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Phoenix Open 2026: Picks & Betting Predictions

Brooks Koepka of the United States plays a shot on the 18th hole during the final round of the Farmers Insurance Open 2026.
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Last week was another profitable one at the Farmers Insurance Open, with a +800 winner on Sahith Theegala. This week, our professional golf bettor Craig Edwards (@EdwardsTips_) previews the WM Phoenix Open to bring readers his best bets. Let’s take a look!

The WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale

Another enthralling week in prospect at the WM Phoenix Open, especially with world no. 1 Scottie Scheffler playing his second event of the season after winning his opener in the Californian desert.

The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale: Course Facts

  • Par 71, 7261 yards
  • Designer: Tom Weiskopf

A purpose-built course set in the middle of the desert at elevation. The opening nine is relatively bland, but it’s one of the most exciting back nines with risk/reward holes aplenty, which brings the tournament to an exciting conclusion, oh, and the iconic rowdy 17th par 3 hole.

It’s also worth noting that the Phoenix Open has a strong history of repeat winners, with players such as Scottie Scheffler, Hideki Matsuyama, and Brooks Koepka all lifting the trophy multiple times. Any former champions can be worth a second glance in the betting market.

Can Jordan Spieth Finally Land the Phoenix?

Our featured multiple major champion this week is Jordan Spieth, who demonstrated encouraging form at the Sony Open in Hawaii as he commenced the new golfing year. In recent seasons, Spieth has coped with a persistent wrist injury that required surgery. His decision to take two weeks off afterward indicates that the three-time major winner may now be reducing his schedule, which has historically been more demanding than that of many top players.

Adopting a quality-over-quantity approach appears prudent for the thirty-two-year-old Texan, especially as he looks to sustain his career following an exceptional early trajectory. Notably, Spieth has consistently performed well at the Phoenix Open, regularly contending but never securing victory, though he has finished in the top 10 six times out of nine appearances.

Given the competitive odds for a top 10 finish relative to his outright win price at BetOnline, both a top 10 and an outright win bet on Jordan Spieth offer compelling value this week.

Golf Pick: Jordan Spieth to Win (+4000)

Golf Pick: Jordan Spieth to Finish Top 10 (+400)

Brooks Koepka a Strong Contender at the Phoenix Open

Brooks Koepka, a five-time major champion and one of this week’s headliners in Arizona, recently returned to the PGA Tour after opting out of LIV Golf and accepting the financial consequences imposed by the Tour. Last week at the Farmers Insurance Open, he was under intense media scrutiny but managed to rally in the second round and make the weekend cut. The extra competition over the final two rounds should have helped fine-tune his game ahead of the Phoenix Open, a tournament where he has historically excelled, winning twice.

There are several reasons to expect Koepka to perform well this week. After admitting he felt nervous at Torrey Pines, returning to the PGA Tour means a great deal to him. Many top players claim that nerves help sharpen their concentration and focus, and Koepka is no exception. Given his renowned “winner’s mentality” and proven record of accomplishment, it would be no surprise if he contends for the title in Phoenix.

Right now, Bovada has the best odds for Brooks Koepka to win and finish in the top 5.

Golf Pick: Brooks Koepka to Win (+4000)

Golf Pick: Brooks Koepka to Finish Top 5 (+800)

Your Phoenix Open Betting Gameplan

A quick recap of this week’s two selections for the Phoenix Open:

  • Jordan Spieth: Outright (+4000), Top 10 (+400) 
  • Brooks Koepka: Outright (+4000), Top 5 (+800) 

Securing the best odds is essential in golf wagering. Since odds can differ among sportsbooks, it is advisable to establish accounts with multiple trusted books. This approach allows for effective comparison shopping for prices on outright bets and place props, which can be the difference between an okay week and a profitable one.

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.

Betting Analysis