UFC Vegas 53 Prop Betting Picks: The Perfect Proposition

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Editor’s Note: The Taira vs. Candelario bout was scratched just a couple of hours before due to illness with Candelario. The fight has been moved to May 14th as part of the main card, according to the UFC.

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Las Vegas for a highly stacked Fight Night event this Saturday night.

The UFC odds are now available for us to delve into some perfect prop betting picks for UFC Vegas 53 – headlined by a bantamweight contenders’ bout between Rob Font and Marlon Vera.

Tatsuro Taira vs. Carlos Candelario

UFC Flyweight Preliminary Card Bout

Saturday, April 30, 2022 – 09:05 PM EDT at UFC Apex

Taira vs. Candelario Betting Preview

22-year-old undefeated Japanese prospect Tatsuro Taira (10-0-0) will make his highly-anticipated UFC debut on Saturday evening, and the expectations of Taira have heavily positioned the youngster as a significant betting favorite on the moneyline.

Fellow debutant Carlos Candelario (8-1-0) won't act as a steppingstone for Taira, and he'll be attempting to make his name when making his first-ever UFC appearance.

Taira vs. Candelario Fight Breakdown

At such a tender age of 22, it's hard to believe how impressive Taira can perform inside the octagon. A professional record of 10-0 is outstanding, but when you combine his amateur tenure that only began in 2018, he's a 19-0 mixed martial artist.

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Taira is so technical for his age, and although he can undoubtedly handle himself when striking, once the Japanese kid hits the ground, he's so damn slick with it.

There's a reason why Taira's ten professional bouts have seen the judge's scorecards on just one occasion. Because Candelario additionally likes to grapple, I can envision another first or second-round finish playing out in this contest.

UFC Vegas 53 Odds Analysis

The available odds at BMR's top sportsbooks favor Taira, and rightfully so, he's the No.1 ranked flyweight fighting out of Japan and potentially the future of the UFC's 125lb division.

As most bettors don't enjoy wagering on odds at -200 and above, I believe we can bank on the strength of Taira finishing this fight before the judges can intervene.

UFC Vegas 53 Prop Pick: Under 2 ½ rounds (-113) [1.13u returns 1.20u profit] at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)


Gerald Meerschaert vs. Krzysztof Jotko

UFC Middleweight Main Card Bout

Saturday, April 30, 2022 - 09:05 PM EDT at UFC Apex

Meerschaert vs. Jotko Betting Preview

We must start to question whether Gerald "GM3" Meerschaert (34-14-0) practices anything else inside the gym besides his jiu-jitsu offense. In the nine successful UFC bouts he's won, 8 of those have been obtained via a submission finish, and he's currently riding a 3-fight win streak all by way of submission.

More Picks: UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera First Look, Betting Picks, Odds and Predictions

Krzysztof Jotko (23-5-0) won't be too fearful of GM3's jiu-jitsu ability as the Polish native has yet to be submitted throughout twenty-eight professional MMA bouts.

Having overcome the grappling prowess of Mischa Cirkunov, Marc-Andre Barriault, and Alen Amedovski in recent years, Jotko will be confident in overcoming his opponent's takedown attempts this weekend.

Meerschaert vs. Jotko Fight Breakdown

The dangers of fading Meerschaert and his BJJ dominance are never easy. Still, as previously mentioned, Jotko can handle himself in the grappling area, especially when training out of American Top Team.

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I envision this bout playing out on the feet a lot more than critics anticipate, and once Meerschaert accepts the stand-up battle, he's most likely going to lose on the scorecards due to the technical aspects of Jotko's skillset leading the dance.

UFC Vegas 53 Odds Analysis

The available odds are close to even money as they remain hesitant over the sneakiness of GM3.

With that said, I'm not interested in the moneyline for my UFC pick in this fight as I do expect this contest to deliver a technical struggle for Meerschaert where he attempts to find the submission but won't get close enough for a finish.

UFC Vegas 53 Prop Pick: Over 2 ½ rounds (-125) [1.25u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline

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Over 2 ½ rounds (-125)
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UFC Vegas 53 Main Card

Rob Font vs. Marlon Vera [UFC Bantamweight main event bout]

Jake Collier vs. Andrei Arlovski [UFC Heavyweight co-main event bout]

Andre Fili vs. Joanderson Brito [UFC Featherweight bout]

Jared Gordon vs. Grant Dawson [UFC Lightweight bout]

Darren Elkins vs. Triston Connelly [UFC Featherweight bout]

Gerald Meerschaert vs. Krzysztof Jotko [UFC Middleweight bout]

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.