I agree with the play AC.
So lets plan forward from there.... Assume TB wins tonight to tie the series at 2-2. As you mentioned, you feel TB will go on to win the series. I agree with that too.
If someone believes TB will win tonight and subsequently win the series, they should consider a TB series bet of +120 before the win tonight. I'm thinking TB will move to a series favorite when they win tonight.
Just something for people to consider.