Week 8 saw a perfect 3-0, but last week ended with a 0-3 result, bringing the overall record to (11-1-15) and a total loss of -3.4 units.
We picked Patrick Mahomes to exceed mid-20s rushing yards, but he ended up under 5.
Our decision to oppose Drake Maye’s passing yards against the Atlanta Falcons appeared reasonable given the Falcons’ performance in the second half. However, Maye surpassed the projected total late in the game, with much of the damage occurring during the first half.
We expected multiple touchdowns from the Dallas Cowboys and backed George Pickens to score, but the only touchdown came from quarterback Dak Prescott.
As we look to place our NFL player props week 10, we’re applying lessons from last week and factoring in key variables such as weather, recent trades, and injury updates.
NFL Prop Bets Week 10 At-a-Glance
Our first NFL prop bet for Week 10 targets a young quarterback expected to struggle through tough conditions, while the second highlights how the Jets’ trade of Sauce Gardner to the Colts could impact the Browns’ passing attack.
Finally, we close with a value pick that capitalizes on the Washington Commanders’ growing injury list.
Let’s break down our top matchups and player angles for NFL Week 10, starting with Jaxson Dart in Chicago.
Giants’ Jaxson Dart (Under 220.5 Passing Yards (-110) at Heritage Sports)
New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears – November 9, 1:00 PM EST
Due to poor weather in the Windy City, quarterbacks’ passing yards will be limited this weekend.
Jaxson Dart has surpassed 220.5 passing yards only twice this season, and the twenty-two-year-old quarterback is currently the favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. His passing yards are lower than those of most quarterbacks because he is an exceptional runner, often making more than 15 rushing attempts per game. You can trust him to go over 220.5 passing yards for this game’s top player prop.
Browns’ Harold Fannin Jr. (Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at Bovada)
Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets, November 9, 1:00 PM EST
On Monday’s trade deadline day, the most notable move was New York Jets star cornerback Sauce Gardner joining the Indianapolis Colts. This change could present an opportunity to place a player props bet this weekend on the Cleveland Browns’ wide receivers or tight ends.
You have several choices, but Harold Fannin Jr. is highly likely to benefit this weekend, and with the opening line set as low as 26.5, anyone who took that before yesterday’s news about Gardner is in an excellent position.
Harold Fannin’s current receiving yards line is a little higher at 32.5 with Bovada.
Lions’ Amon-Ra St. Brown (Anytime Touchdown (-105) at BetOnline)
Detroit Lions vs. Washington Commanders – November 9, 4:25 PM EST
This week’s anytime touchdown scorer bet is Amon-Ra St. Brown, who missed several good chances to score last week. This week, he is committed to rectifying previous mistakes and will approach the upcoming game with determination.
The Washington Commanders, currently coping with significant injuries, including disruptions in their defensive line and the loss of their star quarterback, Jayden Daniels, who is out for the season, present a key opportunity.
This bodes well for quarterback Jared Goff, who will have time to throw and target his top receiver. BetOnline’s line for Amon-Ra St. Brown to increase his current total of seven touchdowns for the Detroit Lions this season is the perfect player prop here.
Week 10 Player Props: Key Takeaways
The primary insights from this week indicate that the NFL has entered the second half of the season, a period when weather forecasts may play a more significant role in game outcomes. Additionally, this week required consideration of Tuesday’s trade deadline.
We opposed Jaxson Dart and used Tuesday’s trade deadline to secure the Harold Fannin Jr. pick. Amon Ra St. Brown benefits from Washington’s increasing injuries.
Make sure you have an active account at a top sportsbook while reviewing injury updates, weather forecasts, and line changes before betting. And explore our NFL Player Props page for more value picks.
Place Your Bets at The Best Offshore Sportsbooks
Always shop around for the best prices on NFL odds using trusted offshore sportsbooks like Bovada, BetOnline, and Heritage Sports. Getting the best line can be the difference between a win and a loss for this week’s NFL player props.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
