JJGOLD Kalshi Is The Exchange We've Been Waiting For!!!!

[KVB]

Seattle +10.5 @ .64 cents

Closed this for .65 cents @ a 1.56% pofit.

Limit order on both ends of this transaction.

I did not want to be holding at the start of the 3rd so out before halftime.

 

[jjgold]

You look like you’re finding your form again

 

[KVB]

You look like you’re finding your form again

I'm right on the border of playing tight and playing scared.

 

[KVB]

You look like you’re finding your form again

I want to do some scalping here but there really is low liquidity.

Seattle +10.5 at .37 cents is awfully temtping, but probably won't fill until 40 cents.

I think it's prudent to sit out here.

 

[KVB]

Seattle +10.5 in the low to mid 30s seems like a good gamble here in the 4th.

I will show restraint and pass, there will be other opportunity another day.

 

[KVB]

I want to do some scalping here but there really is low liquidity.

Seattle +10.5 at .37 cents is awfully temtping, but probably won't fill until 40 cents.

I think it's prudent to sit out here.

Seattle +10.5 in the low to mid 30s seems like a good gamble here in the 4th.

I will show restraint and pass, there will be other opportunity another day.

Welp this is now in the 60s.

Probably goes to 1.00 but even if it doesn't, that 4th quarter scalp was there.

 

[jjgold]

I fell asleep with a hard cock. That’s very hard to do actually.

 

[KVB]

I fell asleep with a hard cock. That’s very hard to do actually.

Seattle +10.5 ended up going to 1.00

 

[KVB]

Connecticut has their full roster, would be a decent upset over Indiana.

Keeping and eye on the Conn ML but the trading plan today may revolve around the next game, a sure to be higher volume game with Minn and Las Vegas.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Connecticut ML @ .26 cents

 

[KVB]

Connecticut ML @ .26 cents

This ran a little, but didn't quite get where I wanted to scalp out.

Now it's under water.

 

[KVB]

Connecticut ML @ .26 cents

Sold 1/2 of this position for .16 @ a -38.46% loss

Trimming exposure on a potentially bad trade here.

 

[KVB]

Picked up Connecticut +10.5 @ .47 cents.

This is 1/2 position.

 

[KVB]

Connecticut +10.5 @ .47 cents

Got a move right away on this, this time a potential sell.

Not going to quibble too much over commission but at teh end of 1, I could go to market at .58 cents for morew than 23%

Would much rather hit that at a limit order when scalping these amount, especially in the teens. Can probably clear 20% with fees, and that's not bad.

The Lab says it's going to 1.00, of course and want me to hold like a sport book bet.

 

[KVB]

Connecticut ML @ .26 cents

Sold 1/2 of this position for .16 @ a -38.46% loss

Picked up Connecticut +10.5 @ .47 cents.

This is 1/2 position.

Current positions.

I have 1/2 of each position ml and spread position.

Dealing with 1/2s here because the Lab thinks these will be close late in the game and I'm already in them.

Really don't want to hold these like sport book bets, but there's a good chance the value can go up here.

 

[KVB]

Point is that there's two types of dangerous FOMO here:

1 is that I don't have full positions and they are rising rapidly, I feel I should own more.

2 is that if I sell I leave money on the table.

Both are dangerous and both require sticking to the plan and trading with discipline. Easy to forget the plan when thingare flashing green in front of you.

 

[KVB]

Connecticut ML @ .26 cents

Sold 1/2 of this position for .16 @ a -38.46% loss

Picked up Connecticut +10.5 @ .47 cents.

This is 1/2 position.

Man the number 1 condition is getting me, lol.

1 is that I don't have full positions and they are rising rapidly, I feel I should own more.

Could have cleared nearly 50% on the spread but as it stands, I only clear 1/2 of that.

Getting shaken out of 1/2 the ML is also a pisser as that is back to the original price.

For now, we hold and hope Inidana doesn't make a run to end the 2nd quarter.

Of course, the Lab thinks both positions could go to 1.00 and that these probabilites are good ones, well the ML probability not so great, it should have been lower 20s..

 

[KVB]

Connecticut +10.5 @ .47 cents.
This is 1/2 position

Closed this position for .47 cents @ 0.00%

 

[KVB]

Connecticut ML @ .26 cents

Sold 1/2 of this position for .16 @ a -38.46% loss

Sold the other 1/2 for .10 cents @ a -61.54% loss

Closed this position for an avg of .13 cents @ a -72.34% loss.

 

[KVB]

Shaken out of everything

I may rebuy in the 2nd half if down and distance seem right.

For now, I'm going to eat a lemon pepper chicken thigh.