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Divisional Round lines seem a little funky overall

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

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Texans/Chiefs -- probably the best line of the bunch. I pegged it right at about 9, and you see it hover 8-9 points. I think value on KC if you got 7.5

Commanders/Lions -- Even at full strength, Detroit defense is deceptively bad against run. Line should probably be more like 7

Rams/Eagles -- Could be factoring weather/previous matchup I guess. But getting 6 to 6.5 seems like a lot. Should be more like 4

Ravens/Bills -- This one has been mostly corrected, but opened at BUF -2, which was way off. Moving towards Pk or BAL -1. Ravens should be favored here
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

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Nothing way out there, but the NFC games seem a few points off and probably some value in AFC games as well
 

KVB

KVB

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Commanders/Lions -- Even at full strength, Detroit defense is deceptively bad against run. Line should probably be more like 7

Line opened onshore at 7.5 some houses picked it up at 8.5 and while it bounced around around 9, there are definitely early buyers at 10.

I am one of them, for the right early price.

Perhaps the unexpected event of a Goff interception helps out as Goff to throw a pick is set up in the prop market. Wash doesn't get many int's, and Goff hasn't been throwing them. So you know how that goes.

55.5 a pretty high line too. Too high. UNDER a decent mathematical play at that level. Maybe that's what gets busted in like an OT game or something.

But WASH looks attractive, I must admit. And Detroit has a history of disappointment, lol.
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

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Line opened onshore at 7.5 some houses picked it up at 8.5 and while it bounced around around 9, there are definitely early buyers at 10.

I am one of them, for the right early price.

Perhaps the unexpected event of a Goff interception helps out as Goff to throw a pick is set up in the prop market. Wash doesn't get many int's, and Goff hasn't been throwing them. So you know how that goes.

55.5 a pretty high line too. Too high. UNDER a decent mathematical play at that level. Maybe that's what gets busted in like an OT game or something.

But WASH looks attractive, I must admit. And Detroit has a history of disappointment, lol.
Skins look very attractive
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

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Jun 16, 2016
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Texans/Chiefs -- probably the best line of the bunch. I pegged it right at about 9, and you see it hover 8-9 points. I think value on KC if you got 7.5

Commanders/Lions -- Even at full strength, Detroit defense is deceptively bad against run. Line should probably be more like 7

Rams/Eagles -- Could be factoring weather/previous matchup I guess. But getting 6 to 6.5 seems like a lot. Should be more like 4

Ravens/Bills -- This one has been mostly corrected, but opened at BUF -2, which was way off. Moving towards Pk or BAL -1. Ravens should be favored here
Lions will keep another way to keep the game close.
 

KVB

KVB

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I’m eating up Washington +10 wherever I can find it.

If I get got, I get got.

1736969262774.gif
 

Archie

Archie

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watching market closely
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

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This seems like a good weekend to tease some of these numbers. I especially like teasing Washington pass 14 and teasing the Chiefs below 3.
Good teaser week

Could cross 0 for Balty even
 
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KVB

KVB

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Line opened onshore at 7.5 some houses picked it up at 8.5 and while it bounced around around 9, there are definitely early buyers at 10.

I am one of them, for the right early price.

Perhaps the unexpected event of a Goff interception helps out as Goff to throw a pick is set up in the prop market. Wash doesn't get many int's, and Goff hasn't been throwing them. So you know how that goes.

55.5 a pretty high line too. Too high. UNDER a decent mathematical play at that level. Maybe that's what gets busted in like an OT game or something.

But WASH looks attractive, I must admit. And Detroit has a history of disappointment, lol.

This post aged well.

Goff threw a pick 6 and they might hit the OVER in the first half.
 
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