The FIFA World Cup is back in session. The 2026 edition is the biggest yet: three host countries, 48 teams, and a record 104 matches. Truly, there’s never been a better time to be a soccer fan.
Before the tournament begins on June 11, we’re setting out to take a closer look at some of the most prominent teams in the field. As one of the three host countries, Mexico is worth an extended preview.
Below, we’ll cover the latest odds for El Tri, find out which offshore sportsbooks are the best for betting the FIFA World Cup, and break down Mexico’s path to the final with a schedule and predictions.
Current Mexico 2026 World Cup Odds
World Cup odds are provided by BetOnline and are current as of writing.
Odds to Win the 2026 World Cup
Despite its status as a host nation, Mexico is not expected to be among the biggest players in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. El Tri is +8000 to win the tournament, tying the United States and Uruguay for the 13th-longest odds.
Mexico has an implied probability of roughly 1.25 percent to win the FIFA World Cup. That tracks, too. El Tri ranks 15th in the world, but there are 48 teams in the tournament, and only the strongest will survive. Mexico might benefit from a favorable early schedule, but the knockout stage won’t treat this team kindly.
Mexico Group Stage Odds
The group stage is where the value exists for betting on Mexico. El Tri is +105 to win Group A outright and -970 to qualify from the group stage.
In addition to being the highest-ranked team in Group A, Mexico will play its first three matches in front of a home crowd. El Tri’s opening games take place in Mexico City and Zapopan.
I wouldn’t worry about Mexico losing the group. This squad’s recent form is strong, and just about every other factor is going in their favor. Mexico feels like a lock at +105.
Top Mexico Prop Bets
There aren’t any player props worth betting for Mexico – it has three players on the list for top goalscorer, but they’re all listed at +10000 – but there are some interesting team props worth a look.
Above all, I like El Tri to score over 7.5 goals at -130. Mexico isn’t likely to reach this mark in the group stage alone, but one or two matches in the knockout stage should get the squad over the hump. Expect to see this team play with extra tenacity and energy in front of a raucous home crowd.
Think Mexico can be one of the last few teams standing? El Tri is +350 to reach the quarterfinals and +1000 to go to the semifinals. It just depends on how much of a boost you believe this squad will get from playing on home soil.
Where to Bet on Mexico in the World Cup
It’s never too early to lock in your FIFA World Cup bets. Use our recommended offshore sportsbooks to get the most value out of every wager.
Top Rated Sportsbooks for Mexico Bettors
BetOnline is one of the biggest names in the offshore sports betting industry, and for good reason. Boasting favorable odds and a slew of sports-specific bonuses, this is a reliable, one-stop shop that suits bettors of all backgrounds.
One of the longest-running offshore sportsbooks is Bovada. Operating since 1994, this betting site serves millions of U.S. customers and remains one of the top choices thanks to its valuable crypto promotions and competitive betting markets.
Bettors looking for a discount should try Heritage Sports, which is one of the best reduced juice sportsbooks on the market. Bet -108 lines instead of the usual -110 on tons of popular markets and take advantage of their terrific live betting service.
How to Claim Your World Cup Betting Bonus
Ready to start betting? Follow our step-by-step guide to claiming your World Cup bonus:
- View our list of the best offshore sportsbooks.
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- Tap “Join” on the sportsbook’s landing page.
- Enter your necessary personal details and create your account.
- Hit “Deposit Now” on the bonus you want to claim.
- Make your first deposit.
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Mexico Betting Predictions and Analysis
Let’s set some expectations and get a better understanding of what Mexico brings to the table this time around.
Team Strengths and Weaknesses
Strengths: Mexico has a strong midfield, allowing it to excel in transition and overall coverage. It also boasts a pair of legitimate stars in Raúl Jiménez and Santiago Giménez, both of whom play professionally in Europe. And here’s another obligatory mention of Mexico’s unbeatable home-field advantage.
Weaknesses: El Tri has an aging core, which could honestly fall under both categories. Their collective experience means they should have an easier time adapting to different opponents and handling adversity, but fatigue also becomes a more pressing issue once players get into their 30s. Mexico also floundered last time it took part in the World Cup, failing to make it out of the group stage in 2022.
Key Players to Watch
Both were mentioned above, but this is a great time to draw further attention to Raúl Jiménez and Santiago Giménez.
Jiménez, 35, is a prolific striker who’s developed a reputation for being a clutch scorer with an efficient penalty conversion rate. American fans will remember his goal against the United States in the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup final, which Mexico won 2-1. Jiménez also scored both of Mexico’s goals in the final of the CONCACAF Nations League.
Giménez, 25, is another talented striker. He’s scored six goals in 46 appearances for El Tri since 2021, including two over 14 matches in 2025. An intelligent player who always seems to be in the right place at the right time, Giménez is someone who should be seen as a riser when the stakes are highest.
The Path to the Final: Mexico Schedule and Matchups
How can Mexico reach the final? Let’s take a closer look at El Tri’s schedule and first few matchups.
Qualifying Campaign Form
Mexico didn’t need to take part in the qualifiers since it automatically made it in as one of the three host countries (along with Canada and the United States).
El Tri has participated in a number of international friendlies, however, and the results are solid:
- Jan. 22: Panama 0-1 Mexico
- Jan. 25: Bolivia 0-1 Mexico
- Feb. 25: Mexico 4-0 Iceland
- March 28: Mexico 0-0 Portugal
- March 31: Mexico 1-1 Belgium
Mexico has three more exhibitions before the World Cup begins: May 22 vs. Ghana, May 30 vs. Australia, and June 4 vs. Serbia.
Group Stage Matchups and Schedule
Mexico has arguably the most favorable group stage schedule of every team participating in the FIFA World Cup. All three matches take place at either Estadio Azteca in Mexico City or Estadio Akron in Zapopan:
- Thursday, June 11 at 3 p.m. ET: Mexico vs. South Africa at Estadio Azteca.
- Thursday, June 18 at 9 p.m. ET: Mexico vs. South Korea at Estadio Akron.
- Wednesday, June 24 at 9 p.m. ET: Czechia vs. Mexico at Estadio Azteca.
Mexico is a sizable favorite to win Group A outright, and it should come as no surprise that the team is a -190 favorite to defeat South Africa in the opener. El Tri should also be favored over South Korea, and their matchup with Czechia will be projected to be fairly tight.
Historical World Cup Betting Trends for Mexico
Which betting trends are worth following ahead of the FIFA World Cup? We can paint a picture of Mexico based on past performances.
Past Tournament Performance
What does Mexico’s past tell us about its future? Here are El Tri’s most recent FIFA World Cup results:
- 2022, Qatar: Eliminated in the group stage.
- 2018, Russia: Eliminated in the Round of 16 by Brazil, 2-0.
- 2014, Brazil: Eliminated in the Round of 16 by Netherlands, 2-1.
- 2010, South Africa: Eliminated in the Round of 16 by Argentina, 3-1.
Mexico has never won the FIFA World Cup, and its last four attempts are generally reflective of its overall success. After failing to get out of the group stage in 2022, El Tri should have what it takes to at least reach the Round of 32 in an expanded tournament this time around.
ATS and Totals Trends
Mexico’s performance in 2022 was underwhelming, to say the least. After beating Saudi Arabia 2-1 in its opener, the team fell 2-0 to Argentina and settled into a 0-0 draw against Poland – the final straw that kept it from advancing to the knockout stage.
Unders were 2-1 for Mexico, and it struggled against the spread. This time around, I like betting the over and backing Mexico against the spread in the group stage. Not only is this team seeking redemption, but it’ll have a world of support behind it throughout the tournament.
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Mexico World Cup Betting FAQ
Still looking for more? Check out some of these World Cup FAQs.
What are the odds for Mexico to win the World Cup?
Mexico is +8000 to win the FIFA World Cup, per BetOnline. That’s an implied probability of 1.23 percent. Oddsmakers believe Mexico has a strong chance to qualify from the group stage, but things get less certain once this squad reaches the knockout stage.
Who is the best player to bet on for Mexico?
Raúl Jiménez is the best player for Mexico. The 35-year-old striker also plays for Fulham of the English Premier League, which is a testament to his talent. He’s scored 44 goals over 123 appearances for the Mexico national team.
Can I bet on Mexico using cryptocurrency?
Yes, you can bet on Mexico in the FIFA World Cup using cryptocurrency by betting at offshore sportsbooks. There are dozens of safe options available, including BetOnline, Bovada, and Heritage Sports. Many offshore sportsbooks offer more lucrative bonuses when you pay using cryptocurrency.
Is it safe to bet on the World Cup at offshore sportsbooks?
Yes, it’s safe to bet on the World Cup at offshore betting sites – as long as you’re using a reputable, well-established platform. Bookmakers Review has comprehensive reviews available for all of the best options on the market.