), and Bengals. The Packers also have a December trip to Denver, a tough place to play.
But you kind of have to like the timing of these big games right off the bat as Green Bay will be home for the opener against Detroit and then host the Commanders on Thursday night in Week 2. They should be able to win at least one of those games or else 2025 might look like another long year where this team fails to beat the contenders.
With a tougher schedule for the NFC North, this feels like one of those moments where you’ll be saying after a trio of 11-win teams last year, no one won 11 games in the NFC North this season. This line for Green Bay of 9.5 wins could very well come down to the final game of the season in Minnesota where I think they can win that game as J.J. McCarthy’s inexperience is a major wild card factor to this NFL season.
Not my favorite pick of the bunch, but I would cautiously take the Packers to finish 10-7 and go over 9.5 wins this season.
NFL Pick: 2025 Packers Over 9.5 Wins (-130) at Bovada
2025 Packers – Back to the Playoffs Again?
Just with those yearly fluctuations in schedule difficulty and injuries, it’s very likely the NFC North doesn’t get 3 playoff teams again in 2025. The Vikings would be the logical pick for the odd team out, but the Lions still have a lot of talent, they’re getting Aidan Hutchinson back on defense, and they still have Dan Campbell as their head coach.
This isn’t a case where betting on the Packers to win the NFC North feels like a safe pick. But in terms of just making the playoffs, a 10-win Green Bay team should be a good value for that. If you concede the NFC East will get 2 teams (Washington or a Dallas rebound joining the Eagles), and the NFC South is probably going to get 1 team again, then it comes down to the North and West battling things out for the final wild cards.
However, the NFC West has the schedule advantage this year, so don’t be surprised if several of those teams outdo the NFC North teams if Christian McCaffrey (49ers) and Puka Nacua (Rams) stay healthy all year.
But if Love stays healthy, then the Packers are a good pick for the playoffs with one of the best coaches in LaFleur. That quarterback-coach stability gives them a solid shot at winning the division for the 1st time since 2021, but for now, we’ll stick with another playoff appearance.
NFL Pick: Green Bay Packers to Make the Playoffs (-130) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
