WNBA Pick: A’ja Wilson MVP (+225) at Bovada
Caitlin Clark is the most popular player in the WNBA. But is she their Most Valuable Player for 2025? The betting public sure seems to think so; Clark is pulling in roughly two-thirds of this year’s MVP betting handle, enough to make her the +175 favorite on the WNBA odds board at Bovada as we go to press.
Meanwhile, reigning MVP A’ja Wilson has slipped into second place at +225 despite her dominant 2024 campaign. And there are two compelling value picks out there in Napheesa Collier (+350) and Breanna Stewart (+750). We’re making Wilson our official WNBA pick here at the home office, but you might want to go ahead and bet on all three as a package, tweaking your bet size for each player to lock in your non-Clark return.
WNBA Regular Season MVP Odds
| Player | Odds at Bovada |
|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark (IND) | +175 |
| A’ja Wilson (LVA) | +225 |
| Napheesa Collier (MIN) | +350 |
| Breanna Stewart (NYL) | +750 |
| Alyssa Thomas (CON) | +1000 |
| Sabrina Ionescu (NYL) | +1600 |
| Satou Sabally (DAL) | +2000 |
| Kelsey Plum (LVA) | +3000 |
| Arike Ogunbowale (DAL) | +5000 |
| Rhyne Howard (ATL) | +6500 |
| Brittney Griner (PHX) | +6500 |
| Kahleah Copper (PHX) | +7000 |
| Angel Reese (CHI) | +8000 |
| Jewell Loyd (SEA) | +8000 |
| Jackie Young (LVA) | +10000 |
| Nneka Ogwumike (SEA) | +10000 |
| Jonquel Jones (NYL) | +12000 |
| Aliyah Boston (IND) | +14000 |
| Chennedy Carter (CHI) | +14000 |
| Kelsey Mitchell (IND) | +16000 |
| Dearica Hamby (LAS) | +16000 |
| Ezi Magbegor (SEA) | +21000 |
| Brionna Jones (CON) | +21000 |
| Chelsea Gray (LVA) | +21000 |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (SEA) | +21000 |
| Alanna Smith (MIN) | +25000 |
| Kayla McBride (MIN) | +25000 |
| Allisha Gray (ATL) | +25000 |
| Natasha Cloud (PHX) | +25000 |
| Kamilla Cardoso (CHI) | +25000 |
| Courtney Williams (MIN) | +25000 |
| Rickea Jackson (LAS) | +25000 |
| Courtney Vandersloot (NYL) | +25000 |
What’s Wrong With Caitlin Clark?
As a player, not much. The former Iowa guard and No. 1 overall pick for 2024 had an excellent debut for the Indiana Fever, earning Rookie of the Year honors and making the All-WNBA team while finishing fourth in MVP voting.
The problem is with the betting public itself. They’ve put so much money on Clark that her MVP odds have already shortened from around +250 before the 2025 regular season has even begun – which will happen this Sunday, although the Fever won’t be in action until May 17.
Assuming she performs well, that popularity will do wonders for Clark once it’s time for the voting. The MVP is decided by a panel of writers and broadcasters from across the United States (and presumably Canada, once the Toronto Tempo launch in 2026); they’ll be debating over their potential picks all season long, on air and in print, and their choices will likely bend somewhat to the will of their paying customers.
Can Anyone Stop Clark?
Clark will have to perform very well indeed to stay in front of this race. Wilson was the unanimous MVP last year, her seventh season at center for the Las Vegas Aces; she was the 2018 ROY after getting drafted No. 1 overall from South Carolina, then the MVP in 2020 and 2022 before finding an even higher level. Look at some of the career-best numbers Wilson posted in 2024:
- Points: 26.9 per game
- Rebounds: 11.9
- Blocks: 2.6
- Steals: 1.8
- Free Throws: 84.4%
Then you have Collier, the 2019 ROY and reigning Defensive Player of the Year. Collier finished second to Wilson in last year’s MVP voting after leading the Minnesota Lynx to the WNBA Finals as their power forward.
Unfortunately for Collier and the Lynx, they ran into a buzzsaw: the New York Liberty, led by the aforementioned Stewart at the 4-spot. The No. 1 pick and ROY from 2016 is a two-time MVP in her own right, first with the Seattle Storm in 2018, then the Liberty in 2023; Stewart is now a three-time WNBA champion after leading New York to a 3-2 series win over Minnesota.
MVP voters generally give added weight to team performance, so for Clark to break through, the Fever will probably have to improve significantly on last year’s 20-22 record (21-19-2 ATS) while the other teams falter. If history is any indication, Clark’s MVP turn could come in Year Three, but the betting public is obviously not too keen on waiting that long.
The Pick
Wilson is the cream on the WNBA crop right now, but Collier and Stewart also have betting value thanks to all that early action on Clark. According to the perspicacious BMR Hedging Calculator, if you put $100 on Wilson, $72.22 on Collier and $38.24 on Stewart, you’ll earn $114.54 in profit (54.4%) should any of those three underdogs prevail. Bet accordingly.
WNBA Pick: A’ja Wilson (+225) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
