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[KVB]

Lab also has ideas for the Big East game as well.

But they know to be wary about this final weekend. They know better than to tempt the Trader with too much.

These are dangerous waters.

 

[KVB]

Man, I just missed a trade.

Tried to get VCU/Dayton UNDER 149.5 in the 40s.

It popped to mid 50s before I could fill.Now it's timeout and I think out of that range.

Shit, but at least I saw it.

 

[KVB]

Picked up VCU/Dayton UNDER 146.5 @ .55 cents

 

[KVB]

VCU/Dayton UNDER 146.5 @ .55 cents

This is a rare play outside of of the major conferences and I am not pleased with the price I got in.

There was some mother fukkin slippage there...

 

[KVB]

WV out 22-10 on UCF, that is one comeback I am not buying.

In fact, going long WV was one of the trade ideas.

So I'm out of that one.

 

[KVB]

Man, I just missed a trade.

Tried to get VCU/Dayton UNDER 149.5 in the 40s.

This fukkin shit costs .68 cents now.

Fawk.

 

[KVB]

VCU/Dayton UNDER 146.5 @ .55 cents

Starting to smell like ass in Dayton, but I have to say there is a decent probablity of OT there.

So not sure I should hold this position.

 

[KVB]

VCU/Dayton UNDER 146.5 @ .55 cents

I have closed this position for .85 cents @ a 54.55% profit.

I'm out of this shit at this timeout.

Can't risk OT here, even if the Lab had the right call after all.

 

[jjgold]

KVB how much do you look at order book?

 

[KVB]

KVB how much do you look at order book?

It's up under the position a lot, but usually when I'm really trying to get in a trade.

It can be one of the last things I really focus on even if I'm peeking at it while going through the motions and calculations.

 

[KVB]

That UNDER is looking pretty good.

Game closed about 145.5.

I was trying to get in when the LIVE total was 154.5.

Now it's 134.5.

Would have been one helluva trade if I had gotten in when I was trying to.

OT too much of risk, regardless of probablilites. had to get out. Remermber, there is a lot of pressure to succeed here and failure is abosulutely NOT an option.

No worries, I'm cooler than the other side of the pillow.

 

[KVB]

MIA (OH) down to -3.5

Can't you just feel the market pressure mounting on the 30-0 team?

Ohio is 15-15 on the year.

Crazy.

 

[KVB]

The Lab (me) has just sent the Trading Desk a very disturbing piece of information which will now cause the Trader (me) to potentially look to buy ohio and find a way to take profit out of this game, perhaps before it starts.

Some of the pressure here seems to have been alleviated and we will move forward with only the MIA (OH) undefeated regular season future.

Bought at .61, it currently trades 69 x 65

 

[KVB]

KVB how much do you look at order book?

I have it set like this, two columns.

You can click on the prices to set up orders.

 

[KVB]

Today I went 1-0 for a 1.08 unit gain. I have made 9 trades this week, and have won on every won of them for three consecutive winning days.

This is from Wednesday's summary and yesterday was a No Trade Day.

Today's earlier trade marks 10 in a row.

Am I gambling? Do I have an edge?

Clearly we need more trades to answer any of that. But I can't wait to see what lies ahead.

Hopefully I jump over the shark, Fonzi style...

 

[KVB]

Since last night, the Lab has been asking me to look into shorting Michigan to win it all.

At the time, the Trading desk was closed, or at least on it's night break. But I begrudgingly logged back in and saw the NO at .81 cents. That's basically a short at .18 cents.

Naturally I don't like the cost, and would like to delay tying up funds, but we'll put it on the to do list.

Lab called, asked about that status, and it turns out it's gone back and forth but pretty much sits on .82 cents now.

The .19 short is already .18.

Damn that lab is good.

 

[KVB]

I knew this would happen and I was going to mention it with the off conference game Total earlier.

In a close game, the MIA (OH) futures are .63 x .36

A stupid ass spread caused by lack of liquidity. I do a good job of identifying ahead of time, but don't always make moves to avoid it.

Note to self.

Perhaps, in the self imposed review, I should be looking at avoiding or mitigating or otherwise hedging or trading around, out of, or through these types of positions.

An action plan on how this will happen should be investigated and written up.

 

[KVB]

Am I gambling? Do I have an edge?

Clearly we need more trades to answer any of that. But I can't wait to see what lies ahead.

By the way, I just meant to answer that in this thread.

I've been doing this with immediate and consistent success since December 31st.

 

[KVB]

Some of the pressure here seems to have been alleviated and we will move forward with only the MIA (OH) undefeated regular season future.

Bought at .61, it currently trades 69 x 65

Currently sitting at .86 x .83 and Ohio sucks so it should be good, right?

Right?

Riiiight?

Riiiiiiiiiiiiight?


Mia OH ain't exactly a top tier team either, it seems.

 

[KVB]

WV out 22-10 on UCF, that is one comeback I am not buying.

In fact, going long WV was one of the trade ideas.

So I'm out of that one.

Boy, even if the Trading desk misses things, have to admit the Lab sends over good shit.

Which is a little weird because last time I looked in, I saw this...