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MLB Props Today: Oct. 7

Daulton Varsho #5 of the Toronto Blue Jays runs the bases after a two run home run during the fourth inning in game two of the American League Division Series against the New York Yankees
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We’ve got two Game 3 matchups on the horizon in the American League. The Seattle Mariners will take on the Detroit Tigers at 4:08 pm ET. Whoever wins that game will take the lead heading into Game 4.

After that one, the Toronto Blue Jays will battle the New York Yankees in Game 3. Toronto has destroyed the Yankees so far in this series, but New York is back home and can make this a series again with a win tonight.

Below, I’ll suggest a few MLB props today. Let’s have a day!

MLB Best Props Today

Ultimately, in this article, we’re only examining player props from hitters. Of course, there are some very good pitchers on the mound. However, I’ve still found some value with the help of the last 30-day analytics.

With two plus-money bets, we’ve got a chance to do some real damage tonight!

Overall Record: 2-1

Bet On The ALDS Today!

While there are four games on the slate tomorrow, there are still just two today. Take advantage of the small two-game ALDS slate with three total base props.

You can place these bets at most sportsbooks. When you do, make sure to take advantage of the promotional and bonus offers that these sportsbooks provide. It’ll only help you in the long run!

Now, let’s get to the MLB props today.

Riley Greene Over 1.5 Total Bases (+113) at Bovada

Over the last 30 days, Riley Greene has been the most powerful hitter on the Tigers. The left-hander slugger has launched a .217 ISO and wOBA of .333 with 76.2% of hard contact and an 11.9% barrel percentage.

Today, he’ll face Logan Gilbert, who has struggled slightly against lefties in that same time period.

As a matter of fact, Gilbert has allowed a .257 ISO with 53.8% of fly balls to his last 37 lefties. Greene has the potential to strike out multiple times. But the moment he connects, it could be for extra bases.

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) at Bovada

Aaron Judge has an exciting matchup tonight.

He’s in line to face Shane Bieber of the Toronto Blue Jays. Ultimately, Bieber has allowed a .366 ISO and wOBA of .446 to his last 44 righties as a right-handed batter.

Meanwhile, Judge has smoked a .385 ISO and wOBA of .549 with only 16.2% of strikeouts against righties throughout the last 30 days. He’s also earned a team-best 21.4% barrel percentage and has a BABIP of .417.

That means he’s earning a base hit in nearly 42% of balls off his bat against righties.

Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Total Bases (+165) at Bovada

He’s faced 19 lefties over the last 30 days. However, Daulton Varsho has nailed a .444 ISO and wOBA of .625 against those 19 lefties. He’s also struck out just 10.5% of the time against lefties.

Varsho has added more than 31% of fly balls and has a .500 BABIP against lefties over the last 19 at-bats.

Tonight, he’s in line to face Carlos Rodon, who is also a lefty. He’s struck out 20% of lefties over the last 25 lefties faced. He’s also given up a .342 wOBA and has allowed over 62% of hard contact.

There’s reason to believe Varsho can deliver two base hits or one extra-base hit tonight.

Tips for MLB Props

  • Shop for the best odds and lines at the most trustworthy sportsbooks.
  • Manage your bankroll accordingly when placing MLB bets. It’s advised to place the same wager on each MLB pick.
  • Shop around for the best odds and lines available; you don’t want to miss out on a winner because you settled for a line that you weren’t entirely happy with when you could have gotten better elsewhere.
  • Never chase losses; there’s always tomorrow.

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.