KVB - What Were The True Odds Of The Tim Tebow 3:16 Game?

[Wagerallsports]

A lot of people have never even heard of this story

But even those who have, don’t know the full details

I have read that the odds of it happening is 1 in 5 billion

But I think it has to be more than that

I believe they figured all of the odds in each of those statistical categories combined

However, I think the odds of all of that happening to ANY ONE person is much lower than it happening to the EXACT person who wore the 3:16 under his exactly eyes three years before



@KVB

 

[vegas]

the odds that a QB has a number of passing yard and yards per completion, and a TV broadcast has a peak rating is like 100%. The chance it is exactly 316, 31.6, and 31.6 is very close to the chance it is 136, 5.2, and 28.4, like what happened the following week.

 

[drunkenhorseplayer]

The only outlier among those four numbers is the 31.6 yds/attempt, probably one in a few million.

 

[vegas]

The only outlier among those four numbers is the 31.6 yds/attempt, probably one in a few million.

Would you risk $1 million to earn $1 that Ty Simpson doesn't average 31.6 yards per attempt in his NFL debut? (assuming we can use non-rounded numbers and three significant figures)

 

[KVB]

The only outlier among those four numbers is the 31.6 yds/attempt, probably one in a few million.

I disagree.

The outlier is the TV rating.

All of the rest of it can be scripted, right down to the yardage and time of possession. Shit, they do that every week anyway.

I'm guessing the TV rating is a fudged number, and maybe other numbers have been fudge as well.

 

[BigJay]

I disagree.

The outlier is the TV rating.

All of the rest of it can be scripted, right down to the yardage and time of possession. Shit, they do that every week anyway.

I'm guessing the TV rating is a fudged number, and maybe other numbers have been fudge as well.

 

[BMR Genie]

Wow! Amazing story!

 

[Wagerallsports]

I disagree.

The outlier is the TV rating.

All of the rest of it can be scripted, right down to the yardage and time of possession. Shit, they do that every week anyway.

I'm guessing the TV rating is a fudged number, and maybe other numbers have been fudge as well.

Yeah I thought same thing

But apparently there are ppl who have tried to debunk it by watching the entire game & plays multiple times & say the numbers are accurate

Honestly no matter what happens I don’t think we’ll ever believe

If ‘he’ appeared in the sky for all to see & spoke to the world we’d all swear it was some type of holographic trick lol

I’m just curious what overall odds are all things combined with figuring this specific person who wore it into the numbers

 

[KVB]

If ‘he’ appeared in the sky for all to see & spoke to the world we’d all swear it was some type of holographic trick lol

So true, or the antichrist.

Bottom line, you don't have to look very far to see God all around us...from the intricate beauty of nature to our human interactions.

When I'm on fire, spiritually, that's all I see. But being on true fire spiritually doesn't always happen, I suppose it would if I sought it out even more.

But I've been there, and know what it's like.

 

[drunkenhorseplayer]

Would you risk $1 million to earn $1 that Ty Simpson doesn't average 31.6 yards per attempt in his NFL debut? (assuming we can use non-rounded numbers and three significant figures)

I wouldn't risk $1 million to win $1 on the sun rising tomorrow. That said, I was talking about the odds of all four numbers lining up, not just the YPA.

 

[drunkenhorseplayer]

I disagree.

The outlier is the TV rating.

All of the rest of it can be scripted, right down to the yardage and time of possession. Shit, they do that every week anyway.

I'm guessing the TV rating is a fudged number, and maybe other numbers have been fudge as well.

You seriously think the NFL scripts games, especially that one? Even if you do, keep in mind that Tebow is big time religious and the NFL is big time liberal.